Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Sept 12-13, 2015  (Read 1700 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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A very unsettled weekend across the board, but some cooler temperatures and lower humidity in the future. Both days will have chances of showers and thunderstorms with chances for heavier and more organized or widely scattered rains on Saturday Night. Highs will be in the 70’s to low 80’s with overnight lows in the 50’s to 60’s. Humidity will be lower to moderate. Water conditions will vary from good to borderline to cautious. Seas will run 2-3 feet on Saturday and then to 4 feet inshore and 5 feet inshore on Sunday Day. Winds will increase on Sunday and by Sunday Night could push 25 knots with seas to 8 feet offshore. Surf and beach conditions will be good with wave heights 1-3 and 2-4 feet with Low to Moderate Risk of rip currents. Surf will increase into Sunday Night as higher winds and seas occur. Water temperatures are a few degrees warmer, mostly in the mid to upper 70’s with some low 80’s again. UV Index will be Moderate to High at 3-6/15.

Low pressure will move along a front over the area and off the Northeast on Thursday Night. Weak high pressure will briefly move into the area on Friday. Another area of low pressure develops over the southeastern portion of the nation on Saturday. This low will move northward through the weekend bringing unsettled weather to the area. High pressure will then build in from the south on Monday, remaining for most of the week.

The week looks mostly dry with highs in the 70’s to low 80’s. Overnight lows will be in the 50’s and 60’s as some cooler and drier air moves into the region. Humidity will be moderate and low at some times. Water, surf and beach conditions will be borderline to cautious on Monday and Tuesday, then improving for the rest of the week.

The tropics continue to be active with systems changing every few days. Grace is no longer and Tropical Storm Henri is now out in the Atlantic. It is already off of the East Coast, but well out to sea. It should not pose a problem at all.

Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!

Saturday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-->50% chance of showers and thunderstorms during the day, 70% chance of showers during the night
Temperatures
High:     Mid 70’s to low 80’s
Low:     Mid to upper 60’s with low 60’s at the shore
UV Index:  4-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:34am
Sunset: 7:12pm


Sunday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-40% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:     Mid to upper 70’s inland with low 70’s across northern areas
Low:     Mid 50’s to low 60’s with low 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  3-5/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:35am
Sunset: 7:10pm
New Moon: 2:43am


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



Severe Weather Risks for Saturday-Sunday





Atlantic Tropics




Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  77°F
Saturday
Wind:  NE 5 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-3 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  SE 5 knots becoming E after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):   2-3 feet
Sunday
Wind:  NE 5 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  77°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SSW 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: NE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  75°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SW 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SE 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: SE 1 to 1 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet


Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  77°F
Saturday
Wind:  SE 9-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  SSE 8 knots becoming SSW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  WNW 18 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet


Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  78°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SE 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: W 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: W 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  77°F-81°F
Saturday
Wind:  SE 10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1 foot
Saturday Night
Wind:  S 10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet


Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  74°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SSE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Sunday Morning
Winds: SW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 7 seconds


Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)




Ocean Currents

Surface




20 Meters (≈65 feet)









Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!



*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


Offline fluke - u

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Sept 12-13, 2015
« Reply #1 on: September 11, 2015, 06:52:54 AM »
 t^ .... thanks for the report .... chrz
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