Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Sept 21-25, 2015  (Read 1817 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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Another settled week for weather, but a blowout on the water. It will be mostly dry again this week as high pressure controls the area again, all but, Monday Night. Monday Night could see some very isolated to scattered showers across the state. The remainder of the time will be dry with a mix of sun and clouds. Some days, like Tuesday could see more clouds than sun. It will be breezy for most of the week as well, especially the first half. Highs will be in the 70’s with overnight lows ranging from the 40’s to 60’s. Humidity will be low to moderate, as Fall-like temperatures slowly move into the region. Water conditions will be cautious to hazardous on the oceans with some pockets of good conditions in the rivers and bays. Winds will gust to 30 knots with seas to 8 feet or more. Inshore will see 5-7 feet on average with offshore in the 5-8 foot range with a predominant northeast to onshore easterly flow. Small Craft Advisories are probable all week. Surf and beach conditions will be ok at best and more likely cautious to even hazardous. Surf will be rough and high at 3-8 feet on average this week. Rip Current Risk will be High and it will be dangerous to be in the water.  Tides could run higher as well as the onshore flow pushes water into the coast. Water temperatures are steady in the 70’s. UV Index will be Low to High at 3-7/15.

High pressure will become established to the northwest Sunday Night with an area of low pressure over Georgia and the Carolinas. Both of these boundaries will slowly move eastward through the middle of the week with low pressure continuing to linger off of the Carolina Coast. This will be followed by another area of high pressure building southeast into the region for next weekend.

The weekend looks to be a continuation of the week with dry conditions, a mix of sun and clouds and highs in the 70’s with overnight lows in the 50’s and 60’s. Water, surf and beach conditions continue to be cautious to hazardous with even higher winds to 30 knots and seas over 10 feet.

The Tropics are active still. Now Tropical Storm Ida is out in the Eastern Atlantic, as well as Invest 96 off of the Southeastern Coast. This invest area coupled with high pressure will bring the winds and seas on the water. TS Ida does not look like a threat to land, but could affect water conditions down the road.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Partly to mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy to mostly clear, Breezy
Precipitation:  0%-20% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:    Upper 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Mid 50’s to low 60’s with mid 40’s across northern areas
UV Index:  3-5/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:42am
Sunset: 6:57pm
First Qtr: 5:00am


Tuesday
Sky:  Partly cloudy to mostly cloudy, Breezy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 70’s
Low:   Mid 50’s to low 60’s with mid 40’s across northern areas
UV Index:  3-5/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:43am
Sunset: 6:55pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 70’s
Low:   Mid 50’s to low 60’s with low 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  3-6/15 (Low-High)
Sunrise: 6:44am
Sunset: 6:54pm


Thursday
Sky:   Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 70’s
Low:   Upper 50’s to mid 60’s
UV Index:  3-6/15 (Low-High)
Sunrise: 6:45am
Sunset: 6:52pm


Friday
Sky:   Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 70’s
Low:   Upper 50’s to low 60’s with low 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  4-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:46am
Sunset: 6:50pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Atlantic Tropics





Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  73°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet

Tuesday Night
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  NE 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Friday
Wind:   NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  4-6 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  4-6 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  73°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 17 to 22 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Monday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Friday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 22 to 29 knots
Seas:  ESE 8 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet

Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  ESE 8 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet


Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  73°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  E 7 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  5-7 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 17 to 24 knots
Seas:  E 7 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  5-7  feet


Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  75°F
Monday
Wind:  NE 18 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  ENE 15-17 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 14-17 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 13-17 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NNE 14 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet

Wednesday Night
Wind:  NE 7-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NNE 9-13 knots becoming ENE in the afternoon with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet

Thursday Night
Wind:  E 6 knots becoming ENE after midnight
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  74°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  ENE 6 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  5-7 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  E 7 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  5-7 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  E 8 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  6-8 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  E 7 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  6-8 feet


Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  73°F-77°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 15-20 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 15-20 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots in the late evening
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots increasing to 15-20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NE 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NE 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet

Thursday
Winds: NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Winds: E 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday
Wind:  NE 10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  71°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  ENE 7 feet at 7 seconds
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  ENE 8 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  E 7 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 17 to 22 knots
Seas:  E 7 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  E 8 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  E 7 feet at 9 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  E 7 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  E 7 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  E 8 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  E 8 feet at 8 seconds


Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 





Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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