NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Oct 19-23, 2015

[Pfishingruven]

Another week of settled weather, but unsettled water conditions. The week will be dry with a mix of sun and clouds. Wednesday Night could have some patchy fog. There will be several boundaries passing or moving through the area, but they look to be dry right now. Highs will range from the 50’s to the 70’s this week, starting off cooler, moderating, warming, then cooling by the end of the week. Overnight lows will range from the 30’s to 50’s. Fall temperatures are definitely in the air, but mild conditions will break through midweek. While, frontal boundary passages and movement will not affect the weather too much,  it will bring about poor water conditions. Water conditions will be mostly borderline to cautious, even hazardous by the end of the week, but only right at the thresholds for most of the week. Conditions will be mixed for rivers and bays and will be more good, than borderline or cautious. Ocean waters will be cautious to start the week with winds 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots and seas to 4 feet, then good for midweek, then becoming borderline to cautious for Thursday, and then cautious to hazardous for Friday. Again, conditions will be bordering good to borderline to cautious, so conditions may extend in either of those directions. Except Friday, Friday looks to be hazardous with seas 5-8 feet. Water temperatures are cooler, into the upper 50’s to low 60’s. UV Index will be Moderate at 3-4/15.

High pressure will build across the Mid Atlantic States through Monday Morning, then sag to the south on Tuesday. As it does, a weak cool front may edge down into Northern NJ on Wednesday. Regardless, it lifts back to the north as a warm front Wednesday Night on response to low pressure moving across Southern Canada. That low, then sends a cold front across the area on Thursday. Canadian High Pressure follows for the end of the week into the weekend.

The weekend will be a continuation of the week with dry conditions, mostly sunny skies, and temperatures in the 60’s with lows in the 40’s and 50’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be cautious to start the weekend and should improve to borderline to good.

There is still an invest area down in Mexico and the Gulf of Mexico. Otherwise, the tropics are quiet.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Sunny then mostly clear with increasing clouds
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:    Low 50’s
Low:   Upper 30’s to low 40’s with low 30’s across northern areas
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:10am
Sunset: 6:13pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 60’s
Low:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s with low 40’s across northern areas
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:11am
Sunset: 6:11pm
First Qtr: 4:32pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy with patchy fog at night
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s inland, mid 50’s at the shore, low 40’s across northern areas
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:12am
Sunset: 6:10pm


Thursday
Sky:   Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Mid 40’s to low 50’s with low 40’s across northern areas
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:13am
Sunset: 6:08pm


Friday
Sky:   Mostly sunny to sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid 50’s to low 60’s
Low:   Low to upper 40’s with mid 30’s across northern areas
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:14am
Sunset: 6:07pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Atlantic Tropics



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  59°F
Monday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  N 5-10 knots becoming NE in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  S 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less becoming 1-2 feet after midnight
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:   NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:   NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  59°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: W 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  SSW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  SSW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: W 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 14 to 20 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 14 to 20 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  62°F
Monday Morning
Winds: N 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  NE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ENE 1 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SSW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  S 1 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: SW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: N 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  NNE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  NE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4  feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  60°F
Monday
Wind:  NNW 5-10 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  WSW 8-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 12-15 knots with gusts to 21 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  WSW 9 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming SSW 5-9 knots in the morning
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SW 8-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming SSW 6-11 knots in the morning
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  SSW 6-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  N 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:  N 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf:  1 foot, then 0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  63°F
Monday Morning
Winds: N 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  NE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: N 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  ENE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SW 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSW 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: N 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  NNE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNE 14 to 20 knots
Seas:  NE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  62°F
Monday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots becoming W late
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
Winds: SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Winds: SW 10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday
Wind:  N 10-15 knots
Seas:  3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  N 10-15 knots
Seas:  3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  62°F
Monday Morning
Winds: N 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  NNE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: NW 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  NE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  WSW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  WSW 5 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SW 2 feet at 5 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SW 2 feet at 4 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: N 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  NNW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: N 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  NNE 5 feet at 5 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)




NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface





20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)