The unsettled pattern continues with cold temperatures and chances of snow this week causing cautious to hazardous water conditions most of the week. Monday and Tuesday will be mainly dry, with the exception of some flurries possible across northern parts of the state. Wednesday will bring some chances of snow showers at night, followed by dry conditions on Thursday. A Winter Storm with accumulating snow is likely for Friday and carrying over into Saturday Morning. It is too early to talk how much or any other details, but the chance of accumulating snow statewide is from 40%-80%, which is high this early in the forecast process. Very cold air will be in place for the week as well, with most high temperatures in the 20’s for the first half of the week, then into the 30’s by midweek and to end the week. Overnight lows will only be in the teens to 20’s with some low 30’s at the shore. The start of the week will see low teens across much of the state overnight. Windy conditions will move in for Sunday Night and persist through Tuesday, making wind chills much colder than the already low highs. Water conditions will be cautious to hazardous for Monday becoming hazardous and then cautious to hazardous for Tuesday for all waters. Gale Warnings and Small Craft Advisories will be in effect as winds gust to 45 knots and seas will push 15 feet offshore. The only saving factor is that winds will be mainly out of the west and not the east. Wednesday will have cautious conditions with some good conditions mixed in for the night for rivers and bays. Thursday will see borderline to cautious conditions on ocean waters and good conditions on rivers and bays. Friday will see good conditions to start, followed by cautious conditions becoming hazardous late. Friday Afternoon into the overnight could see Gale Warnings again and definitely Small Craft Advisories. These conditions will persist through Saturday. Surf and beach conditions will be cautious to start the week with winds to 45 knots and wave heights 2-5 feet. By Wednesday wave heights will be back to 2-4 feet with winds 10-15 knots, then 1-3 feet for Thursday and early Friday before increasing to 4-8 feet as winds increase to 30+ knots. Water temperatures are steady in the 40’s. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 0-3/15.
Rapidly intensifying low pressure off the Mid-Atlantic Coast will move out to sea on Sunday Night with a blustery, much colder, northwest flow to follow for Monday and Tuesday. High pressure will reach the East Coast on Wednesday. A weak cold front may move south across the area on Wednesday Night. Then, a developing Winter Storm in the low Mississippi Valley on Thursday will reach the Mid Atlantic Coast late Friday. This, then moves out to sea sometime on Saturday. High pressure follows for Sunday.
The weekend will have snow chances on Saturday Day, clearing out for Saturday Night and Sunday. Highs will be in the 30’s with overnight lows in the teens to 20’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be hazardous to cautious on Saturday with improvement for Sunday; how much improvement will greatly depend on how fast the Winter Storm moves out on Friday and Saturday.
Have a great week and thanks for reading!
Monday~Martin Luther King Jr DaySky: Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear, Windy
Precipitation: Slight chance of flurries for northern areas
Temperatures
High: Mid to upper 20’s
Low: Low teens inland, mid to upper teens at the shore
UV Index: 1-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:15am
Sunset: 4:58pm
TuesdaySky: Sunny to mostly cloudy, Windy
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Upper 20’s
Low: Upper teens inland, low 20’s at the shore, mid teens northern areas
UV Index: 1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:15am
Sunset: 4:59pm
WednesdaySky: Sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 40% chance of snow showers at night
Temperatures
High: Mid to upper 30’s
Low: Upper teens inland, low to mid 20’s at the shore
UV Index: 1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:14am
Sunset: 5:00pm
ThursdaySky: Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Upper 30’s inland and at the shore, low to mid 30’s for northern areas
Low: Mid 20’s inland, upper 20’s at the shore, upper teens northern areas
UV Index: 1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:14am
Sunset: 5:01pm
FridaySky: Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy
Precipitation: 40%-80% chance of snow all day (this could be the first greater than an inch accumulating Winter storm)
Temperatures
High: Low to mid 30’s inland, upper 30’s to low 40’s at the shore
Low: Upper 20’s to low 30’s inland, mid to upper 30’s at the shore, low 20’s northern areas
UV Index: 0-1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:13am
Sunset: 5:02pm
Monday Surface Analysis
Tuesday Surface Analysis
Wednesday Surface Analysis
Thursday Surface Analysis
Friday Surface
Total Precipitation Monday - Friday
Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday
Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) ForecastsRaritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy HookWater Temperature: 41°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean): 2-5 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: W 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean): 2-5 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: W 15-20 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean): 4-6 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: W 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean): 4-6 feetWednesdayCAUTIOUS
Wind: W 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Wednesday NightWind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
ThursdayWind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Thursday NightWind: NW 5-10 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
FridayWind: NE 5 knots increasing to 10-15 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Friday NightWind: NE 10-15 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 4-7 feet
Sandy Hook Tides (Bay) Sandy Hook Tides 
Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NYWater Temperature: 41°F
Monday Morning
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 26 to 35 knots
Seas: W 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 2-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 29 knots
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 2-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 23 to 32 knots
Seas: W 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 4-6 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 24 to 33 knots
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 4-6 feetWednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 28 knots
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feetThursday MorningWinds: W 11 to 14 knots
Seas: WSW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday AfternoonWinds: WNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas: W 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday MorningWinds: ENE 13 to 18 knots
Seas: ENE 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 22 to 30 knots
Seas: E 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 4-7 feetConey Island, NY Tides Coney Island Tides
Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat InletWater Temperature: 48°F
Monday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 23 to 31 knots
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 2-5 feetMonday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 25 knots
Seas: NW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 2-5 feetTuesday Morning’
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 23 to 31 knots
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 22 to 29 knots
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feetWednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 25 knots
Seas: NNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feetWednesday AfternoonWinds: WNW 14 to 18 knots
Seas: NW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Thursday MorningWinds: W 9 to 12 knots
Seas: SSW 1 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday AfternoonWinds: WNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas: S 1 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 15 to 20 knots
Seas: ENE 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feetFriday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 25 to 34 knots
Seas: ENE 6 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 4-8 feetManasquan Inlet Tides Manasquan Inlet Tides
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)Water Temperature: 43°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: WNW 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: WNW 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: WNW 19-22 knots increasing to 23-26 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 35 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: WNW 14-18 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: WNW 12-14 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feetWednesday NightWind: W 11-13 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
ThursdayWind: W 9-12 knots becoming NW in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday NightWind: NW 6-11 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
FridayWind: NE 5 knots increasing to 10-15 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Friday NightWind: NE 10-15 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) TidesBarnegat Bay Tides
Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)Water Temperature: 49°F
Monday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 24 to 32 knots
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feetMonday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 28 knots
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feetTuesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 22 to 30 knots
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 23 to 31 knots
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feetWednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 17 to 24 knots
Seas: NW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet Wednesday AfternoonWinds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: NW 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Thursday MorningWinds: WSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday AfternoonWinds: WNW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 17 to 23 knots
Seas: ENE 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet Friday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 22 to 30 knots
Seas: E 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 5-8 feetCape May (Ocean) Tides Cape May Tides
Delaware BayWater Temperature: 45°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas: 3-4 feet, Light freezing spray
Surf: 2-3 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: W 15-20 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet, Light freezing spray
Surf: 1-3 feetTuesday
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: W 15-20 knots with gusts to 40 knots becoming NW 20-25 knots with gusts to 45 knots in the early afternoon, then W 15-20 knots with gusts to 40 knots late
Seas: 3-4 feet, Light freezing spray
Surf: 2-3 feetTuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet, Light freezing spray
Surf: 1-3 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feetWednesday NightWind: W 10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 1-3 feet
ThursdayWinds: W 10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday NightWinds: N 10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Friday[/]
Wind: NE 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: NE 15-20 knots
Seas: 3-5 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 2-4 feet
Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides
Delaware River Tides
Offshore Waters
Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature: 54°F
Monday Morning
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 26 to 36 knots
Seas: WNW 7 feet at 6 seconds
Monday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 24 to 32 knots
Seas: WNW 8 feet at 6 seconds
Tuesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 28 to 37 knots
Seas: WNW 9 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 28 to 38 knots
Seas: WNW 9 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 29 knots
Seas: WNW 6 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: WNW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 15 to 20 knots
Seas: WSW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 21 knots
Seas: W 4 feet at 4 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: NE 6 to 8 knots
Seas: W 2 feet at 4 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: E 13 to 17 knots
Seas: NE 2 feet at 3 seconds
Sea Surface Temperatures
Surface
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop
NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop
Ocean Currents
Surface
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution! 
*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
