NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Feb 8-12, 2016

[Pfishingruven]

A very active week with a tumultuous start and then Arctic air moving in making for a cold ending. Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday will have chances of snow, likely less than an inch to 4 inches or snow accumulation over the next 3 days. Check out the latest Winter Storm/Coastal Storm thread at NJSWF Coastal Storm. Highs for the start of the week will be in the 30’s and 40’s with overnight lows in the 20’s to 30’s. Wednesday Night will see low pressure leaving and high pressure beginning to move in. This Arctic High Pressure will bring the coldest air of the season to the areas. Luckily, it will also bring stable and dry conditions with a mix of sun and clouds. Highs for Thursday through the weekend will not get much above freezing with overnight lows in the single digits to teens. Any winds will make wind chills even colder. Coastal flooding will be a concern on Monday through Wednesday with the glancing coastal storms. These threats will also be updated in the storm thread. Water conditions will be mostly cautious to hazardous with winds to 40 knots and seas 10-15 feet. Some inshore and rivers and bays will have borderline conditions towards the start and end of the week. Small Craft Advisories and possibly Gale Warnings are likely this week. Surf conditions will be cautious as well with winds to 40 knots and surf heights to 13 feet. Beach conditions are likely still not back to normal in all areas from the last Nor’Easter. This week’s storms could cause additional high tides and beach erosion, causing continued hazardous conditions. Water temperatures are steady in the 30’s and 40’s, however these will drop by the end of next weekend. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 0-4/15.

Low pressure off the Southeastern United States will rapidly strengthen as it moves northeastward to the Canadian Maritimes through Monday Night. Another low pressure system is forecast to develop near the Mid-Atlantic Coast Monday Night into Tuesday. Behind these two lows, Arctic High Pressure will then build into the Central Portion of the Nation around midweek and work its way toward the East Coast by the weekend.

The weekend weather looks dry, with a mix of sun and clouds, but cold. This will be the coldest air of the season, with highs in the teens and 20’s and overnight lows in the single digits to teens. Any wind, will make wind chills in the single to negative digits! Water, surf and beach conditions will continue to be cautious to hazardous with gusty winds to 35 knots, however seas look to be below 6 feet, closer to 3-4 foot averages, with mostly northwest winds.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Cloudy
Precipitation:  Snow
Temperatures
High:    Mid 30’s to low 40’s
Low:   Mid to upper 20’s inland, upper 20’s to low 30’s at the shore, low 20’s northern areas
UV Index:  0-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 6:59am
Sunset: 5:22pm
New Moon: 9:40am


Tuesday
Sky:  Cloudy
Precipitation:  Snow
Temperatures
High:    Upper 20’s to low 40’s
Low:   Upper 20’s to low 30’s with low to mid 20’s northern areas
UV Index:  0-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 6:57am
Sunset: 5:23pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  Snow during the day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:   Upper 30’s to low 40’s
Low:   Low to mid 20’s
UV Index:  1-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:56am
Sunset: 5:25pm


Thursday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy, Breezy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 30’s
Low:   mid teens inland, upper teens at the shore, low teens northern areas
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:55am
Sunset: 5:26pm


Friday
Sky:  Mostly sunny then mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 20’s
Low:   Mid to upper teens, low 20’s at the shore, low teens northern areas
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:54am
Sunset: 5:27pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  40°F

Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NE 15-20 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1 nm or less increasing to 1-3 nm in the afternoon
Surf (Ocean):  6-12 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  6-12 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1 nm or less
Surf (Ocean):  4-8 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  N 5-10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1 nm or less
Surf (Ocean):  4-8 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1 nm or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet subsiding to 1-2 feet after midnight, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Friday
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  40°F
Monday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 23 to 31 knots
Seas:  ESE 8 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  6-12 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  ESE 9 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:  6-12 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: W 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  WNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  WNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  WNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  W 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  43°F
Monday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 24 to 32 knots
Seas:  E 9 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  6-13 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  E 10 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  6-13 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  E 7 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  4-9 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 11 second
Surf:  4-9 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: W 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  NW 3 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  N 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  NW 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  WSW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-3  feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  41°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NNE 18-23 knots decreasing to 13-18 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  ENE 12-16 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 12-15 knots increasing to 16-19 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NNE 14-18 knots becoming W after midnight with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 15-18 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 19 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knot
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 22-25 knots decreasing to 18-21 knots after midnight with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  45°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  ESE 9 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  6-13 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  ESE 9 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:  6-13 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: E 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:  5-10 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: W 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:  5-10 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  WNW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 22 to 30 knots
Seas:  WNW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  NW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  WNW 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  41°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  N 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots becoming NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-4 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots becoming N late.
Seas:  3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  3-5 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  4-5 feet
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 20-25 knots
Seas:  4-6 feet
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:  NW 20-25 knots
Seas:  3-5 feet
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday[/]
Wind:  W 15 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 115 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  43°F-50°F
Monday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 29 to 40 knots
Seas:  E 15 feet at 10 seconds
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 27 to 36 knots
Seas:  E 16 feet at 11 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  E 9 feet at 11 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 17 to 22 knots
Seas:  E 8 feet at 11 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 7 feet at 10 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  SSE 8 feet at 10 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 24 knots
Seas:  W 6 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 29 knots
Seas:  WNW 7 feet at 6 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  NW 6 feet at 6 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  WNW 4 feet at 5 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
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*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)