Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Mar 21-25, 2016  (Read 1148 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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Another unsettled week with mixed weather and mostly cautious water conditions. Monday will start off with the continued snow and wintry mix, eventually coming to an end by late Monday Morning or Monday Afternoon, clearing for the rest of the day. Tuesday and Wednesday will see a mix of clouds with chances of showers mainly for the northern areas of the state, but could stray outside of those areas. Thursday will start off the same as Tuesday and Wednesday with rain shower chances increasing into Thursday Night and continuing for Friday. Friday Night will see chances decreasing and clearing some into the weekend. Highs will range from the 40’s to 60’s with overnight lows in the 20’s to 50’s. Water conditions will be mainly cautious all week. Some rivers, bays and inshore waters will have good or borderline conditions Wednesday, Thursday, or Friday, but overall winds will be gusty with higher seas and Small Craft Advisories. Surf and beach conditions will be borderline to cautious most of the week with gusty winds and high and rough surf ranging from 2-4 feet to 4-8 feet. Water temperatures have cooled by a few degrees. UV Index will be Low to High at 2-6/15.

Low pressure off the Mid Atlantic Coast will strengthen as it tracks northeastward on Sunday Night and Monday. High pressure then builds in Tuesday before shifting offshore to near Bermuda on Wednesday. A cold front is forecast to arrive from the north Wednesday Night or Thursday, potentially reaching Eastern Pennsylvania and NJ before moving back north as a warm front late Thursday. Strong Low pressure will then move into Quebec on Friday pulling a cold front off the East Coast. High pressure builds in for Saturday, then low pressure may affect the Mid Atlantic on Sunday.

The weekend is looking dry with highs in the 50’s and overnight lows in the 30’s to 40’s. Water, surf and beach conditions are good for Saturday and borderline to cautious for Sunday.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Cloudy becoming mostly sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-30% chance of snow during the morning
Temperatures
High:    Mid 40’s to low 50’s
Low:   Upper 20’s to low 30’s inland, low to mid 30’s at the shore, mid 20’s northern areas
UV Index:  3-5/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:58am
Sunset: 7:09pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-20% chance of showers during the night (mainly for northern areas)
Temperatures
High:    Upper 40’s to low 50’s
Low:   Low 40’s inland, mid 40’s at the shore, upper 30’s northern areas
UV Index:  4-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:56am
Sunset: 7:10pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-20% chance of showers during the day (mainly for northern areas)
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 60’s
Low:   Low 40’s inland, mid to upper 40’s at the shore, upper 30’s northern areas
UV Index:  3-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:55am
Sunset: 7:11pm
Full Moon: 8:02am


Thursday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-30% chance of showers during the day (mainly northern areas), 30%-60% chance of showers at night for all locations
Temperatures
High:   Mid 50’s to low 60’s
Low:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s inland and at the shore, low 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  5-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:53am
Sunset: 7:12pm


Friday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  60%-70% chance of showers during the day, 0%-30% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:   Upper 50’s to low 60’s
Low:   Mid to upper 30’s inland and at the shore, low 30’s northern areas
UV Index:  2-5/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:52am
Sunset: 7:13pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  46°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots increasing to 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1 nm or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots becoming W 10-15 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet, Fog, Visibility 1 nm or less increasing to 1-3 nm after midnight
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet

Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots becoming SE after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Thursday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  4-8 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  4-8 feet
Friday
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  4-8 feet
Friday Night
Wind:   W 10-15 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  4-8 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  46°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NNW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  WSW 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  SSE 6 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet


Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  42°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NNW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet

Tuesday Morning
Winds: W 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:   3-5 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Thursday Morning
Winds: SW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-7 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-7 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-7 feet

Friday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-7 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  43°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  N 15-17 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  WNW 11-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  WNW 15 knots becoming WSW with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SSW 13-16 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Wednesday
Wind:  WSW 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SW 5-8 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  N 7 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less, building to 3 feet
Surf:  0-1 feet, then 1-2 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SSE 9-14 knots becoming SSW after midnight with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet

Friday
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 10-15 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  44°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  4-7 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  4-7 feet

Tuesday Morning
Winds: WNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet   

Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  4-7 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  4-7 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-8 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-8 feet


Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  47°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots late
Seas:   3-4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet

Tuesday
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 15-20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Wednesday
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday
Winds: S 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 15-20 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday[/]
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 15-20 knots diminishing to 10 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet

Friday Night
Wind:  W 10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  43°F-48°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: N 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  E 8 feet at 8 seconds
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  NW 5 feet at 6 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  W 4 feet at 5 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  SSW 7 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SSW 6 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  SSW 6 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  SSW 7 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  S 9 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  S 8 feet at 9 seconds


Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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