Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition:May 31-Jun 3, 2016  (Read 2394 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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Another unsettled week with rain and thunderstorms, a passing Atlantic cyclone, and cautious water conditions due to higher seas. Showers will be possible on both Tuesday and Wednesday. These will be scattered showers and mainly across southern parts of the state. Thursday will have showers and thunderstorms at night continuing into Friday and the weekend. Highs will start off in the 80’s inland and 70’s at the shore on Tuesday, 70’s and 80’s on Wednesday, then 60’s and 70’s for Thursday and Friday. Overnight lows will be in the upper 50’s to low 60’s. Humidity will be high, then moderate to high. Water conditions will be good for rivers and bays, except the Delaware Bay. DB will have good conditions for Tuesday, then borderline to cautious conditions for Wednesday and Thursday, then good conditions again on Friday. Ocean Waters will be cautious all week, both due to seas to 4 feet and some gusty winds to 20 knots. There are definitely times and days where conditions will be good, but they will be in pockets and localized. Right now, I am not seeing any effects from the current forecast track of Post Tropical Storm Bonnie, including any long period swells. However, if track or intensity changes, so could this forecast and any effects. Thunderstorms are possible this week, so be aware of fast approaching or pop-up thunderstorms that will bring heavy rains, dangerous lightning, gusty winds, and waves higher than forecast values. Surf and beach conditions will be good to ok. Surf heights will be at 2-4 feet through Thursday, then 1-3 feet on Friday. Winds could gust to 20 knots. Rip Current Risks will be Low, with a chance of Moderate Risks. Water temperatures are steady in the 60’s with some 70’s for shallower waters. UV Index will be Low to Very High at 1-10/15.

Tropical moisture remained over eastern New Jersey and the Delmarva Monday afternoon. This moisture will shift off the coast this evening as a cold front approaches from the west. The cold front will track through the region late Monday night into early Tuesday. High pressure will follow for the middle of the week. A cold front, attached to low pressure moving across eastern Canada, will slide across the Mid Atlantic region on Friday or Saturday. The remainder of the forecast period looks to be unsettled due to another approaching low pressure system.

The weekend will just be a continuation of the end of the week with showers and thunderstorm chances both days. Highs will be in the 70’s with overnight lows in the 60’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will start off borderline on Saturday, then improve to mostly good conditions.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Tuesday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-20% chance of showers during the day (mainly southern areas)
Temperatures
High:   Mid 80’s inland, mid 70’s at the shore
Low:   Upper 50’s to mid 60’s
UV Index:  8-10/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:30am
Sunset: 8:18pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-20% chance of showers during the day (mainly southern areas)
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to low 80’s inland, low 70’s at the shore
Low:   Upper 50’s to low 60’s
UV Index:  3-7/15 (Moderate – High)
Sunrise: 5:30am
Sunset: 8:19pm


Thursday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-40% chance of showers and thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 70’s inland, upper 60’s at the shore
Low:   Upper 50’s to low 60’s
UV Index:  2-7/15 (Low - High)
Sunrise: 5:29am
Sunset: 8:19pm


Friday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-40% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 70’s inland, low 70’s at the shore
Low:   Upper 50’s to low 60’s
UV Index:  1-6/15 (Low – High)
Sunrise: 5:29am
Sunset: 8:20pm


Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Tuesday - Friday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  63°F
Tuesday
Wind:  NW 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  NE 10 knots becoming E in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Friday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  63°F
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: S 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: ENE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: E 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: E 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  58°F
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WNW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: E 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: E 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: ENE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: E 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: E 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: E 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  58°F-68°F
Tuesday
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  NE 8 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  ENE 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  ENE 12 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  ENE 10-12 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  ENE 8 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  ENE 8 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  64°F
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WNW 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 3 to 5 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: ENE 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: E 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: ENE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  68°F
Tuesday
Wind:  W 5 knots in the morning becoming light and variable, then SE 5 knots late
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots becoming S late
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  E 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots late
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Wednesday Night
Wind:  E 10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Winds:  E 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Thursday Night
Winds:  E 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots diminishing to 5 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  60°F
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WNW 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NW 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds

Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: ENE 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: E 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Thunderstorms Possible Friday Evening/Night
« Reply #1 on: June 03, 2016, 09:03:43 AM »
The threat of thunderstorms begins Friday Evening and will carry over into the Weekend (see Weekend Outlook for these threats). Thunderstorms tonight will be scattered to widely scattered causing heavy rains, dangerous lightning, and gusty winds.

Be aware of changing weather conditions and have a way of receiving weather alerts!!




 

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