Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: June 6-10, 2016  (Read 1603 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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An unsettled start to the week becoming more settled by the end of the week, with early to midweek cautious water conditions. Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday will have showers and possibly thunderstorms. Monday will have chances at night, while Tuesday and Wednesday will be during the day. These are low chances and any showers or thunderstorms will be scattered or even isolated. Thursday and Friday look dry right now. High temperatures will range from the 80’s on Monday, then down into the 60’s and 70’s for the rest of the week. Overnight lows will be in the 50’s and 60’s with some 40’s for northern areas. Water conditions will start off good for rivers and bays, but borderline to cautious for ocean waters on Monday. Tuesday will have good conditions for rivers and bays during the day, then Delaware Bay will have cautious conditions at night. Ocean waters will be borderline to cautious. Wednesday will have cautious to hazardous conditions for all waters except Raritan Bay and some inland rivers may have good to borderline conditions. Thursday will have cautious conditions for all locations, again, except Raritan Bay and some inland rivers which will have good to borderline conditions. Friday will have good conditions for all locations except midshore to offshore waters will have cautious conditions. Surf and beach conditions will be good to ok, with surf heights 2-4 feet this week, with many areas at 1-3 feet. Winds will be gusty on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, and even Thursday. Wednesday will have the highest winds and maybe even cautious conditions with winds 35+ knots. The other days will see 20-25 knots tops. Rip Current Risk will be Low, maybe some Moderate days. Water temperatures are steady in the 60’s and 70’s. UV Index will be Moderate to Very High at 4-9/15.

A weak cold front will move east through our region this evening. A strong cold front will slide southeast through the Mid Atlantic States late Tuesday. High pressure will then build southeastward toward the Mid Atlantic Region through the remainder of the work week before a strong warm front approaches from the southwest this coming weekend.


The weekend will have shower and thunderstorm chances for both days, however greatest chances look like Saturday. Highs will continue in the 70’s with 50’s overnight. Water, surf and beach conditions will be borderline to cautious.

Tropical Depression #3 has formed in the Gulf of Mexico and is now Tropical Storm Colin. This storm will track across the Big Bend/Pan Handle of Florida and exit around Georgia or South Carolina before heading northeast and out to sea. We could see some rain come out of the South and potentially some minor water condition effects later in the week. This should not pose a threat to the area, but should be watched, just in case a major track change occurs.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  20% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to low 80’s
Low:   Upper 50’s to upper 60’s
UV Index:  8-9/15 (High – Very High)
Sunrise: 5:28am
Sunset: 8:22pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-40% chance of showers during the day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Upper 50’s inland and at the shore, low 50’s northern areas
UV Index:  8-9/15 (High – Very High)
Sunrise: 5:28am
Sunset: 8:23pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  30% chance of showers during the day
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 70’s
Low:   Low to mid 50’s, upper 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  4-7/15 (Moderate – High)
Sunrise: 5:28am
Sunset: 8:23pm


Thursday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s to upper 70’s
Low:   Low to mid 50’s inland, upper 50’s to low 60’s at the shore, upper 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High)
Sunrise: 5:27am
Sunset: 8:24pm


Friday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 70’s
Low:   Upper 50’s to low 60’s, low 50’s northern areas
UV Index:  8-9/15 (High – Very High)
Sunrise: 5:27am
Sunset: 8:24pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Monday - Monday



Thunderstorms/Severe Weather Monday & Tuesday





Tropical Depression #3





Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  67°F
Monday
Wind:  W 10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  W 10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 10-15 knots increasing to 15-20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Thursday
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Friday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet in the morning, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  67°F
Monday Morning
Winds: W 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 11 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  SSW 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  WNW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  WNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Friday Morning
Winds: NW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  63°F
Monday Morning
Winds: W 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: W 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WNW 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:   1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 14 to 20 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Friday Morning
Winds: NW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  62°F-68°F
Monday
Wind:  W 11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
 Monday Night
Wind:  SSW 7-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  SW 8 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  WNW 10-12 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  WNW 9-14 knots increasing to 16-21 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 20-25 knots decreasing to 13-18 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  WNW 18 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  WNW 18 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Friday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  68°F
Monday Morning
Winds: W 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: W 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  WNW 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  WNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  NW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Friday Afternoon
Winds: NW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  NE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  71°F
Monday
Wind:  W 10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots increasing to 15-20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 15-20 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet

Thursday Night
Winds: NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  63°F
Monday Morning
Winds: W 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 7 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  WNW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  WNW 6 feet at 5 seconds

Thursday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 29 knots
Seas:  WNW 6 feet at 6 seconds

Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  WNW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  NW 4 feet at 5 seconds

Friday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  NW 3 feet at 4 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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