NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: June 20-24, 2016

[Pfishingruven]

Another unsettled week with some showers and thunderstorm chances and borderline to cautious water conditions. Heat and humidity for most of the week with low pressure, fronts and highs moving through the area. Monday will start off with fog, then chances of showers and thunderstorms in the evening and at night. Highs will be in the 80’s and 90’s with overnight lows not much out of the 60’s. Tuesday will be much of the same with chance of showers and thunderstorms all day. Highs will be in  the 80’s and 90’s with overnight lows in the 60’s, however the passing cold front will bring lows in the northern areas into the mid to upper 50’s and less humidity for the time. Wednesday will be mostly dry, a little cooler, with highs in the 80’s and overnight lows in the 50’s and 60’s. Thursday will have chances of showers and thunderstorms all day with highs in the 70’s and 80’s and overnight lows in the 50’s and 60’s. Friday will have chances of showers and thunderstorms again, during the day mainly and southern and coastal areas. Highs in the 70’s and 80’s with overnight lows in the 50’s and 60’s. Showers and thunderstorms all week, look to be scattered to widely scattered. Humidity will be moderate to high, then low to moderate by midweek. Water conditions will be mixed. Rivers and bays will be mostly good, however some areas may see 2-3 foot waves during the week. Inshore ocean waters will be mainly cautious, mostly for seas. Some areas will see winds to 20 knots early in the week, but seas will be up to 4 feet and then 5 feet for the end of the week. Now, if seas only hit 2-3 feet, not so bad, but 3+ feet will become borderline to cautious. Of course, larger vessels may not have any problems at all. It is a week while mostly in the yellow for seas, may be just fine at times. Just be aware that seas could increase to those top numbers. Also, seas will be higher in and around thunderstorms, which will be scattered most of the week. Midshore to offshore waters will be cautious all week with some gustier winds to 25 knots and seas to 7 feet possible. Water temperatures are steady in the 60’s and 70’s with surf temperatures in the mid to upper 60’s already. Surf and beach conditions will be good to ok, with surf heights in the 1-3 and 2-4 foot range, making Rip Current Risks Low to Moderate. I would not be surprised to see a High Risk day this week. Remember to check Rip Current Risks daily and follow posted lifeguard information. Just because there is a low risk, does not mean that there is not ANY risk! UV Index will be Low to Very High at 0-10/15

High pressure will continue to influence our weather into Monday. A surface trough approaching from the northwest is forecast to arrive late on Monday night followed by a cold front on Tuesday night. High pressure is expected to build into our region from the west for Wednesday. Low pressure is anticipated to move from the Ohio River Valley on Thursday to the waters off the Middle Atlantic coast on Thursday night. Another area of high pressure is expected to follow for the weekend.

The weekend looks dry, right now, with continued highs in the 70’s and 80’s with overnight lows in the 50’s and 60’s. Water, surf and beach conditions look good right now. Saturday may see some gusty winds and building seas, but overall, from this point, conditions look good to maybe borderline.

There is still an invest in the Bay of Campeche (Gulf of Mexico) that is being watched.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Sunny becoming mostly clear, then partly cloudy, Patchy fog in the morning
Precipitation:  20% - 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High:   Mid 80’s to low 90’s inland, low 80’s at the shore
Low:   Mid to upper 60’s
UV Index:  9-10/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:28am
Sunset: 8:28pm
Full Moon: 7:04am


Tuesday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  20% - 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Mid 80’s to low 90’s
Low:   Low 60’s inland, mid 60’s at the shore, mid 50’s northern areas
UV Index:  4-9/15 (Moderate - Very High)
Sunrise: 5:28am
Sunset: 8:28pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 80’s
Low:   Low 60’s inland, mid to upper 60’s at the shore, mid 50’s northern areas
UV Index:  6-9/15 (High - Very High)
Sunrise: 5:28am
Sunset: 8:29pm


Thursday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to low 80’s inland, mid 70’s at the shore
Low:   Low 60’s inland, mid to upper 60’s at the shore, upper 50’s northern areas
UV Index:  0-9/15 (Low – Very High)
Sunrise: 5:28am
Sunset: 8:29pm


Friday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-30% chance of showers during the day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to low 80’s inland, mid 70’s at the shore
Low:   Low 60’s inland, mid to upper 60’s at the shore, upper 50’s northern areas
UV Index:  9-10/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:29am
Sunset: 8:29pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Monday - Monday



Severe/Thunderstorm Risks Monday & Tuesday







Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  72°F
Monday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  S 10-15 knots becoming SW 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less after midnight
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots diminishing to around 5 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NE 5 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  SE 5 knots becoming NE after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Friday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots becoming NE after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  72°F
Monday Morning
Winds: S 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: S 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: W 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: W 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: ESE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides
Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  66°F
Monday Morning
Winds: SSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: S 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: W 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: ESE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SE 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  65°F-70°F
Monday
Wind:  SSW 7-9 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
 Monday Night
Wind:  SSW 9 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:  WSW 9 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SW 5-7 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:  W 7 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  W 5-9 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming ESE 5-7 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots becoming NE after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  70°F
Monday Morning
Winds: S 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WNW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: SSE 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: S 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NE 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  69°F-72°F
Monday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
Winds: E 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday Night
Winds: E 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  E 10-15 knots becoming NE 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  63°F
Monday Morning
Winds: SSE 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: S 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 6 feet at 9 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: ESE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SE 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NE 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 8 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Pfishingruven]

As a cold front approaches and moves through the area, additional thunderstorms are possible. Some of these thunderstorms could be strong to severe capable of heavy rains, dangerous lightning, damaging winds, hail, and even tornadoes. The bulk of this risk is isolated to the Southern two thirds of the state, leaving most of Northern NJ out of the severe storms, but thunderstorms are still possible there as well.

Thunderstorms are possible on Wednesday, also and then severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday! Daily updates will follow.

Southern NJ and Southwestern NJ may already see a severe watch issued shortly. Please be aware of changing weather conditions. Have a way of receiving weather watches, warnings and any alerts. "When Thunder Roars, Go Indoors" and "Turn Around, Don't Drown!"

Tuesday









Wednesday




Thursday

[Pfishingruven]

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for NJ, Delaware, Maryland, and Washington, DC until 2100 hours. NJ Counties include:

Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester, Ocean, and Salem!



SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch #278

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

[Pfishingruven]

Almost the entire state has a threat of thunderstorms today, except for parts of Northern NJ, while Southern Parts of the state have a Marginal Risk for Severe Thunderstorms. These thunderstorms will be capable of heavy rains, dangerous lightning, and damaging winds. These are the main threats today.

Thursday, the entire state has a threat of Severe Weather with Northern NJ in a Marginal Risk and the rest of the state in a Slight Risk. This threat looks to be damaging winds again for storms throughout the day. This will be updated tomorrow.

Remember, be aware of changing weather conditions and have a way of receiving weather alerts!

Wednesday









Thursday

[Pfishingruven]

Today's Severe Weather Threat has shifted south by a lot. Most of the state is only in a Generalized Thunderstorm Risk, with very southern parts of the state in a Marginal Risk. These southern areas have a risk of severe thunderstorms capable of heavy rains, dangerous lightning, damaging winds, and hail. Other areas could see strong storms capable of heavy rains, dangerous lightning, and gusty winds.

Be aware of changing weather conditions and have a way of receiving weather alerts!

[BigAl13]

Thanks Matt Ive been waiting for the rain