NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Oct 26-27, 2013

[Pfishingruven]

This weekend will be more stable, so weather-wise it will be more sun than clouds and dry.  Highs will continue in the 50’s to low 60’s with overnight lows in the 30’s and 40’s.  Winds will be low to moderate on Saturday, gusty on Saturday Night and back to low to moderate on Sunday.  Water conditions will not be so lucky!  With high pressure departing and an approaching cold front, a pressure gradient will setup over the area on Saturday Night into Sunday with northwest winds 15-20 knots with gusts to 25-30 knots and seas up to 5 feet.  Small Craft Advisories are likely during the time.  Winds will be gusty Saturday Day and Sunday as well, but below SCA criteria.  Surf and beach conditions look good to ok, with just some gusty winds Saturday Night.  Surf will not be too affected by the winds.  Water temperatures are dropping with rivers and bays into the upper 50’s to low 60’s, inshore ocean waters are in the low 60’s, surf temperatures are in the upper 50’s to low 60’s and midshore to offshore waters are in the low to mid 60’s.  UV Index will be Moderate at 3/15.

High pressure over the Plains States will build towards the area Thursday Night into Saturday.  Low pressure will move across the Great Lakes and Southern Canada this weekend and cause a cold front to cross the region early Monday.  More high pressure will then build into the area early next week.  A disturbance will approach the area around midweek.

Next week will start off with high pressure, sunny and dry conditions with high temperatures in upper 50’s to mid 60’s.  Overnight lows will still get down into the 30’s and 40’s.  Midweek a disturbance will move in (frontal boundary a low pressure system possible) and will bring less sun, more clouds and increased rain chances through Thursday or Friday.  This could affect Halloween and right now there is a low chance of rain on Halloween Night.  This could increase throughout the week.  Water and surf conditions look good through midweek.  As the disturbance moves in and out of the area, conditions could be affected, sometime around Wednesday Night through Friday.

The tropics are quiet, hopefully for the remainder of the season!

Have a great weekend!

Saturday
Sky:  Sunny to mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance, Frost possible in the morning (eastern areas)
Temperatures
High:     Low to mid 50’s, possible upper 50’s southern areas
Low:     Mid 40’s inland, mid to upper 40’s coastal areas, upper 30’s across northern areas
UV Index:  3/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:18am
Sunset: 6:02pm
Last Qtr: 7:42pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Good
Weather2Hunt.com –  30/50

Sunday
Sky:  Mostly sunny and then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High:     Upper 50’s to low 60’s
Low:     Upper 30’s inland, upper 40’s along/on the water, low 30’s across northern areas
UV Index:  3/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:19am
Sunset: 6:01pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Good
Weather2Hunt.com – 30/50

Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday - Monday Precipitation Total



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature: 58°F
Saturday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less building 1-2 feet in the afternoon
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots 
Seas:  2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday
Wind:  W 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  61°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: W 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 13 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: WNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  53°F
Saturday
Wind:  W 7-10 knots increasing 10-15 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  1 foot
Saturday Night
Wind:  SW 15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  1 foot
Sunday
Wind:  W 10-13 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  1 foot
Sunday Night
Wind:  WNW 6-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  1 foot

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  62°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: W 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: WNW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  60°F
Saturday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  SW 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  63°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: W 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  WNW 2 feet at 4 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  WSW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  SW 5 feet at 6 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SW 4 feet at 6 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface




20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)