A very unsettled week with precipitation, a return of Arctic Air and cautious to hazardous water conditions. The week will start off dry on Monday with sunny skies and clouds building throughout the day with cold air moving in Monday Night. It’s a return of the “polar vortex,” we have all heard too much about this winter. Precipitation will move in on Tuesday with possible snow accumulations. Areas south and east of the I-95 corridor look to have the highest chances of 1-3/2-4 inches of snow, with areas north and west of I-95 having less chances, but could still see some snow showers. Wednesday looks to be clear again before precipitation returns on Thursday for parts of the state. Snow showers are possible with accumulations on Thursday before clearing out again for Friday. High temperatures will range from the 40’s on Monday down to the teens by mid week. Lows will be in the 30’s on Monday down to single digits by midweek. Wind chills could drop temperatures by an additional 10-20 degrees. Winds will be gusty most of the week, with Monday and Wednesday the windiest. Water conditions will vary by day, time and location, but look to be cautious to hazardous most of the week. Monday and Wednesday Night are the only times where conditions look to be below SCA criteria. Winds could gust to gale force this week with seas 3-5 feet inshore and 4-8 feet offshore. Surf and beach conditions will echo the water conditions with good to ok to cautious conditions due to gusting winds and rough, elevated surf. Water temperatures are steady in the upper 30’s for bays and rivers, low to mid 40’s for inshore ocean waters, upper 30’s to low 40’s for surf and upper 40’s to low 50’s offshore. UV Index will be Low varying from 0-2/15 this week.
I will update snowfall forecasts closer to the event. Below is NWS PHI Briefing #1.
NWS PHI Briefing #1A weakening trough will move offshore Sunday Night. A stronger area of low pressure will move eastward across Southern Canada Sunday Night into Monday, dragging a frontal boundary through the East Coast on Monday. An area of low pressure is expected to form along this frontal boundary on Monday and pass to the east on Tuesday. Arctic High Pressure will then build to the south Tuesday into Wednesday. Another clipper type low pressure system and its associated cold front will move through the Mid-Atlantic States Wednesday Night into Thursday. Another Arctic High Pressure system will reach the Tennessee Valley on Friday and move east and offshore on Saturday. Another cold front from Central Canada will move across the forecast area later Saturday or Sunday.
The weekend looks to be clear and dry with temperatures moderating back some into the 20’s to 30’s during the day and teens to 20’s overnight. Water conditions look to be cautious to hazardous this weekend with surf and beach conditions cautious.
Have a great week!
Monday – Martin Luther King Jr DaySky: Mostly sunny to mostly cloudy (clouds increase towards the north)
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance during the day and night for all areas except northern/northwestern areas 20% chance of rain snow during the day, 0%-sight chance at night
Temperatures
High: Low to upper 40’s
Low: Low 20’s inland, mid to upper 20’s along the coast, mid teens northern areas
UV Index: 1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:14am
Sunset: 5:00pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather - Poor
Weather2Hunt - 37/50
Tuesday Sky: Cloudy to mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 40%-70% chance of snow south of I95 corridor, lower chances north and west of I95
Temperatures
High: Upper 20’s to low 30’s inland and along the coast, upper teens to low 20’s across northern areas
Low: 8-10 degrees inland, 10-15 degrees along the coast, 1-5 degrees across northern areas
UV Index: 0-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:13am
Sunset: 5:01pm
First Qtr: 10:40pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt - 37/50
Wednesday Sky: Mostly sunny to sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Upper teens to low 20’s
Low: Low teens inland, mid teens along the coast, mid single digits across northern areas
UV Index: 1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:13am
Sunset: 5:03pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt - 33/50
ThursdaySky: Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-30% chance of snow showers
Temperatures
High: Upper 20’s to low 30’s inland and along the coast, low 20’s across northern areas
Low: Low teens inland, upper teens along the coast, upper single digits across northern areas
UV Index: 1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:12am
Sunset: 5:04pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt - 37/50
FridaySky: Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Upper 20’s to low 30’s inland and along the coast, mid 20’s across northern areas
Low: Low 20’s inland and along the coast, mid teens across northern areas
UV Index: 1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:12am
Sunset: 5:05pm
Last Qtr: 12:20am
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt - 40/50
Monday Surface Analysis
Tuesday Surface Analysis
Wednesday Surface Analysis
Thursday Surface Analysis
Friday Surface
Total Precipitation Monday - Friday
Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday
Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) ForecastsRaritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy HookWater Temperature: 38°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: W 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots in the morning
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: NW 10-15 knots becoming N with gusts to 20 knots after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet after midnight
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feetTuesdayWind: N 10-15 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: N 15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feetWednesday NightWind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
ThursdayWind: W 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Thursday NightWind: NW 10-15 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
FridayWind: W 10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Friday NightWind: W 10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Sandy Hook Tides (Bay) Sandy Hook Tides 
Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NYWater Temperature: 38°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 16 to 22 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feetTuesday MorningWinds: N 8 to 11 knots
Seas: S 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday AfternoonWinds: NNE 13 to 17 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 15 to 21 knots
Seas: E 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: NNW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feetThursday MorningWinds: W 9 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feetFriday MorningWinds: WNW 13 to 17 knots
Seas: NW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas: WSW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feetConey Island, NY Tides Coney Island Tides
Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat InletWater Temperature: 41°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 16 to 21 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feetTuesday MorningWinds: N 9 to 13 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday AfternoonWinds: NNE 13 to 18 knots
Seas: NE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: ENE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: ENE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feetThursday MorningWinds: W 9 to 12 knots
Seas: E 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feetFriday MorningWinds: WNW 12 to 17 knots
Seas: N 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday AfternoonWinds: WSW 12 to 17 knots
Seas: WSW 1 feet at 3 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Manasquan Inlet Tides Manasquan Inlet Tides
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)Water Temperature: 36°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: W 13-17 knots with gusts to 23 knots
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feetMonday NightWind: W 12-15 knots becoming WNW 9-12 in the evening
Seas: 1 foot or less building to 2 feet
Surf: 0-1 feet then 1 foot
TuesdayWind: N 16 knots with gusts to 22 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NNW 17-20 knots with gusts to 27 knots
Seas: 1 foot building to 3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feetWednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 14-17 knots with gusts to 23 knots
Seas: 3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feetWednesday NightWind: WNW 7-12 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots after midnight
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday Wind: SSW 5-8 knots becoming WSW 10-13 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: NW 13-16 knots with gusts to 22 knots
Seas: 2 feet
Surf: 1 footFridayWind: W 10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Friday NightWind: W 10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) TidesBarnegat Bay Tides
Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)Water Temperature: 43°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 19 to 26 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 17 to 23 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNE 14 to 19 knots
Seas: NE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 20 to 27 knots
Seas: NE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feetWednesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 23 to 31 knots
Seas: NNW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 29 knots
Seas: NW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feetThursday MorningWinds: WSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: E 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 26 knots
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: NNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feetFriday AfternoonWinds: W 10 to 14 knots
Seas: NW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Cape May (Ocean) Tides Cape May Tides
Delaware BayWater Temperature: 36°F-41°F
MondayWind: W 15 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the late evening/early morning then NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots late
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: N 15-20 knots increasing 20-25 knots late
Seas: 3-5 feet, Chance of light freezing spray
Surf: 1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots
Seas: 3-5 feet, Light freezing spray
Surf: 1-3 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 3-4 feet, Light freezing spray
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming SW 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: SW 10-15 knots becoming W 15-20 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: NW 15-20 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet, Light freezing spray
Surf: 1-3 feetFridayWind: NW 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday NightWind: SW 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) TidesDelaware River Tides
Offshore WatersMidshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)Water Temperature: 49°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 19 to 25 knots
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 7 seconds
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 21 to 29 knots
Seas: SSW 7 feet at 7 secondsTuesday MorningWinds: NNE 10 to 14 knots
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 20 to 27 knots
Seas: NE 5 feet at 5 seconds
Wednesday Morning[/b
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY]
Winds: NW 20 to 27 knots
Seas: NE 7 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 28 knots
Seas: NNW 7 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: W 4 feet at 5 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 24 knots
Seas: WSW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: NW 5 feet at 5 secondsFriday AfternoonWinds: WNW 13 to 17 knots
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Sea Surface TemperaturesSurface
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day LoopNWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day LoopOcean CurrentsSurface
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution! 
*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
