Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Nov 18-21, 2014  (Read 2995 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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A blast of frigid air moves into the region and water conditions are cautious to hazardous at best. As a strong cold front moves across the region, very cold air will move in for the remainder of the week. Clouds will continue to clear and be mixed for the rest of the week with sun, as dry conditions move in. Northern areas could see some snow showers throughout the week, but nothing accumulating. The headlines this week are the cold air and windy conditions. Highs for Tuesday will not get much above freezing with winds to 30 knots and wind chills in the teens and 20’s. Wednesday through Friday will see highs temper back into the 40’s, but not much above low to mid 40’s. Overnight lows on Tuesday night will be in the teens and 20’s, increasing into the 20’s and 30’s by weeks end. Coastal areas will see the still warmer ocean air influences and will not get as cold. The weekend will bring a warmup back into average to slightly above average temperatures for next week into Thanksgiving. Water conditions are cautious to hazardous, with a slight window on Wednesday with winds and seas subsiding, only to increase for the end of the week. Currently, Gale Warnings and Small Craft Advisories are in effect for winds to 40 knots and seas 4-8 feet inshore and 5-10 feet offshore. Surf conditions are ok to cautious. Winds will be gusty, surf rough and dangerous and wave heights 3-5 feet and 4-6 feet. Water temperatures have cooled a few degrees, still in the 50’s and 60’s. This next few days should allow the temperatures to drop a few degrees more, before warming again with next week. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 1-3/15.

Low pressure tracking into Eastern Canada will send a strong cold front across the region on Monday Night. High pressure will then build toward the Mid Atlantic later on Tuesday through Wednesday, with another cold front cross the area on Thursday. More high pressure will influence the region later on Friday and into the weekend. A warm front will approach the region on Sunday.


Saturday looks dry, but Sunday could see rain chances again. Highs will only be in the 40’s on Saturday, but up into the 50’s on Sunday. Overnight lows will be in the 30’s on Saturday and 40’s on Sunday. Water, surf and beach conditions will be borderline on Saturday and cautious again on Sunday.

The Atlantic Tropics are quiet.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear, WINDY
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 30’s (wind chills in the teens and 20’s)
Low:   Upper teens inland, low 20’s along the coast, mid teens across northern areas
UV Index:  2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:44am
Sunset: 4:39pm


Wednesday
Sky:   Partly sunny to sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy, WINDY
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance, 20% chance of snow showers across northern areas
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 30’s
Low:   Upper 20’s inland, low 30’s along the coast, low 20’s across northern areas
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 6:45am
Sunset: 4:38pm


Thursday
Sky:   Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance, 20% chance of snow showers during the day across northern areas
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 40’s
Low:   Mid 20’s inland, low to mid 30’s along the coast, low 20’s across northern areas
UV Index:  1-2/15(Low)
Sunrise: 6:46am
Sunset: 4:37pm


Friday
Sky:   Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy, WINDY
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance, slight chance of flurries across northern areas
Temperatures
High:   Mid 30’s to low 40’s
Low:   Mid 20’s inland, low to mid 30’s along the coast, low 20’s across northern areas
UV Index:  2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:48am
Sunset: 4:37pm


Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  47°F
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots becoming SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the late evening
Seas:  1-2 feet, subsiding to 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Friday
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                          



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  47°F
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  WNW 3 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  WNW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet


Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  56°F
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: W 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 17 to 22 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  W 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  WNW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  51°F
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 19-22 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 17-19 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Wednesday
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 11-16 knots with gusts to 22 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Thursday
Wind:  W 16 knots with gusts to 22 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  W 14 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  WNW 14 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NW 7-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  58°F
Tuesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 22 to 30 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet   

Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: W 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet

Friday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 29 knots
Seas:  NW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  NW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet


Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  50°F-54°F
Tuesday
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 25-30 knots with gusts to 40 knots diminishing to 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots late
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet

Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 20-25 knots diminishing to 15-20 knots late
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  SW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet

Friday
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  60°F
Tuesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 26 to 35 knots
Seas:  SSE 10 feet at 10 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 24 to 32 knots
Seas:  W 8 feet at 6 seconds

Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  W 6 feet at 6 seconds

Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: W 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  W 4 feet at 5 seconds
Thursday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 22 to 30 knots
Seas:  SW 8 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 22 to 30 knots
Seas:  SW 8 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 24 to 32 knots
Seas:  WNW 7 feet at 6 seconds

Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  WNW 6 feet at 5 seconds


Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 





Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
« Last Edit: November 18, 2014, 03:03:31 AM by Pfishingruven »


Offline Capt. Carl

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Nov 18-21, 2014
« Reply #1 on: November 18, 2014, 04:26:40 PM »
Another week of great weather!.....thanks again Matt!  ;D
Capt. Carl DiMenna
100 Ton U.S.C.G Master


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Nov 18-21, 2014
« Reply #2 on: November 18, 2014, 04:49:03 PM »
Another week of great weather!.....thanks again Matt!  ;D

 ;D...I guess it is better than 6 feet of snow in Buffalo!

Offline IrishAyes

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Nov 18-21, 2014
« Reply #3 on: November 18, 2014, 09:20:55 PM »
Another week of great weather!.....thanks again Matt!  ;D

 ;D...I guess it is better than 6 feet of snow in Buffalo!


Touche!  slt
Captain Joe of the Irish Ayes

May the holes in your net be no larger than the fish in it.  ~Irish Blessing


 

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