Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition:Apr 27-May 1, 2015  (Read 1447 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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A mixed week with some chances of rain and average temperatures with a mix of water conditions as well, as a coastal low moves through the adjacent coastal waters late in the week. Monday will start with patchy frost in the morning and chances of scattered showers across the state for the entire day. Highs will only be in the 50’s and low 60’s with overnight lows back into the 40’s. Tuesday and Wednesday will be dry with a mix of sun and clouds. Highs will be in the 60’s and 70’s with 50’s and 60’s along the coast. Overnight lows will only be back into the 40’s. Thursday will be more clouds with chances of scattered showers again. Friday will be dry with a mix of sun and clouds again. Coastal and adjacent ocean waters will have more clouds than inland as a low pressure system moves out to sea. Highs will be in the 50’s and 60’s with overnight lows in the 40’s. Water conditions will be cautious on Monday with Small Craft Advisories through at least the afternoon. Conditions should improve later in the day and into the overnight. Tuesday Morning could see some cautious conditions as well, then improve for the rest of the day through Thursday Evening before deteriorating. Tuesday and Wednesday could see some seas approaching 3 feet, which could make for some borderline conditions for some and midshore to offshore waters could be borderline to cautious, as well. Thursday Night will see increasing winds and seas becoming hazardous on Friday. Winds will gust to gale force with seas to 12 feet midshore to offshore as the system moves out to sea off the coast. Surf conditions will be good all week. Monday and Tuesday could see some gustier winds to 20+ knots or so, but surf will remain around 1-3 feet on average. The rest of the week will be good, until later on Thursday as conditions deteriorate and become cautious with winds to 30 knots possible. Surf heights will increase to 5-8 feet on average with the possibility for some larger waves over 8 feet or more. Water temperatures are steady in the 40’s and 50’s, including surf temperatures still in the upper 40’s as well as offshore waters. Southern offshore waters are beginning to increase into the 50’s already, as the warm Gulf Stream currents begin moving north, slowly.  UV Index will range from Moderate to High at 3-6/15.

A large and complex low pressure system over the western North Atlantic will continue to move slowly out to sea during the early and middle parts of the week. High pressure will build into the region gradually from the northwest and west. Another area of low pressure will pass off the North Carolina Coast on Thursday before moving out to sea. High pressure will then build into the region from the west on Friday before passing off the coast during the coming weekend.

The weekend looks dry, with highs in the 60’s and 70’s and overnight lows in the 40’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will start off cautious on Saturday improving into Sunday, which will have good conditions.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Mostly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  Patchy frost in the morning, 20%-30% chance of showers all day
Temperatures
High:    Upper 50’s to low 60’s
Low:   Low to mid 40’s
UV Index:  4-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 6:03am
Sunset: 7:46pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 60’s inland, upper 50’s to low 60’s along the coast/on the water
Low:   Low to upper 40’s
UV Index:  3-5/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:01am
Sunset: 7:47pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:    Low 70’s inland, mid 60’s along the coast/on the water
Low:   Low 40’s to low 50’s
UV Index:  6/15 (High)
Sunrise: 6:00am
Sunset: 7:48pm


Thursday
Sky:   Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30% chance of showers all day
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 60’s inland, mid 50’s along the coast/on the water
Low:   Low to mid 40’s
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 5:59am
Sunset: 7:49pm


Friday
Sky:   Partly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 60’s inland, mid 50’s along the coast/on the water
Low:   Low to upper 40’s
UV Index:  5-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 5:57am
Sunset: 7:50pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  52°F
Monday
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, then 2 feet in the afternoon
Surf (Ocean):   1-3 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  N 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Tuesday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots becoming E after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots becoming NE after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  N 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  N 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  4-6 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  52°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:   1-3 feet
Monday Night
Winds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  S 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  N 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  NNE 1 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  E 1 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: W 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  WNW 1 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: N 1 to 2 knots
Seas:  S 1 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  S 1 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet


Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  46°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: NW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  NNE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: N 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  NNE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  ENE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  E 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WSW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ENE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ENE 1 feet at 9 seconds
 Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  ESE 7 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  5-7 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  5-7 feet


Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  46°F
Monday
Wind:  NW 11-13 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 15 knots with gusts to 21 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  N 14-17 knots decreasing to 10-13 knots with gusts to 24 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Tuesday Night
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming N 6 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:  WNW 6-8 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:  S 5-7 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots in the evening
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming E 5-10 knots in the morning
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday Night
Wind:  E 10-13 knots becoming NE after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday
Wind:  N 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  N 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  48°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NNW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Night
Winds: WNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  N 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  N 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  NE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ENE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ENE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: SSW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  ENE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ENE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 22 to 30 knots
Seas:  E 6 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  5-7 feet
Friday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 24 to 33 knots
Seas:  ENE 6 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  5-7 feet


Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  51°F -55°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  N 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet

Tuesday Night
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:   2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday
Winds:  E 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  3-5 feet
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 10-15 knots increasing to NE 15-20 knots after midnight
Seas:  3-5 feet
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  N 15-20 knots becoming NE 10-15 knots in the afternoon, then N 5-10 knots in the evening
Seas:  3-5 feet
Surf:  2-4 feet

Friday Night
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  3-5 feet
Surf:  2-4 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  45°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 8 seconds
Monday Night
Winds: W 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: N 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  NNW 4 feet at 5 seconds

Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  N 3 feet at 4 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: W 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ENE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  ENE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Morning
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 31 to 42 knots
Seas:  ENE 13 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 26 to 35 knots
Seas:  ENE 12 feet at 10 seconds


Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 





Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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