A rougher start to the week, but improving conditions by midweek or so. Monday will be dry with increasing clouds as rain and thunderstorms move in during the overnight and stick around for Tuesday before clearing out for Wednesday. Monday Night and Tuesday will see upwards of 1.5-2 inches of rain possible, as well as strong to severe thunderstorms likely. Wednesday will have very low chances of isolated or scattered showers and then dry for the remainder of the day and then through Friday. Highs will be in the mid 70’s to mid 80’s this week with temperatures slowly inching up into the weekend when heat and humidity return. Overnight lows will drop down into the upper 50’s and low 60’s with some mid 60’s at the shore before jumping back up into the mid 60’s to low 70’s. Humidity will be lower to moderate increasing to moderate and then high by the end of the week into the weekend. Water conditions will be borderline on Monday, cautious for Tuesday and borderline to good on Wednesday then good for the remainder of the week. Rivers and bays will have better conditions and offshore waters will be more cautious to even hazardous and then borderline for the rest of the week. Seas on the ocean could approach 6-8 feet, but look to stay in the 2-4 range before improving to 2-3 and then 2 feet or less. Surf and beach conditions will be cautious to ok to start the week and then ok to good to end the week. Surf will be rough to start at 3-5 feet even 4-6 feet possible, improving to 2-4 feet and then 1-3 feet. Rip Current Risks will be Moderate to High for the first half of the week, improving to Moderate to Low by the end of the week. Be aware of dangerous water conditions and thunderstorms for the beginning of the week. Water temperatures have dropped by a few degrees, but still in the 70’s. UV Index will be Low to Very High at 1-9/15.
High pressure will gradually move east and offshore through Monday. By Monday Night, an areas of low pressure will be tracking around the Eastern Great Lakes. Its associated warm front will move north through the region into early Tuesday, followed by a cold front tracking east to the coast and offshore later Tuesday through Tuesday Night. High pressure will then build into the region for the middle to the end of the week. Another cold front may approach from the northwest next weekend.
The weekend looks to be mostly dry, but the heat and humidity return. Highs will be in the 80’s with upper 80’s inland and lower to mid 80’s at the shore. Overnight lows will be in the 60’s and 70’s. Water, surf and beach conditions look to be borderline on Saturday and good on Sunday. Let’s see how this pans out over the next 5 days or so.
The Atlantic Tropics are quiet again.
Have a great week and thanks for reading!
MondaySky: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-20% chance of showers and thunderstorms during the day, 50%-80% chance of rain and thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High: Upper 70’s to low 80’s
Low: Upper 60’s to low 70’s
UV Index: 3-9/15 (Low-Very High)
Sunrise: 6:03am
Sunset: 8:01pm
TuesdaySky: Mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation: 80% chance of rain and thunderstorms during the day, 60%-->30% chance of showers and thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High: Upper 70’s to low 80’s
Low: Upper 60’s to low 70’s with low 60’s across northern areas
UV Index: 1-6/15 (Low-High)
Sunrise: 6:04am
Sunset: 8:00pm
WednesdaySky: Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation: Slight chance of isolated to scattered showers during the day (mainly southern areas)
Temperatures
High: Upper 70’s to low 80’s
Low: Low 60’s inland, mid 60’s at the shore, upper 50’s across northern areas
UV Index: 7-9/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 6:05am
Sunset: 7:58pm
ThursdaySky: Sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Upper 70’s to low 80’s
Low: Low to mid 60’s inland, upper 60’s at the shore, mid to upper 50’s across northern areas
UV Index: 7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 6:05am
Sunset: 7:57pm
FridaySky: Sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Low to mid 80’s
Low: Mid to upper 60’s inland, low 70’s at the shore, low 60’s across northern areas
UV Index: 7-9/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 6:06am
Sunset: 7:56pm
New Moon: 10:55am
Monday Surface Analysis
Tuesday Surface Analysis
Wednesday Surface Analysis
Thursday Surface Analysis
Friday Surface
Total Precipitation Monday - Friday
Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday
Monday & Tuesday Severe Weather Risks
Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) ForecastsRaritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy HookWater Temperature: 73°F
MondayWind: E 5 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Monday NightWind: S 10-15 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
TuesdayWind: S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 3-6 feet
Tuesday NightWind: SW 10-15 knots becoming W 5 knots after midnight
Seas: 1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 3-6 feet
WednesdayWind: NW 5 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Wednesday NightWind: SW 5-10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
ThursdayWind: NW 5-10 knots becoming W
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Thursday NightWind: W 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
FridayWind: W 5 knots becoming SW
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Friday NightWind: SW 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Sandy Hook Tides (Bay) Sandy Hook Tides 
Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NYWater Temperature: 73°F
Monday MorningWinds: ENE 7 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Monday AfternoonWinds: SSE 9 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 19 to 26 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 3-6 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 18 to 24 knots
Seas: S 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 3-6 feetWednesday MorningWinds: NW 7 to 9 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: W 5 to 7 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Thursday MorningWinds: NNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday AfternoonWinds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday MorningWinds: WSW 11 to 14 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Friday AfternoonWinds: SSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Coney Island, NY Tides Coney Island Tides
Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat InletWater Temperature: 76°F
Monday MorningWinds: ENE 7 to 10 knots
Seas: E 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 3-4 feet
Monday AfternoonWinds: ESE 7 to 10 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 3-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 18 to 25 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feetWednesday MorningWinds: NW 10 to 14 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: WNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Thursday MorningWinds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday AfternoonWinds: NW 5 to 6 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday MorningWinds: WSW 11 to 14 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday AfternoonWinds: SSW 11 to 14 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Manasquan Inlet Tides Manasquan Inlet Tides
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)Water Temperature: 72°F
MondayWind: E 7-9 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Monday NightWind: S 11 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: S 14-16 knots with gusts to 22 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feetTuesday NightWind: SW 7-11 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
WednesdayWind: WNW 9 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Wednesday NightWind: WNW 7-10 knots becoming NNW after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
ThursdayWind: NNW 6 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday NightWind: W 6 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
FridayWind: W 5 knots becoming SW
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Friday NightWind: SW 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) TidesBarnegat Bay Tides
Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)Water Temperature: 76°F
Monday MorningWinds: E 6 to 9 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Monday AfternoonWinds: SE 9 to 12 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 17 to 22 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 20 to 26 knots
Seas: S 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 3-5 feetWednesday MorningWinds: NNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Thursday MorningWinds: NNW 9 to 13 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday AfternoonWinds: NW 6 to 9 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday MorningWinds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday AfternoonWinds: S 7 to 9 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Cape May (Ocean) Tides Cape May Tides
Delaware BayWater Temperature: 72°F-76°F
MondayWind: SE 5-10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Monday NightWind: S 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: SW 10 knots becoming NW with gusts to 20 knots after midnight
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feetWednesdayWind: NW 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday NightWind: NW 10-15 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
ThursdayWinds: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday NightWinds: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 0-1 feet
FridayWind: W 5 knots becoming SW
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Friday NightWind: SW 5 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) TidesDelaware River Tides
Offshore WatersMidshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)Chicken CanyonWater Temperature: 71°F
Monday MorningWinds: NE 8 to 11 knots
Seas: E 5 feet at 8 seconds
Monday AfternoonWinds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Seas: E 4 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 17 to 23 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 20 to 27 knots
Seas: SSW 7 feet at 6 secondsWednesday MorningWinds: NW 8 to 10 knots
Seas: S 5 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday MorningWinds: NW 7 to 10 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday AfternoonWinds: WNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Friday MorningWinds: WSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Friday AfternoonWinds: SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Sea Surface TemperaturesSurface
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day LoopNWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day LoopOcean CurrentsSurface
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution! 
*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
