Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Nov 9-13, 2015  (Read 1949 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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The week will be very unsettled with rain chances throughout the week and cautious water conditions. The week will start off sunny with increasing clouds throughout the day. Clouds will increase into the night with rain chances. Rain will continue on Tuesday with chances decreasing into the night/overnight. Rain will be organized and widespread. Wednesday will be dry with fog at night. Thursday will have showers chances return, greater during the day, with scattered to widely scattered chances. Friday will clear out with a mix of sun and cloud and dry conditions. Highs will be in the 50’s and 60’s with overnight lows in the 30’s to 50’s. 30’s won’t appear until Friday Night. With unsettled fronts and lows, water conditions will be mostly cautious this week. Monday will start off good for all waters except midshore to offshore becoming cautious by later afternoon and night. Conditions will continue to be cautious to hazardous for Tuesday through Friday. Winds will gust to 30 knots with seas to 10 feet midshore to offshore. Rivers and bays will have some good to borderline conditions from Tuesday on, however, gusty winds are possible kicking up seas as well. Water temperatures are steady in the upper 50’s to low 60’s. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 0-4/15.

High pressure over the Mid Atlantic States will shift offshore on Monday. Low pressure forming in the Souhteastern States will move up the East Coast on Tuesday, passing slowly eastward from Coastal NJ on Tuesday Evening. Weak high pressure follows later on Wednesday. A large and intense storm north of the Great Lakes Thursday, sends a cold front eastward off the East Coast by Thursday Night. A secondary cold front associated with the large low in Southeast Canada should pass through the area next Saturday.

The weekend could have chances of rain mainly on Saturday, however, it could be dry depending on the timing and track of the low. It is too early to definitively call this weekend. Highs will be in the 50’s with overnight lows in the 30’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be cautious to hazardous with gusty winds to 30 knots and seas to 6+ feet.

There is an area of invest in the Caribbean that will likely develop into something tropical. Right now, that system stays offshore, but it needs to be watched over the next days to week.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Sunny increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-90% chance of rain at night
Temperatures
High:    Upper 50’s to low 60’s
Low:   Low 50’s inland, mid to upper 50’s at the shore, low 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  1-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:34am
Sunset: 4:47pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Cloudy
Precipitation:  80%-100% chance of rain during the day, 30%-70% chance of rain at night
Temperatures
High:   Upper 50’s to mid 60’s with low 50’s across northern areas
Low:   Low 50’s inland, mid 50’s at the shore, mid 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  0-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:35am
Sunset: 4:46pm


Wednesday~Veterans Day
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy, Fog at night
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 50’s to mid 60’s
Low:   Upper 40’s to mid 50’s with low 40’s across northern areas
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:36am
Sunset: 4:45pm
New Moon: 12:48pm


Thursday
Sky:   Cloudy becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  40%-60% chance of showers during the day, 0%-30% chance of showers at night (early and mostly across southern areas)
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 60’s
Low:   Upper 40’s inland, low 50’s at the shore, low 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  0-1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 6:37am
Sunset: 4:44pm


Friday
Sky:   Mostly sunny to sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 50’s to mid 60’s
Low:   Mid 30’s to low 40’s
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:38am
Sunset: 4:43pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Severe Weather Threats Wednesday & Thursday




Atlantic Tropics




Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  58°F
Monday
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots becoming E 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  N 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  5-7 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  N 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  4-6 feet

Wednesday Night
Wind:  N 5 knots becoming E after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots becoming SW 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet, building to 2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet
Friday
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, building to 2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  4-6 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  4-6 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                          



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  58°F
Monday Morning
Winds: W 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SW 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  5-7 feet

Wednesday Morning
Winds: N 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: N 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  W 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 20 to 28 knots
Seas:  WSW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet


Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  60°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WNW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  4-7 feet

Wednesday Morning
Winds: N 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: N 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  3-5  feet


Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  58°F
Monday
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  E 6-9 knots becoming ENE 10-13 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  ENE 12-16 knots with gusts to 22 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet

Tuesday Night
Wind:  NNW 11 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  NNW 8-11 knots becoming NE in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  ESE 6-9 knots increasing to 9-12 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SE 12-17 knots becoming SSW in the afternoon with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 15 knots becoming W in the evening with gusts to 21 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Friday Night
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  61°F
Monday Morning
Winds: ENE 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  SE 6 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet

Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 6 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: SSW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 17 to 22 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet


Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  54°F-61°F
Monday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  E 10-15 knots becoming NE 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NE 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet, visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-3 feet

Tuesday Night
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Winds: S 10-15 knots increasing to 15-20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 15-20 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet
Friday[/]
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 15-20 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet
Friday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 15-20 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet


Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  60°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WSW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 6 seconds

Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 22 to 30 knots
Seas:  SE 9 feet at 8 seconds

Wednesday Morning
Winds: N 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SE 7 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: N 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SE 6 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: SE 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 9 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  W 7 feet at 6 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 20 to 28 knots
Seas:  WSW 6 feet at 6 seconds


Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface





20 Meters (≈65 feet)








Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
« Last Edit: November 08, 2015, 09:17:41 PM by Pfishingruven »


Offline fellinger

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Nov 9-13, 2015
« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2015, 09:22:32 PM »
Thanks. I hope Thursday can turn around. It is the only day I might have available.


Fred, fishing the "Kristy Marie" from Manasquan River Club. Channels 16/67/68.


 

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