Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Feb 20-21, 2016  (Read 1267 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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A mixed weekend with rain chances, warmer temperatures and some cautious water conditions. Saturday will be dry with shower chances increasing for Sunday. Sunday Day will have scattered rain showers and Sunday Night will have greater chances with snow showers possible, mainly across northern areas. Highs will be unseasonable warm in the upper 40’s to upper 50’s. I wouldn’t be surprised to see temperatures pushing 60 degrees on Saturday. Overnight lows will be in the 30’s to 40’s. Water conditions will start off cautious on Saturday, carrying over from Friday with gusty winds to 25 knots, but only sustained to 15 knots. Saturday Day seas will be in the 4 foot range. Saturday Night will have borderline to good conditions, mainly for elevated seas to 4 feet. Sunday will have borderline to good conditions, except for midshore to offshore, which will be cautious. Surf conditions will be ok with gusty winds on Saturday, diminishing throughout the day. Surf will be 3-6 feet diminishing to 2-5 feet. Beach conditions could still be hazardous from the coastal storms. Water temperatures are steady in the 30’s and 40’s. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 1-4/15.

High pressure will remain across the region today before moving offshore Friday Night. Low pressure will move across Southern Canada over the weekend and cause a cold front to cross the region on Saturday Night. The front is forecast to stall just south of the region on Sunday. Weak low pressure will ride along this front early next week. Another area of low pressure is then forecast to move northward along the Mid Atlantic Coast later Tuesday and Wednesday, slowly departing on Thursday.

The upcoming week will have rain/snow chances from Tuesday through Friday. Monday will be the only dry day. There is the potential for another Winter Storm on Tuesday to Wednesday right now, so that will need to be watched. Highs will range from the 30’s to 40’s with overnight lows in the 20’s to 30’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be cautious to hazardous most of the week, right now.
 
Saturday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:     Low to upper 50’s
Low:     Upper 30’s to low 40’s inland and at the shore, mid 30’s northern areas
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:44am
Sunset: 5:36pm


Sunday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  20% chance of rain showers during the day, 50% chance of rain/snow showers at night
Temperatures
High:     Upper 40’s to mid 50’s
Low:     Mid 30’s inland, upper 30’s at the shore, low 30’s northern areas
UV Index:  1-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:42am
Sunset: 5:38pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  34°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
Winds:  SW 5-10 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet in the morning, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  4-6 feet

Saturday Night
Winds: W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet after midnight
Surf (Ocean):  4-6 feet
Sunday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  34°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 20 to 26 knots
Seas:  S 6 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  4-6 feet

Saturday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  4-6 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: W 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 11 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: W 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 12 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 Feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  41°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Sunday Morning
Winds: WSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet


Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  37°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 15-18 knots decreasing to 11-14 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Saturday Night
Wind:  SW 8-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind:  W 5-7 knots becoming NW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  41°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Sunday Morning
Winds: WSW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  38°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Saturday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Sunday
Wind:  W 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Sunday Night
Wind:  Light and variable winds becoming NW 5-10 after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  40°F-46°F
Saturday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 22 to 30 knots
Seas:  SW 7 feet at 6 seconds

Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 17 to 24 knots
Seas:  SW 7 feet at 7 seconds

Sunday Morning
Winds: W 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 11 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 12 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



Ocean Currents

Surface




20 Meters (≈65 feet)







Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!



*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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