Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: July 16-17, 2016  (Read 1295 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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Overall a settled weekend with good water conditions. Saturday and Sunday will be mostly dry. Saturday will have an isolated chance of showers and thunderstorms. Those chances increase for Saturday Night and Sunday for Southern NJ. Sunday will also have a chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms and an isolated to scattered chance of showers and thunderstorms for Southern NJ. These chances are very, very low, but don’t be surprised if a pop-up thunderstorm occurs. Keep this in mind while out this weekend. Temperatures will continue in the upper 80’s to low 90’s on Saturday inland, with slightly cooler temperatures, in the mid 80’s, at the shore. Overnight lows on Saturday will continue in the 60’s and 70’s with moderate to high humidity. Sunday will continue with slightly cooler temperatures with highs only in the upper 80’s and low to mid 80’s at the shore. Overnight lows will continue to be in the 60’s and 70’s. Water conditions will be good across the board, for all locations at all times. Max seas are 3 feet on Saturday and 2 feet on Sunday, with winds at or below 10 knot sustained. A gust to 15 knots is possible, but lower chances. I actually think lack of wind could prove to be a problem this weekend and will make conditions hotter on the water. Conditions in and around any thunderstorms will bring increased winds and seas, so be aware of any storms moving in or quickly popping up. Surf and beach conditions will be good with a Low Risk of Rip Currents. A low risk of rip currents does not mean NO risk and thunderstorms are possible moving in and popping up. Water temperatures are in the 70’s and 80’s. UV Index will be Moderate to Very High at 4-10/15.

A weak surface front will remain nearly stationary along the coast today through Sunday. Low pressure may form along this front late Saturday and Sunday. Weak high pressure is then expected for Sunday Night and Monday before another front moves in from the west Monday Night and Tuesday. High pressure returns for the rest of the work
week.


Next week starts off with showers and thunderstorms on Monday and Tuesday, then mostly dry for the rest of the week. Highs will start off in the upper 80’s and then moderate back to the mid 80’s with cooler temperatures at the shore. Overnight lows will start off in the 60’s and 70’s and then drop down into just the 60’s for the rest of the week with some 70’s still at the shore. Water, surf and beach conditions look borderline to maybe cautious Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday, then improving for Thursday and Friday.

Atlantic Tropics are quiet!

Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!

Saturday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:     Upper 80’s to low 90’s inland, mid 80’s at the shore
Low:     Upper 60’s to low 70’s with low 60’s for northern areas
UV Index:  4-8/15 (Moderate - Very High)
Sunrise: 5:41am
Sunset: 8:24pm


Sunday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms (mainly Southern NJ)
Temperatures
High:     Mid to upper 80’s inland, Upper low to mid 80’s at the shore
Low:     Low 70’s with mid to upper 60’s for northern areas
UV Index:  8-10/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:42am
Sunset: 8:23pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Precipitation Totals



Severe Weather Risks for Saturday & Sunday




Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  78°F
Saturday
Winds:    NW 5 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Saturday Night
Winds:    SW 5-10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday
Wind:    N 5-10 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet in the afternoon
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:     S 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet in the evening, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  78°F
Saturday Morning
Winds:    NW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:    SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds:    SW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds:    W 5 to 7 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds:    SSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  77°F
Saturday Morning
Winds:    WNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:    1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds:    SW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds:    WNW 4 to 6 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds:    SSE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  65°F-73°F
Saturday
Wind:     Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming SSW 5-7 knots in the morning
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:     SSW 5-7 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind:     Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:     Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  79°F
Saturday Morning
Winds:    NNW 6 to 9 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds:    NNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:    SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds:    NE 2 to 2 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds:    SSE 5 to 6 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  77°F - 80°F
Saturday
Wind:     W 5 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Saturday Night
Wind:     SW 5 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Sunday
Wind:     W 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Sunday Night
Wind:     S 5 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  73°F
Saturday Morning
Winds:    WNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:    SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
Winds:    WSW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Sunday Morning   
Winds:    WNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
Winds:    WSW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:    ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)







Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!



*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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