Hi All,
I was just down at Ortley at high tide a while ago, it is bad but not to bad this go round. We have a number of tides to go through before it is all over. With each HI tide the scarfing will get worse. Right now if you look at the pictures the water is eroding the beach pretty bad. If it keeps up the dunes will be effected but I hope not to the point of a major breech.
I saw a couple of old friends I worked with while on the job and they seem to think we will be OK but they are still overly optimistic at this point.
We'll see what happens over night and through the next couple high tides.
BTW the waves are 9' + right now even though they do not look it in the pictures.
In the last picture if you look closely (enlarge the picture) about a 1/2 inch down from the horizon you can see the line of demarcation where the sand line is. In other words that is where the sand is mixed very heavily with the water. Which is out about a 1/4 of a mile.