Chance of Severe Weather Monday June 25, 2012

[Pfishingruven]

The Storm Prediction Center has issued a SLIGHT Risk for severe weather tomorrow morning into the afternoon, evening and possibly even the night hours.  The SPC gives Eastern NJ a 15% chance of severe weather and the rest of NJ a 5% chance.

As the front pushes through storms could become severe with the biggest threat being high winds and hail.  Storms will be scattered and and could fire rapidly and quickly intensify forming clusters of strong, organized storms that will move southeastward.  Whether severe or strong, this could certainly become a day long event.

Make sure you keep an ear to a radio and an eye to the sky!

[Reckless]

Looks like another windy week! 

[fellinger]

And the reason no shark fishing for me on Wed. Damn wind!

[Pfishingruven]

The Storm Prediction Center issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Central and Southern NJ, Adjacent Coastal Waters, Parts of PA, NY and CT.

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
   
          CONNECTICUT
          NORTHERN DELAWARE
          CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY
          EXTREME SOUTHEAST NEW YORK AND LONG ISLAND
          SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA
          COASTAL WATERS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 640 AM UNTIL 200
   PM EDT.
   
   HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF
   WINDSOR LOCKS CONNECTICUT TO 30 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF ATLANTIC
   CITY NEW JERSEY.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 424...
   
   DISCUSSION...PRE-FRONTAL TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN STRENGTH
   THROUGH THE MORNING AS AN AXIS OF VERY MOIST AIR IS TAPPED AND
   DYNAMIC ASCENT INCREASES AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. A FEW STORMS
   COULD PRODUCE LARGE HAIL ACROSS CT/LONG ISLAND THIS MORNING. THERE
   MAY BE A RELATIVE MINIMUM IN CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL ACROSS NYC AREA
   GIVEN CURRENT TRENDS. SOUTH OF NYC...ACROSS SERN PA AND NJ...SOME
   DIURNAL INCREASE IN INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY OCCUR BEFORE STRONGER
   FORCING AND SHEAR ARRIVE WITH THE APPROACHING FRONT. THIS SHOULD
   ALLOW FOR STORMS TO INTENSIFY LATER THIS MORNING OVER THESE AREAS
   WITH POSSIBLE LINE SEGMENTS AND CELLS CAPABLE OF BOTH WIND AND
   SEVERE HAIL.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 27035.
   
   
   ...CARBIN

[Pfishingruven]

The Storm Prediction Center has canceled the Severe Thunderstorm Watch for NJ, PA, NY, and CT.  Although the sun is out and it is clear right now, the front has not made it through the area yet and there is still a chance of scattered shower and thunderstorms through the night.  There may even be a chance of strong to severe thunderstorms, especially with the sun out causing more daytime heating.  Do not be surprised if you see a new Severe  Thunderstorm Watch for later htis afternoon into the evening.  Small Craft Advisories and Special Marine Warnings are still in affect for the adjacent coastal and inshore waters.


 

[Pfishingruven]

Special Weather Statement
Alert:   
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BURLINGTON...MONMOUTH AND OCEAN
COUNTIES...
 
AT 514 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TRENTON...MOVING EAST AT 20
MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR WOODRUFF...CASSVILLE AROUND 530
PM...CEDAR GLEN WEST...LEISURE KNOLL AROUND 545 PM...LEISURE
VILLAGE...LEISURE VILLAGE WEST-PINE LAKE PARK AROUND 600 PM...LEISURE
VILLAGE EAST AND HOLIDAY CITY-DOVER AROUND 615 PM.
VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
EXPECT SMALL HAIL UP TO PENNY SIZE AND FREQUENT...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING FROM THIS STORM.
Instructions:   
Target Area:   
Coastal Ocean
Eastern Monmouth
Northwestern Burlington
Ocean
Western Monmouth