NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Weekend Edition July 7-8 2012

[Pfishingruven]

It is going to be a tough weekend, yet just another typical summer weekend here in NJ.  Between the heat, humidity, scattered showers and thunderstorms and cautious conditions offshore, there are a lot of weather factors take into consideration this weekend.  Heat Advisories, Heat Watches and Heat Warnings will continue through the weekend.  Even along the immediate coast will see heat indices into the 100’s.

A cold front will move through the region late Saturday Night into Sunday morning.  It will eventually push far enough south early next week which will be hopefully bring some much needed relief from the excessive heat.  The Storm Prediction Center has already issued a Slight Risk for Severe Weather for both Saturday and Sunday.  The main threats Saturday will be damaging winds and hail and on Sunday damaging winds.

Saturday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  30% with greater chance in the evening
Temperatures
High:  Low 90’s with high humidity and heat index around 101F
Low:  Low to mid 70’s
Sunrise: 5:35am
Sunset: 8:28pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-8/10
Weather2Hunt.com-43/50

Sunday-
Sky:  Partly sunny turning partly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%, scattered showers and thunderstorms during the day and night
Temperatures
High:  Upper 80’s low 90’s
Low:  Upper 60’s low 70’s
Sunrise: 5:35am
Sunset: 8:27pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-8/10
Weather2Hunt.com-43/50

SPC Outlook for Saturday into Sunday


SPC Outlook for Sunday into Monday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  77F
Saturday Morning
Wind: W 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Saturday  Afternoon
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Sunday Morning
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Sunday Afternoon
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less

Sandy Hook Tides (Inside)


Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  72F
Saturday Morning
Winds: WSW 7 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 sec.
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SW 8 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 sec.
Sunday Morning
Winds: NNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 6 sec.
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: NW 2 to 3 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 7 sec.

Manasquan Inlet Tides


Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  74F
Saturday Morning
Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 sec.
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 6 sec.
Sunday Morning
Winds: WNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 6 sec.
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 3 to 4 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 sec.

Cape May (Ocean) Tides



Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  80F
Saturday Morning
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2  feet 
Saturday  Afternoon
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Sunday Morning
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides



Offshore Waters

Hudson Canyon to Baltimore Canyon
Saturday Morning
Winds: WSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 6 sec.
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 6 sec.
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 14 to 19 knots
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 7 sec.
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 7 sec.
 
NWS Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS Gulf Stream Current 3 Day Loop

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather…The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather and the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Reel McCoy]

Love these reports 

[Pfishingruven]

Love these reports 

Thanks...I'm glad you enjoy them!  I enjoy posting them.  This one was a little late.  I was waiting for the newest forecasts to come in and for the SPC to post up their outlooks.

 

[Pfishingruven]

The SPC has issued a Mesoscale Discussion for Central & Northern NJ, PA, NY & CT (see map).  The chances for strong to severe thunderstorms will increase starting this afternoon.  There is an 80% chance that the SPC will issue a Severe Thunderstorm Watch.  These will be fast moving storms capable of damaging winds!



SPC Mesoscale Discussion 1424

[Pfishingruven]

The SPC has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 7PM for Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Hunterdon, Middlesex, Morris, Passaic, Somerset, Sussex, Union & Warren Counties as well as Raritan Bay, parts of PA, NY & CT.



SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 477

[Pfishingruven]

Excessive Heat Warning issued for all of NJ except Sussex, Passaic & Bergen Counties.

http://Excessive Heat Warning
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
357 AM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

NJZ007>010-012>014-020-026-PAZ060>062-080000-
/O.CON.KPHI.EH.W.0004.120707T1600Z-120708T0000Z/
WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...JACKSON...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON
357 AM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* HEAT INDEX VALUES...BETWEEN 105 TO 110 DUE TO TEMPERATURES IN THE
  UPPER 90S TO NEAR 100...AND DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S.

* IMPACTS...THESE CONDITIONS INCREASE THE DANGER OF HEAT RELATED
  ILLNESSES...ESPECIALLY FOR THE ELDERLY... INFIRM... THE VERY
  YOUNG... AND THOSE IN INNER CITY AREAS THAT DO NOT HAVE AIR
  CONDITIONING. PETS ALSO ARE SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE HEAT. PREPARE
  TO REDUCE YOUR AFTERNOON OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES....SPENDING TIME
  IN AIR CONDITIONED ROOMS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING MEANS THAT A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
DANGEROUSLY HOT TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF HOT
TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY WILL CREATE A DANGEROUS SITUATION
IN WHICH HEAT ILLNESSES ARE LIKELY. DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS...STAY
IN AN AIR-CONDITIONED ROOM...STAY OUT OF THE SUN...AND CHECK UP
ON RELATIVES AND NEIGHBORS.

TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN
POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITY TO EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT
STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY - CALL 9 1 1.

&&

$$
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
357 AM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

DEZ002>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ016-021>025-027-080000-
/O.CON.KPHI.EH.W.0004.120707T1600Z-120708T0000Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-
TALBOT-CAROLINE-SALEM-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON...
PENNSVILLE...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...
OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...WHARTON STATE FOREST
357 AM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* HEAT INDEX VALUES...UP TO 110 DUE TO TEMPERATURES AROUND 100
  DEGREES...AND DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S.

* IF A COLD FRONT POISED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY IS
  DELAYED...A HEAT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR SUNDAY.

* IMPACTS...THE HEAT CAN BE DANGEROUS...ESPECIALLY FOR THE
  ELDERLY...INFIRM...THE VERY YOUNG...AND THOSE IN INNER CITY
  AREAS THAT DO NOT HAVE AIR CONDITIONING. PETS ALSO ARE
  SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE HEAT AS IS ANYONE WORKING OR EXERCISING
  OUTDOORS DURING THE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING MEANS THAT A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
DANGEROUSLY HOT TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF HOT
TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY WILL CREATE A DANGEROUS SITUATION
IN WHICH HEAT ILLNESSES ARE LIKELY. DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS...STAY
IN AN AIR-CONDITIONED ROOM...STAY OUT OF THE SUN...AND CHECK UP
ON RELATIVES AND NEIGHBORS.

TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN
POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITY TO EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT
STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

NEVER LEAVE ANY PERSON OR ANIMAL IN A PARKED VEHICLE!

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY - CALL 9 1 1.

&&

$$
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
357 AM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

DEZ001-NJZ015-017>019-PAZ067>071-080000-
/O.CON.KPHI.EH.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120708T1000Z/
NEW CASTLE-MERCER-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...TRENTON...GLASSBORO...
CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...WEST CHESTER...
NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA
357 AM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

* HEAT INDEX VALUES...UP TO 110 DUE TO TEMPERATURES AROUND 100
  DEGREES...AND DEWPOINTS AROUND 70.

* IMPACTS...THE CUMULATIVE IMPACTS OF THE HEAT ARE A DANGER
  ESPECIALLY FOR THE ELDERLY...INFIRM...THE VERY YOUNG...AND
  THOSE IN INNER CITY AREAS THAT DO NOT HAVE AIR CONDITIONING.
  PETS ALSO ARE SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE HEAT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING MEANS THAT A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
DANGEROUSLY HOT TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF HOT
TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY WILL CREATE A DANGEROUS SITUATION
IN WHICH HEAT ILLNESSES ARE LIKELY. DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS...
STAY IN AN AIR CONDITIONED ROOM... STAY OUT OF THE SUN... AND
CHECK UP ON RELATIVES AND NEIGHBORS.

PLEASE MAKE SURE THAT PETS HAVE ACCESS TO PLENTY OF COOL WATER
AND A SHADED AND WELL VENTILATED AREA. THE MOST HUMANE THING TO
DO IS TO BRING THEM INTO AN AIR CONDITIONED PLACE.

NEVER LEAVE ANY PERSON OR ANIMAL IN A PARKED VEHICLE FOR ANY
LENGTH OF TIME.

TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN
POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITY TO EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT
STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY - CALL 9 1 1.

&&

$$

[Pfishingruven]

The SPC has updated a couple of areas, inclusing Ocean County and parts of Burlington County in the threat area for severe weather.  It is possible they will add these counties to the Severe Thunderstorm Watch as well.  Due to high temperatures and humidity today as well as a cold front coming through and an eastern/southeastern sea breeze, the threat for strong to severe thunderstorms will persist throughout the weekend.



SPC MD 1425

[Pfishingruven]

The SPC has issued another update for this evening for parts of Central & all of Northern NJ.



The biggest threat will be from squall lines of storms moving in from OH & PA this evening.  These storms will be capable of strong, damaging winds.  This storm event could be similar to the damaging wind event from last week.

Dr Greg Forbes of The Weather Channel posted this:

Dr. Greg Forbes @DrGregForbes
A derecho (widespread thunderstorm damaging wind event) could drive from north-central to southeast PA, NJ, MD, DE thie afternoon, evening.

Keep an eye for updates!!

SPC MD 1430

[Pfishingruven]

The SPC has issued a new Mesoscale Discussion for all of NJ.  There is now an 80% chance of a Severe Thunderstorm Watch being issued for all of NJ.  Storms will move out of the northwest, moving southeast this afternoon/evening.  Strong to severe storms with gusty winds and small hail are possible at this time.



SPC MD 1431

[Pfishingruven]

Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued by the SPC for Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Ocean, Salem, Somerset & Warren Counties as well as all adjacent Coastal Waters and DE, MD & PA until 12 AM.




SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 479

[Hotrod]

Here is comes...

[Hotrod]

 

[Pfishingruven]

Already...?  At least it fell the right way!

 

[Hotrod]

 

[Bucktail]

Yikes!

Oh, and P-man,  I will be going back to work on Tuesday.  So, there will be no need for anymore boating reports until further notice. 

J/K Matt.    Keep up the good work.

[Pfishingruven]

Yikes!

Oh, and P-man,  I will be going back to work on Tuesday.  So, there will be no need for anymore boating reports until further notice. 

J/K Matt.    Keep up the good work.

 

[Pfishingruven]

The SPC has lowered the Risk for Severe Weather in NJ today from 15% to 5% or less.  The main risks being wind and hail.  The risk area has shifted to the south.  This doesn't mean NJ won't see rain or even a strong or severe thunderstorm today, it just means that our risk is lower due to atmospheric conditions.