NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Week Edition Nov 19-23, 2012

[Pfishingruven]

Already going into the holiday stretch.  Thanksgiving week should be dry with variable degrees of sunshine throughout the week.  High temperatures will be in the 50's with lows in the low 40's and upper 30's.  Water conditions will continue to be tumultuous, due to various pressure gradients and low pressure systems out over the ocean creating a mostly easterly flow.  Conditions will vary throughout the week by location for inshore waters.  While most locations are rated good, seas will be around 5 feet with a 9-11 second period.  Midshore to offshore is rated cautious all week with possible small craft advisories, winds to 25 knots and seas to 7 feet at 11 seconds.  Surf conditions will be rougher this week as well, due to easterly winds.  Waves heights will vary from 0-2 feet to as high as 5-6 feet on Thursday.

High pressure will pull to the northeast during Monday and Tuesday.  On Tuesday and Wednesday a low pressure system (this was the possible nor'easter) will develop to the southeast off the coast and move northeast, well east of the coast while intensifying.  High pressure will return on Thursday building into the area from the southern plains.  A cold front will move through the area Friday Night and early Saturday. 

Monday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy   
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
High:  Low 50's
Low:  Low 40's
Sunrise: 6:46am
Sunset: 4:38pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-5/10
Weather2Hunt.com-38/50

Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High:  Low to mid 50’s
Low:  Low 40’s
Sunrise: 6:47am
Sunset: 4:37pm
First Qtr: 9:33am

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-5/10
Weather2Hunt.com-38/50

Wednesday
Sky:  Sunny and mostly clear
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High:  Mid 50’s
Low:  Mid 30’s
Sunrise: 6:48am
Sunset: 4:36pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-5/10
Weather2Hunt.com-38/50

Thursday

Sky:  Mostly sunny & mostly clear
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High:  Mid 50’s
Low:  Mid 30’s
Sunrise: 6:49am
Sunset: 4:36pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-5/10
Weather2Hunt.com-38/50

"Black" Friday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High:  Mid to upper 50's
Low:  Mid to upper 30’s
Sunrise: 6:50am
Sunset: 4:35pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- /10
Weather2Hunt.com- /50

Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface Analysis



Total Precipitation Accumulation from Sunday – Friday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  Unavailable (Primary and Backup Buoys damaged by Sandy)
Monday Morning
Wind:  NE 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Monday  Afternoon
Wind:  NE 10 knots becoming NE 5-10 knots at night
Seas:  1 foot or less
Tuesday Morning
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Tuesday Afternoon
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots becoming N at night
Seas:  1 foot or less
Wednesday Morning
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Wed Afternoon
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Thursday Morning
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Thursday Afternoon
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Friday Morning
Wind:  W 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Friday Afternoon
Wind:  SW 5 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less becoming 1-2 after midnight

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)
                             


Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  53F
Monday Morning
Winds: ENE 12 to 17 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 9 sec.
Monday Afternoon
Winds: NE 13 to 17 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 9 sec.
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NNE 10 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 9 sec.
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 6 to 9 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 10 sec.
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNE 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 10 sec.
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 11 sec.
Thursday Morning
Winds: N 8 to 10 knots
Seas: E 4 feet at 11 sec.
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NW 4 to 5 knots
Seas: E 4 feet at 11 sec.
Friday Morning
Winds: W 9 to 12 knots
Seas: E 4 feet at 12 sec.
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 11 to 14 knots
Seas: E 4 feet at 12 sec.

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  51F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 17 to 23 knots
Seas: ESE 7 feet at 9 sec.
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 17 to 23 knots
Seas: ESE 7 feet at 9 sec.
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NNE 13 to 17 knots
Seas: ESE 6 feet at 9 sec.
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 10 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 10 sec.
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNE 11 to 15 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 10 sec.
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 11 to 15 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 10 sec.
Thursday Morning
Winds: N 11 to 15 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 12 sec.
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 7 to 10 knots
Seas: E 5 feet at 11 sec.
Friday Morning
Winds: W 9 to 12 knots
Seas: E 5 feet at 12 sec.
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: E 5 feet at 12 sec.

Cape May (Ocean) Tides





Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  49F
Monday Morning
Wind:  NE winds 10-15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Wind:  NE winds 10-15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Wind:   NE winds 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Wind:   NE winds 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Wind:  N winds around 10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Wed Afternoon
Wind:  N winds around 10 knots  becoming  5-10 knots at night
Seas:  2-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Wind: N 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Friday Morning
Wind:  NW 5 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Wind:  SW 5 knots becoming W 10-15 after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  55F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 16 to 22 knots
Seas: ESE 7 feet at 9 sec.
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 16 to 22 knots
Seas: ESE 7 feet at 9 sec.
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NE 14 to 19 knots
Seas: ESE 7 feet at 9 sec.
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NE 11 to 15 knots
Seas: ESE 7 feet at 10 sec.
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NE 12 to 17 knots
Seas: ESE 7 feet at 10 sec.
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNE 13 to 17 knots
Seas: ESE 7 feet at 11 sec.
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNE 12 to 16 knots
Seas: E 7 feet at 11 sec.
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: E 7 feet at 11 sec.
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 12 to 16 knots
Seas: E 7 feet at 12 sec.
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas: E 6 feet at 12 sec.

Sea Surface Temperatures



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Pfishingruven]

Small Craft Advisory in effect for all NJ Coastal Waters, excluding NY Harbor, Raritan Bay and Delaware Bay through Friday Morning !!

The entire East Coast from Maine/Canadian Border through Georgia are under SCA's as well as a Gale Warning for Offshore locations from Baltimore Canyon north to the Hague Line.

Small Craft Advisory
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
342 PM EST TUE NOV 20 2012

ANZ450>455-210945-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-121123T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
342 PM EST TUE NOV 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

* COASTAL WATERS FORECAST ADDITION...BEGINNING THANKSGIVING
  MORNING...PRIMARY SWELL PERIOD AND SWELL DIRECTION WILL BE
  ADDED TO THE FIRST TWO FORECAST PERIODS OF THE NEW JERSEY AND
  DELAWARE ATLANTIC WATERS FORECAST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A
SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
331 PM EST TUE NOV 20 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ450-451-210930-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
331 PM EST TUE NOV 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.WED...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO
7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS
5 TO 7 FT.
.THU...NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO
7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
.FRI...NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 TO 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS AROUND 10 KT...BECOMING W 15 TO 20 KT WITH
GUSTS UP TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
.SAT...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...BECOMING W 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 4 FT.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
331 PM EST TUE NOV 20 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ452-453-210930-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
331 PM EST TUE NOV 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.WED...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS
5 TO 7 FT.
.THU...NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO
7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT...
BECOMING N 5 TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
.FRI...NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 TO 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS AROUND 10 KT...BECOMING W 15 TO 20 KT WITH
GUSTS UP TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
.SAT...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...BECOMING W 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 4 FT.

$$
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
331 PM EST TUE NOV 20 2012

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE TO 20 NM OFFSHORE AND DELAWARE
BAY

ANZ454-455-210930-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
331 PM EST TUE NOV 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO
7 FT.
.WED...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS
5 TO 8 FT.
.THU...N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO
8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING N 10 TO 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.
.FRI...NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 TO 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS AROUND 10 KT...BECOMING W 15 TO 20 KT WITH
GUSTS UP TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.
.SAT...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...BECOMING W 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 4 FT.

$$

[Hunter 2]

Thankyou.

[Scott G.]

 

[Still Running]

 

Hows Dec 9th looking?

[Ms Fish]

Hows Dec 9th looking?

 

[IKAT]

 

WE will See

http://www.accuweather.com/en/us/highlands-nj/07732/december-weather/1008?monyr=12/1/2012

[Pfishingruven]

December 9th is way too far out to call any specifics.  As it comes into range, I will keep an eye on it for you!

That Accuweather link is about the only Weather Agency that will post forecasts out that far.  That will change, likely many times, before December 9th.

 

[IKAT]

Yup they do--Hoping like most of the time weather is 2 days faster on ACC.