NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Week Edition Apr 22-26, 2013

[Pfishingruven]

An unsettled weather pattern will dominate most of the week, with rain chances on Monday Night into Tuesday and Wednesday into Thursday.  Monday Night into Tuesday and Wednesday Day will have a lower chance of scattered showers with likely more organized rain coming with the cold front on Wednesday Night into Thursday.  Possible patchy fog on Tuesday Night.  High temperatures will vary throughout the week from the upper 50's into the mid 60's and low temperature will begin to rise out of the 30's into the 40's & 50's.  Water conditions will be cautious on Monday, Tuesday and Friday Morning for all inshore locations.  Midshore to Offshore locations will be cautious on Monday, Hazardous on Tuesday and cautious again on Wednesday and then Friday Morning.  Small Craft Advisories are likely Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday until seas subside.  Winds could reach 30 knot with higher gusts and seas 8-9 feet inshore with 11 feet midshore to offshore.  Water temperatures are about the same from the weekend.  Most inshore ocean waters are in the low 50's with bays and rivers into the mid 50's.  Surf conditions will be moderate to high most of the week with a few chances at normal conditions.  Monday conditions will begin to deteriorate from 0-2 and 1-2 foot waves increasing to 4-5 feet.  On Tuesday wave heights will increase 7-8 feet then begin slowing subsiding to 1-2 again by Friday.

A look ahead to the weekend should be dominated by high pressure bringing dry and sunny skies and temperatures in the mid 60's.  Water conditions look good for right now as well.

A large area of strong high pressure centered over southeast Canada will move to the northeast on Monday.  Low pressure will develop off the Carolinas on Monday and move northeast passing by the region late Tuesday.  A cold front will move through the region on Wednesday Night into Thursday Morning followed by high pressure buiding in over the end of the week into the weekend.

Monday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming cloudy
Precipitation:  0% to slight during the day, 30% to slight chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:   Mid 50's
Low:   Low 40's
Sunrise: 6:09am
Sunset: 7:41pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Good
Weather2Hunt.com- 37/50

Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy, patchy fog overnight
Precipitation:  30% chance of showers during the day, 0% to slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:   Mid 50's
Low:   Low to mid 40's
Sunrise: 6:07am
Sunset: 7:42pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-   Fair
Weather2Hunt.com-  37/50

Wednesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy, patchy fog in the early morning
Precipitation:  20% chance of showers during the day, 0% to slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:   Mid 60's
Low:   Upper 40's
Sunrise: 6:06am
Sunset: 7:43pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Very Good
Weather2Hunt.com- 37/50

Thursday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  60% chance of showers during the day, 0% to slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:   Upper 50's
Low:   Low 40's
Sunrise: 6:05am
Sunset: 7:44pm
Full Moon: 3:58pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Very Good
Weather2Hunt.com- 47/50

Friday
Sky:   Sunny and mostly clear
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid 60's
Low:   Mid 40's
Sunrise: 6:03am
Sunset: 7:45pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Excellent
Weather2Hunt-  47/50

Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  55°F
Monday
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:   E 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:   1-2 feet
Monday Night
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:   NE 15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:   1-2 feet
Tuesday
SMALL ADVISORY
Wind:   NE 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:   1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:   NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing N 5-10 knots at night
Seas:   1 foot or less
Wednesday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots becoming S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Wednesday Night
Wind:   S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:   1 foot or less
Thursday
Wind:   W 5-10 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:   1 foot or less
Thursday Night
Wind:   W 5-10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:   1 foot or less
Friday
Wind:   NW 5-10 knots
Seas:   1 foot or less
Friday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:   1 foot or less

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)
                             



Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  51°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 15 to 20 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 16 to 21 knots
Seas: E 5 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 18 to 24 knots
Seas: E 6 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 17 to 23 knots
Seas: E 7 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: E 5 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 9 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: NNW 8 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SE 5 to 7 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 10 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: NW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 9 seconds

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  52°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 17 to 23 knots
Seas: E 5 feet at 6 seconds
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 17 to 23 knots
Seas: E 6 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 21 to 29 knots
Seas: E 8 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 20 to 27 knots
Seas: E 8 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: N 10 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 4 to 5 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: NNW 14 to 18 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 9 seconds

Cape May (Ocean) Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  56°F
Monday
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:   3-4 feet
Monday Night
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:   NE 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet, visibility 1-3 nm
Tuesday
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NE 15-20 knots diminishing 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-4 feet, visibility 1-3 nm
Tuesday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots becoming E after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots increasing 10-15 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  S 10-15 knots diminishing W 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, visibility 1-3 nm
Thursday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  45°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 18 to 24 knots
Seas: E 6 feet at 6 seconds
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 18 to 25 knots
Seas: E 7 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 22 to 30 knots
Seas: E 9 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 23 to 31 knots
Seas: E 10 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 18 to 24 knots
Seas: ESE 9 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: ESE 7 feet at 9 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: N 9 to 12 knots
Seas: E 6 feet at 9 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 1 to 2 knots
Seas: E 5 feet at 10 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: NW 13 to 17 knots
Seas: E 5 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: E 4 feet at 9 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures


 
NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Pfishingruven]

Just a quick update on tomorrows weather.  With warm temperatures tomorrow during the day (mid to upper 70's) and an approaching cold front, rain could be mixed with widely scattered and isolated thunderstorms.  Storms will be sometime in the later afternoon/early evening just ahead of the cold front. Some of these storms could be strong to severe bringing damaging winds.

 

[IrishAyes]

Yo Matt! Can you turn that fan down some???   

[Pfishingruven]

Yo Matt! Can you turn that fan down some???   

 

[Pfishingruven]

NWS PHI just issued a Coastal Flood Advisory for all coastal water adjacent counties and areas including ocean and bay fronts (Raritan, Barnegat, Delaware).  With a mainly easterly onshore flow and some elevated tide levels, these areas could experience minor coastal flooding through 10PM tonight.  Tides look to be running about 1-2 feet above normal, in general, across NJ from Sandy Hook to Ship John Shoal.

Coastal Flood Advisory
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
136 PM EDT TUE APR 23 2013

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-240200-
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.Y.0013.130423T2200Z-130424T0200Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
136 PM EDT TUE APR 23 2013

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM TO 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM TO 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING.

* LOCATION...THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTLINES, RARITAN BAY,
  LOWER DELAWARE BAY, ADJACENT BACK BAYS INCLUDING BARNEGAT BAY
  AND TIDAL TRIBUTARIES.

* COASTAL FLOODING...AREAS OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIME
  OF HIGH TIDE.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDE ALONG THE COAST AND RARITAN BAY OCCURS
  BETWEEN ABOUT 630 PM AND 730 PM. HIGH TIDE ALONG LOWER DELAWARE
  BAY, BACK BAYS AND TIDAL TRIBUTARIES OCCURS LATER.

* IMPACTS...SPOTS HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO TIDAL FLOODING WILL
  EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS
ANTICIPATED. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING OFTEN RESULTS IN SOME ROAD
CLOSURES. USUALLY...THE MOST VULNERABLE ROADWAYS WILL FLOOD.

DO NOT LEAVE YOUR VEHICLE AT A LOCATION THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL
FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS. YOU WILL BE PUTTING
YOURSELF IN DANGER AND YOUR VEHICLE MAY BE DAMAGED...LEADING TO
COSTLY REPAIRS.

FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR
COUNTY PLEASE GO TO WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/PHI/TIDES.HTM (ALL IN LOWER
CASE).

&&

$$

MPD