NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook: Weekend Edition July 6-7, 2013

[Pfishingruven]

The first weekend of July looks to be decent.  With a continued southerly flow it is going to be hazy, hot and humid, but overall dry with more sun than clouds.  There is a low chance of scattered or more likely isolated showers or thunderstorms in the afternoon to evening hours this weekend due to the temperatures and humidity.  However, those chances are very low with Sunday having the higher chances (still low).  Inland high temperatures will be in the low to mid 90's with high humidity causing heat indices to reach upper 90's and 100's!  Temperatures along/on the water will be in the mid 80's with upper 70's and low 80's out on the water.  Water conditions are rated good for Inshore waters with the potential of some wind gusts 20-25 knots and waves could stack up around 6 seconds on ocean waters.  Midshore to Offshore waters will have cautious conditions on Saturday improving to good conditions on Sunday, but still just below cautious criteria.  Water temperatures are holding steady, all except for surf temperatures.  Bays and rivers are in the mid to upper 70's.  Inshore and Midshore to Offshore ocean waters are in the low 70's, with inshore waters slightly cooler due to the southerly swell and cold water upwelling.  Surf temperatures are low in the mid 50's to low 60's for many areas due to the southern swell and cold water upwelling.  Surf and beach conditions looks good with normal to slightly elevated conditions and Moderate Risks of rip currents.  UV Index will be Very High all weekend as well.  The weather looks to be nice, I hope everyone is able to take advantage of it.  Have a great weekend!

Bermuda High Pressure will remain stationary centered off the coast of the Mid Atlantic through the weekend into early next week.

Next week looks to start off okay then becoming more unsettled with the high pressure pulling away and frontal boundaries starting to cross the area.  This will bring some rain and thunderstorms.  Temperatures will remain in the 90's in the beginning of the week with and then mid to upper 80's later in the week.  Water conditions look good all week for Inshore Waters.  Midshore to Offshore will vary by day, with some cautious conditions moving in on Tuesday.  Surf and beach conditions look normal to moderate.

The National Hurricane Center is watching a broad area of low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico that at minimum could bring a lot of tropical moisture up the East Coast yet again.

Saturday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High:   90's inland, Mid 80's along the coast, Upper 70's to low 80's on the water
Low:  Low 70's
UV Index:  10/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:34am
Sunset: 8:28pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather- Very Good

Sunday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30% chance of scattered or isolated showers and/or thunderstorms
Temperatures
High:  90's inland, Mid 80's along the coast, Upper 70's to low 80's on the water
Low:  Low 70's
UV Index:  11/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:35am
Sunset: 8:28pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather-   Excellent

Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday - Monday Precipitation Total



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature: 76°F
Saturday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet with 3 foot swell
Saturday Night
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet with 3 foot swell
Sunday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet with 3 foot swell
Sunday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet with 3 foot swell

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  70°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: WSW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet with 3 foot swell
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet with 3 foot swell
Sunday Morning
Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet with 3 foot swell
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 13 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet with 3 foot swell

Manasquan Inlet Tides


 

Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  78°F
Saturday
Wind:  WSW 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  WSW 6-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind:  W 7-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 foot
Sunday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 foot

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  71°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: WSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet with a 3 foot swell
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet with a 3 foot swell
Sunday Morning
Winds: WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet with a 3 foot swell
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet with a 3 foot swell

Cape May (Ocean) Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  79°F
Saturday
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind:  SW 10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  SW 10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  0-1 feet

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  71°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 14 to 20 knots
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 6 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 6 seconds
Sunday Morning
Winds: WSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 6 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 6 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)

   

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[fellinger]

Thanks Matt. Looks like no shark for me on Sunday. 

[Pfishingruven]

Another nice day, especially if you like hazy, hot and humid.  High temperatures today will reach mid 90's inland with high humidity bringing heat indices into the 100's.  There are Heat Advisories and Excessive Heat Warnings for most of NJ.  Areas along/on the water will see much cooler temperatures in the low to mid 80's.  Lows overnight only into the low to mid 70's.  It's mostly sunny right now, but clouds will build during the day.  Overall, it should remain dry across the state, but there is a chance of an isolated or scattered shower or thunderstorm during the afternoon and into the evening.

Water conditions look good for all Inshore waters, but Midshore to Offshore will see some cautious conditions due to gusty winds and elevated seas this afternoon.  Raritan Bay will have SW winds 5-10 knots increasing 10-15 knots in the afternoon and diminishing 5-10 knots tonight.  Seas will increase from 1 foot or less to 1-2 feet before subsiding tonight back to 1 foot or less.  Barnegat Bay will have WSW winds changing to SW winds from 9-12 knots today and seas 1 foot or less.  Delaware Bay will have SW winds 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots with seas 1-2 feet.  Inshore ocean waters from Manasquan Inlet to Barnegat Inlet will have WSW winds to 10-13 knots with 2 foot seas at 14 seconds.  Inshore ocean waters from Barnegat Inlet to Cape May will have WSW/SW winds 10-13 knots with 3 foot seas at 5 seconds.  Midshore to Offshore waters will have WSW winds to 20 knots and seas 4 feet at 5 seconds.

Surf and beach conditions look normal to elevated with a Moderate Risk of rip currents today.  Winds and surf are fairly calm at 5 mph from the west with 1-2 foot surf.  Winds will increase and change to the SW at 10-15 mph and surf could get rough increasing wave heights to around 3 feet with a 3 foot south swell at 15 seconds.  UV Index is Very High at 10/15.

Enjoy your weekend and tomorrow looks like a repeat of today with a slightly higher chance of showers or thunderstorms.

[Pfishingruven]

Good morning!  Another hazy, hot and humid day.  Right now mostly sun mixing with some clouds and temperatures already in the mid 80's for most places.  Inland high temperatures will continue into the low to mid 90's today with areas along/on the water seeing low to mid 80's.  High humidity again today causing heat indices into the upper 90's and 100's.  Heat Advisories and Heat Warnings are active for most of NJ excluding the southern part of the state.  There is a low chance of scattered or isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon to evening with those chances increasing into the night.  Some storms could be strong to severe with damaging winds, dangerous lightning and heavy rains.  The SPC puts Northern NJ in a 5% Risk for damaging winds today.

Water conditions are rated good for all locations.  Northern ocean waters are seeing a longer period swell at around 13-14 seconds while Southern ocean waters are still seeing a shorter period swell at 8 seconds.  Although, this is improved over 5-6 seconds yesterday.  Raritan Bay will have SW winds 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots in the afternoon and then diminishing again to 5-10 knots at night with seas 1 foot or less.  Barnegat Bay will have SW winds 10-13 knots with seas 1 foot or less.  Delaware Bay will have SW winds 10-15 knots with seas 1-2 feet.  Inshore ocean waters from Sandy Hook to Barnegat Inlet will have WSW/SW winds 9-12 knots with seas 2 feet at 13-14 seconds.  Inshore Ocean waters from Barnegat Inlet to Cape May will have WSW/SW winds 10-15 knots with seas 2-3 feet at 5-8 seconds.  Midshore to Offshore waters will have WSW/SW winds 12-17 knots with seas initially 4 feet at 5 seconds subsiding to 3 feet at 13 seconds.

Surf and beach looks good with normal conditions and a Low Risk of rip currents.  Right now winds are light and variable from southeast to westerly winds around 5 mph.  Winds will increase and change to the SW at 10-15 mph with 2 foot waves and a 2 foot southeast swell at 9 seconds.  UV Index Very High at 9/15.

There are 2 areas in the tropics the NHC is watching.  One will probably just bring tropical moisture into the states and one of these will likely become a named tropical cyclone within the next few days.  Both will be something that needs to be watched!

Have a great Sunday and enjoy the nice, but hot weather.  Next week will become more unsettled and looks to be decently wet again!

[Pfishingruven]

Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Northern NJ and neighboring states. NJ Counties include Bergen, Union, Essex, Hunterdon, Morris, Passaic, Somerset, Sussex & Warren until 10 PM for severe thunderstorms with damging winds with gusts to 70 mph.

Remember...a Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #395

[Pfishingruven]

The NWS PHI has extended the Severe Thunderstorm Watch to include Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean & Salem Counties

Remember...a Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #395

Severe Thunderstorm Watch
WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 395
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
654 PM EDT SUN JUL 7 2013

NJC001-005-007-015-021-023-025-029-033-080200-
/O.EXA.KPHI.SV.A.0395.000000T0000Z-130708T0200Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS EXTENDED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH 395 TO INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING AREAS UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING

IN NEW JERSEY THIS WATCH INCLUDES 9 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY

MERCER MONMOUTH

IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY

MIDDLESEX

IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY

ATLANTIC BURLINGTON CAMDEN
GLOUCESTER OCEAN SALEM

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ATLANTIC CITY...CAMDEN...
CHERRY HILL...DEPTFORD...EAST BRUNSWICK...EDISON...FREEHOLD...
GLASSBORO...HAMMONTON...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
NEW BRUNSWICK...NORTH BRUNSWICK TOWNSHIP...PENNSVILLE...
PERTH AMBOY...SAYREVILLE...TOMS RIVER AND TRENTON.

$$
WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 395
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
654 PM EDT SUN JUL 7 2013

MDC015-NJC019-027-035-037-041-PAC011-017-025-029-045-077-089-091-
095-101-080200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SV.A.0395.000000T0000Z-130708T0200Z/

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 395 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN MARYLAND THIS WATCH INCLUDES 1 COUNTY

IN NORTHEAST MARYLAND

CECIL

IN NEW JERSEY THIS WATCH INCLUDES 5 COUNTIES

IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY

HUNTERDON MORRIS SOMERSET
SUSSEX WARREN

IN PENNSYLVANIA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 10 COUNTIES

IN EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA

BERKS LEHIGH NORTHAMPTON

IN NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA

CARBON MONROE

IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA

BUCKS CHESTER DELAWARE
MONTGOMERY PHILADELPHIA

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...
BLAIRSTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...EASTON...ELKTON...FLEMINGTON...
JIM THORPE...MEDIA...MORRISTOWN...NEWTON...NORRISTOWN...
PHILADELPHIA...READING...SOMERSET...STROUDSBURG AND WEST CHESTER.

$$