The last week of August and going into the last “official” weekend and end of meteorological Summer. Where has the time gone? However, Summer will remind us this week that it is not done, yet. The week will begin with chances of rain and thunderstorms through midweek with a return of hot and humid air on Tuesday and Wednesday. By Thursday showers and thunderstorms are gone from the forecast and some seasonable temperatures and humidity return to end the week. These conditions look like they will carry on over into the weekend as well. High temperatures this week will vary from mid to upper 80’s, maybe even 90’s on Tuesday and Wednesday inland, with upper 70’s to 80’s along/on the water and across northern areas. Overnight lows will range from the low 60’s to low 70’s, but those cool 50’s and 40’s are gone this week. With the higher temperatures will come moist air with dew points in the 60’s and 70’s bringing higher humidity and muggy conditions. Water conditions will vary by location this week, with some cautious conditions due to higher winds and building seas across Midshore to Offshore areas and some southern inshore waters. However, conditions should remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria. With an unsettled weather pattern through Thursday, varying pressure gradients and boundaries could cause some gusty winds to 20 knots and seas 3-5 with short period chop wind waves. Water temperatures are holding steady with all waters in the 70’s. Bay and rivers are in the mid to upper 70’s, inshore ocean waters in the low to mid 70’s, midshore to offshore waters in the low to mid 70’s and surf temperatures in the low 70’s. Surf and beach conditions look good all week with 1-3 foot wave heights and Low to Moderate Risks of rip currents. Some gustier winds are possible through Thursday, but conditions are fishable all week. UV Index will be Very High all week, so don’t forget the sunblock!
High pressure currently over the area will settle south and southwestward through Tuesday. A cold front will stall out near the region Tuesday into Wednesday before lifting north as a warm front. Another cold front will move through late Wednesday into early Thursday. Weak high pressure will build into the northeast Friday and Saturday then settle to the south of the area on Sunday!
The weekend looks like it will be a continuation of the end of the week with seasonable temperatures, sunny and dry conditions and good water and surf conditions. I will have an extended Holiday Weekend Outlook later this week.
Tropical Depression 6 has formed in the Bay of Campeche/Southern Gulf of Mexico. This will bring some high winds and rains to Mexico this week, but no threat to the US. Other than this system, the tropics still remain quiet with a hint of activity brewing over the next week to ten days.
Have a great week!
MondaySky: Mostly sunny/partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 0% to slight chance during the day, 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms for northern areas during the day, 30%-60% chance of showers and thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High: Low to mid 80's
Low: Mid to Upper 60's
UV Index: 8/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 6:18am
Sunset: 7:38pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather - Good
Weather2Hunt - 43/50
TuesdaySky: Parttly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 20%-40% chance of shower and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High: Upper 80's to low 90’s inland, mid 80's along/on the water
Low: Upper 60's to low 70’s inland and along/on the water, mid 60’s across northern areas
UV Index: 8/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 6:19am
Sunset: 7:37pm
Full Moon: 9:46pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather - Good
Weather2Hunt - 40/50
WednesdaySky: Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 40%-50% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High: Upper 80's to low 90’s inland, low to mid 80’s along/on the water and northern areas
Low: Upper 60's to low 70’s inland and along/on the water, mid 60’s across northern areas
UV Index: 8/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 6:20am
Sunset: 7:35pm
Last Qtr: 5:36am
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather - Poor
Weather2Hunt - 37/50
ThursdaySky: Mostly to partly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation: 0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High: Mid 80's inland, low 80's along/on the water and northern areas
Low: Mid to upper 60's inland and along/on the water, low 60's across northern areas
UV Index: 9/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 6:21am
Sunset: 7:34pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather - Very Good
Weather2Hunt - 37/50
FridaySky: Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation: 0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High: Mid 80's inland, low 80's along/on the water and northern areas
Low: Mid to upper 60's inland and along/on the water, upper 50's across northern areas
UV Index: 9/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 6:22am
Sunset: 7:32pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather - Good
Weather2Hunt - 40/50
Monday Surface AnalysisTuesday Surface AnalysisWednesday Surface AnalysisThursday Surface AnalysisFriday SurfaceTotal Precipitation Monday - FridayTotal Precipitation Sunday - SundayCoastal Waters (out to 20nm) ForecastsRaritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy HookWater Temperature: 78°F
MondayWind: SW 5-10 knots increasing 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet by late morning/afternoon
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot, then 1-2 feet in the afternoon
Monday NightWind: W 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet then 1 foot late night
TuesdayWind: W 5-10 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Tuesday NightWind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot or less
WednesdayWind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot or less
Wednesday NightWind: W 10 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Thursday Wind: N 10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Thursday NightWind: W 10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
FridayWind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Friday NightWind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1 foot
Sandy Hook Tides (Bay) Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat InletWater Temperature: 73°F
Monday MorningWinds: WSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Monday AfternoonWinds: SW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday MorningWinds: W 9 to 12 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Tuesday AfternoonWinds: WSW 3 to 4 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Wednesday MorningWinds: WSW 7 to 9 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: SW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1 foot then 1-2 at night
Thursday MorningWinds: N 10 to 14 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Thursday AfternoonWinds: NNW 3 to 4 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Friday MorningWinds: WNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 16 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday AfternoonWinds: WSW 7 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 16 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Manasquan Inlet Tides Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)Water Temperature: 77°F
MondayWind: WSW 8-11 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Monday NightWind: SW 8 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
TuesdayWind: W 7 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday NightWind: S 6 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
WednesdayWind: S 5-10 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Wednesday NightWind: SW 5-7 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday Wind: NW 5-7 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday NightWind: NW 6 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
FridayWind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Friday NightWind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) TidesBarnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)Water Temperature: 75°F
Monday MorningWinds: WSW 8 to 10 knots
Seas: E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Monday AfternoonWinds: SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday MorningWinds: WSW 13 to 17 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Tuesday AfternoonWinds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1 foot becoming 1-2 feet at night
Wednesday MorningWinds: WSW 9 to 13 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 14 to 20 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feetThursday MorningWinds: N 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday AfternoonWinds: NNW 4 to 6 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet becoming 1 foot at night
Friday MorningWinds: W 5 to 7 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Friday AfternoonWinds: W 8 to 10 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1 foot
Cape May (Ocean) TidesDelaware BayWater Temperature: 76°F
MondayWind: SW 5-10 knots becoming SW late morning
Seas: 1 foot or less becoming 1-2 feet early morning
Surf: 1 foot
Monday NightWind: SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 2 feet
TuesdayWind: SW 10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 2 feet
Tuesday NightWind: SW 5-10
Seas: 1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 2 feet
WednesdayWind: W 5-10 knots becoming SW 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 2 feet
Wednesday NightWind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 2 feet
Thursday Wind: NW 10-15 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 2 feet
Thursday NightWind: N 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 2 feet
FridayWind: N 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 2 feet
Friday NightWind: E 5-10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 2 feet
Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) TidesOffshore WatersMidshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)Water Temperature: 72°F
Monday MorningWinds: WSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: WSW 4 feet at 4 secondsTuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 15 to 21 knots
Seas: SW 4 feet at 5 secondsTuesday AfternoonWinds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: SW 3 feet at 5 seconds
Wednesday MorningWinds: WSW 8 to 10 knots
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 5 seconds
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: SW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 15 to 21 knots
Seas: S 5 feet at 7 secondsThursday AfternoonWinds: NNW 8 to 10 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Friday MorningWinds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Friday AfternoonWinds: WSW 9 to 13 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 16 seconds
Sea Surface TemperaturesSurface20 Meters (≈65 feet)NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day LoopNWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day LoopOcean CurrentsSurface20 Meters (≈65 feet) Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution! *****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)