NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition:Oct 28-Nov 1, 2013

[Pfishingruven]

Another unsettled week…starting to sound like a broken record, with a roller coaster of a week ahead.  The week will start off dry, then chances of showers (possible snow showers across northern/northwestern areas) on Tuesday Night through Wednesday and then clearing out on Wednesday Night and then chances of rain and showers on Thursday through Friday Night.  The chances earlier in the week are lower than towards the end of the week.  Unfortunately, Halloween Night and Friday have the highest chances of rain, anywhere from 50%-60% right now.  Originally, chances were much higher, then they lessened about 5 days out and now increased some.  It all depends on the timing of the front and low pressure across the middle of the country.  None of the days this week are a complete washout.  I will have updates by Tuesday or Wednesday on the exact timing of Thursday’s Rain.  High temperatures will be seasonal, even above normal towards the end of with average overnight lows.  High temperatures will be in the mid 50’s to low 60’s this week, with warmer temperatures coming towards the end of the week with a moderate southerly flow.  Overnight lows will range from the low 30’s across northern areas to the low 60’s later in the week across coastal areas.  The southerly flow could bring some dew points into the upper 50’s and low 60’s, bringing some moderate humidity.  Water conditions look good with some moderate to gusty winds during the through Wednesday Night.  Thursday could bring winds from high pressure of the coast, creating a moderate to strong southerly flow.  Cautious to Hazardous conditions with Small Craft Advisories for south winds 30-40 knots and seas 4-11 feet at 8 seconds, will persist through Friday before subsiding for the weekend.  Surf conditions will be good through Thursday before starting to deteriorate, echoing the water conditions.  Thursday and Friday could see southerly winds in excess of 30 knots, rough surf and wave heights 2-6 feet with a 3-7 foot south-southeast swell at 8 seconds.  Water temperatures are cooling off some more with rivers and bays in the mid to upper 50’s, surf temperatures in the mid to upper 50’s, inshore ocean waters in the mid 50’s to low 60’s and midshore to offshore waters in the low to mid 60’s.  UV Index will be Low to Moderate 1-3/15.

High pressure will briefly build across the area late Sunday Night into early Monday before another mostly dry cold front moves through the area late on Monday.  High pressure will then again, build across the Eastern Seaboard Tuesday into Wednesday, before building offshore on Thursday.  A warm front should lift north of the area on Thursday as low pressure moves into the Great Lakes Region.  A cold front is expected to affect the area late next week as the low pressure moves into Eastern Canada.  Another frontal boundary is expected Saturday Night into Sunday

The weekend could start off with some chances of rain/showers on Saturday clearing out into the overnight.  Sunday looks dry and sunny.  High temperatures will be in the upper 50’s  to upper 60’s with overnight lows in the upper 30’s to the upper 40’s.  Water and surf conditions look good right now.  If, this system slows at all rain chances and winds could be pushed off into Saturday or Sunday.  The middle of the week will tell better.

Have a great week!

Monday
Sky:  Sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance, Frost for Coastal Counties in the early morning
Temperatures
High:    Upper 50’s to low 60’s
Low:     Low 40’s inland, mid to upper 40’s along/on the water, low 30’s across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:21am
Sunset: 6:00pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather  - Good
Weather2Hunt - 40/50

Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% to slight chance during the day, 0%-20% chance of showers (snow showers across northern/northwestern areas) at night
Temperatures
High:   mid to upper 50’s inland and along/on the water, low 50’s across northern areas
Low:   Low 40’s inland, upper 40’s along/on the water, low 30’s across northern areas
UV Index:  3/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:22am
Sunset: 5:58pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Very Good
Weather2Hunt - 40/50

Wednesday
Sky:   Mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation:  20% chance of showers (snow showers across northern/northwestern areas), 0% to slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:   Upper 50’s to mid 60’s
Low:   Low to mid 40’s inland, low 50’s along/on the water, mid 30’s across northern areas
UV Index:  2-3/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:23am
Sunset: 5:57pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt - 40/50

Thursday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-40% chance of showers during the day (higher chances across northern/northwestern areas), 40%-60% chance of showers during the night
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 60’s inland and along/on the water, low 60’s across northern areas
Low:   Mid to upper 50’s inland and along/on the water, Low 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:24am
Sunset: 5:56pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Fair
Weather2Hunt - 33/50

Friday
Sky:   Mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation:  40%-60% chance of showers all day (higher chances during the day)
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s inland and along/on the water, mid 60’s across northern areas
Low:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s inland, Mid 50’s along/on the water, Low to mid 40’s across northern areas
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:25am
Sunset: 5:55pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Fair
Weather2Hunt - 37/50

Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  55°F
Monday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming N in the late evening
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  N 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less in the afternoon
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Wednesday
Wind: S 5-10 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots becoming NE after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Thursday
Wind: SE 5-10 knots becoming S 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less becoming 1-2 feet in the afternoon
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  S 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-5 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)
                             



Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  60°F
Monday Morning
Winds: W 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: W 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NNE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ENE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ENE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: SSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-3 feet
Friday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 23 to 31 knots
Seas:  SSE 7 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  51°F
Monday
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming W 5-10 knots by morning
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming NNE after midnight
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:  NNE 10 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:  Variable winds around 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:  Variable winds around 5 knots becoming 5-10 knots in the morning
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:  Variable winds around 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
Wind: SE 5-10 knots becoming S 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: S 14-16 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots subsiding after midnight
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  61°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NNW 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: W 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NNE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SW 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 25 to 34 knots
Seas:  SSE 7 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  57°F
 Monday
Wind:  Variable and light winds becoming NW 5 knots in the late morning and afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:  N 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots becoming SE after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots becoming SE after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots becoming S 15-20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 15-20 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 10-20 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 10-20 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  63°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WNW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: W 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NE 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  NE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 12 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 12 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: SSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 11 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SSW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Friday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 28 to 38 knots
Seas:  SSW 11 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  SSW 10 feet at 8 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Pfishingruven]

Good morning!  Another cold start with some areas down into the 20’s last night, while areas along the immediate coast did not get out of the 40’s.  Sunny with a mix of a few clouds today becoming partly cloudy tonight.  Dry conditions across the state with no rain in the forecast.  High temperatures will be in the upper 50’s to low 60’s.  Overnight lows will be in the low 40’s inland, upper 40’s to low 50’s along the immediate coast and low 30’s across northern/northwestern areas.  Winds will be calm from the west at 5-10 mph becoming northerly tonight from 5-10 mph with 10-15 mph along the coast.

Water conditions are rated good for today with light and varying winds this morning.  Winds will increase some in the later afternoon and into the overnight.  Raritan Bay will have west winds 5-10 knots increasing 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon then becoming north at 10 knots tonight then northeast at 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots after midnight.  Seas will be 1 foot or less building to 1-2 feet after midnight.  Barnegat Bay will have west winds 5-10 knots becoming north-northwest at 10-12 knots then north-northeast after midnight with seas 1 foot or less.  Delaware Bay will have southwest winds 5-10 knots becoming west later today then north tonight with seas 1-2 feet.  Inshore ocean waters will have varying winds from the west and south this morning around 5-10 knots becoming northwest around 10 knots then northeast with gusts to 20 knots tonight.  Seas will be 1-2 feet at 10-11 seconds.  Midshore to Offshore will have westerly winds 7-12 knots becoming 10-15 knots in the afternoon   and then north to northeast at 5-15 knots tonight.  Seas will be 1-3 feet at 10-11 seconds.

Surf and beach conditions are good.  Variable and light winds this morning around 5 knots increasing to westerly winds around 5-10 knots this afternoon and then becoming northerly tonight at 10 knots with some gusts to 20 knots possible.  Surf is calm this morning and will be normal today with wave heights 1-2 feet with a 1 foot east-southeast swell at 10-11 seconds.  Surf temperatures are in the mid to upper 50’s.  UV Index will be Moderate at 3-4/15.

Have a great Monday!!

[Pfishingruven]

Good morning!  A more mild start, but still cold for many areas this morning.  Sunny with some clouds, increasing today into the overnight.  Dry conditions with no rain in the forecast today.  High temperatures will be in the 50’s with cooler 50’s across northern areas and upper 50’s for coastal areas.  Overnight lows will depend on your location with low to mid 40’s inland, mid 40’s to low 50’s for coastal and southern areas and mid 30’s across northern portions of the state.  Winds will be light inland out of the northeast/east at 5-10 mph.  Coastal areas will have more moderate to gusty winds out of the northeast at 10-15 mph before becoming easterly and diminishing to 5-10 mph.

Water conditions are rated good, however some moderate to gusty winds to 20 knots will prevail out of the northeast  today and then east later today.  This moderate onshore flow could increase seas from 2-4 feet.  Raritan Bay will have north winds 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming northeast 5-10 knots late this morning and this afternoon, then southeast and south at 5 knots tonight with seas 1-2 feet subsiding to 1 foot and then 1 foot or less.  Barnegat Bay will have northeast winds 10-15 knots becoming east-northeast then southeast at 5-10 knots tonight with seas 1 foot or less.  Delaware Bay will have northeast winds 10-15 knots becoming southeast at 5-10 knot tonight with seas 2-3 feet subsiding to 1-2 feet tonight.  Inshore ocean waters will have northeast winds 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming east tonight before shifting southeast then south and diminishing to 5-10 knots tonight with seas 2-4 feet subsiding to 2-3 feet tonight at 8seconds.  Midshore to Offshore waters will have northeast winds becoming east at 10-20 knots with seas 2-4 feet at 8 seconds.

Surf conditions are good to ok.  Gusty onshore winds will increase the surf some.  Winds will be northeast becoming more easterly tonight at 10-15 knots with some gusts to 20 knots.  Surf will be normal to rough with wave heights 1-3 feet with a 2-3 foot easterly/east-northeast/east-southeast swell at 8 seconds.  Surf temperatures are in the low to mid 50’s.  UV Index is Moderate at 3/15.

Have a good day!

[Pfishingruven]

Good morning!  Cold to mild start depending where you are with temperatures ranging from the low 30’s to upper 50’s across the state.  Cloudy with some sun mixed in.  It will remain mostly cloudy for most of the state.  Northern/northwestern NJ will see a decrease in clouds today and more sun.  Eastern Counties will also see some fog late tonight into Thursday Morning. There is a chance of isolated or scattered showers today mainly across southern and eastern counties.  Some showers are already moving in to Southwestern NJ.  High temperatures will be in the low 60’s with overnight lows into the upper 40’s to low 50’s inland, low to mid 50’s along the coast and mid 40’s across northern areas.  Winds will be calm out of the southwest/south today at 5-10 mph.

Water conditions are good today.  Winds are much calmer for today.  Raritan Bay will have southwest winds becoming south tonight around 5 knots with seas 1 foot or less.  Barnegat Bay will have variable becoming southwest and then variable again at 5-10 knots with seas 1 foot or less.  Delaware Bay will have southwest winds becoming south tonight at 5 knots with seas 1-2 feet.  Inshore ocean waters will have southwest winds 5-10 knots with seas around 2 feet at 12 seconds.  Midshore to Offshore waters will have varying southwest winds 7-12 knots with seas 2 feet at 12 seconds.

Surf and beach conditions are good.  Winds will be southwest/south at 5-12 knots.  Surf is normal with wave heights 1-3 feet with a 2 foot east-southeast swell at 12 seconds.  Water temperatures are in the low to mid 50’s.  UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 1-3/15.

Rain chances are possible for tomorrow, with rain earlier across northwestern, western and northern NJ during the day.  Other areas will not see any showers until later Thursday Night.  Winds are still forecast to begin increasing tomorrow during the day, with conditions deteriorating into the night.  Winds will increase in excess of 30 knots with seas to 8 feet.  Small Craft Advisories will be issued at some point today or tomorrow.

Have a great day!

[fluke - u]

 ....Thanks for all the work....

[Pfishingruven]

....Thanks for all the work....

YW

[Pfishingruven]

The NWS Philadelphia & New York City has issued Small Craft Advisories and Gale Watches for all Coastal Waters from Sandy Hook east to Montauk and south to Delaware including all bays, New York Harbor, Raritan Bay, Delaware Bay and Delaware River .  Areas east of the 20nm line will have Gale Warnings.  A strong onshore flow will affect the Maritime Areas through Friday Evening.  Inshore waters on Thursday will have south winds 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots becoming southwest at 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots late Thursday and Friday with seas 6-9 feet.  Midshore to Offshore waters will have south to southwest winds 20-35 knots and seas building 7-12 feet.

Unfortunately, gusty winds look to persist through next week, however up to 20 knots with seas 3-5 feet inshore.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY

GALE WATCH

GALE WARNING

[Pfishingruven]

Happy Halloween!  Cloudy with some fog in Central Western parts of the state and more of a mild start this morning with 40’s to 60’s.  Today will continue to be cloudy, maybe some sun at times.  Western and Northern NJ areas will have chances of showers all day today with chances of rain for the entire state tonight.  Eastern and Southern NJ areas will not see rain until later tonight, most likely after midnight, however western and northern areas, especially Northwestern NJ will see some isolated or scattered showers all day today with chances increasing during the day with the bulk of any rain later tonight closer to 11 P.M.  So, Trick or Treating will not be a washout for the state, just not ideal.  With a southerly flow setting up, temperatures will be more mild compared to last week.  High temperatures will be in the upper 60’s for all areas except northern/northwestern NJ will only see low 60’s.  Overnight lows will only get down into the mid 50’s to low 60’s…extremely mild for the end of October!  Dew points will be much higher than normal, making the humidity moderate and sticky for this time of year.  Winds will start off calm and increase today, especially along the coast.  South winds will gust 10-15 mph inland with 25-30 mph along the coast.

Water conditions will begin to deteriorate today due to a strong southerly flow and interacting fronts across the area.  Today will start off with calm conditions then increasing winds and building seas.  By this afternoon conditions will be cautious and by tonight into tomorrow hazardous.  All coastal waters, except Middle and Upper Delaware Bay and Delaware River will have Gale Warnings in effect for Friday.  Middle Delaware Bay to Delaware River will have Small Craft Advisories.  Raritan Bay will have south winds around 5 knots increasing 10-15 knots this afternoon then gusts to 25 knots tonight before increasing to 35 knots later tonight with seas 1 foot or less increasing to 2 feet by tonight.  Barnegat Bay will have south-southwest winds 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots this afternoon through the overnight before increasing tomorrow with seas 1 foot or less.  Delaware Bay will have south winds 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots this afternoon then winds to 35 knots by tonight with seas 2-3 feet  increasing to 2-4 feet.  Inshore ocean waters will have south winds 5-10 knots increasing to 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots this afternoon then winds to 35 knots by tonight with seas 2-4 feet building to 6-8 feet at 11 seconds today and 7 seconds tonight.  Midshore to Offshore waters will have south winds 5-10 knots increasing to 10-20 knots and then 30 knots by tonight with seas 2-3 feet increasing 7-10 feet by tonight at 11 seconds then 7 seconds.  Small Craft Advisories will likely replace the Gale Warnings and conditions will persist through Monday or so.  Excessively high winds and seas will only last tonight into Friday Night, before diminishing some, but not below SCA criteria.

Surf and beach conditions will be ok becoming cautious to hazardous tonight and tomorrow and cautious conditions may persist through Monday.   Winds from the south will start at 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots then winds to 35 knots by tonight.  Surf is normal with wave heights 1-3 feet.  Surf will become rough with wave heights increasing to 2-4 feet and then 3-7 feet by tonight.  A southerly swell will increase to 7 feet tonight.  Surf temperatures are in the low to mid 50’s.  UV Index is Low to Moderate at 2-3/15.

Have a great Halloween!

[Pfishingruven]

Good morning!  Very mild this morning with cloudy conditions.  A very active weather day right now.  First, there is a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Hunterdon, Morris, Mercer, Somerset, Sussex and Warren Counties until 11AM.  There is a line of thunderstorms in Pennsylvania moving northeast, quickly that are currently severe warned.  These storms are capable of producing damaging winds in excess of 70 mph, heavy rains and are capable of producing tornadoes.  There is also a Wind Advisory for the entire state until 2PM today.  Southwest winds will be 20-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph!  It will continue to be cloudy becoming partly cloudy tonight gradually clearing.  Showers and thunderstorms are possible during the day, with a Generalized Risk for Severe Weather.  Showers are also possible tonight, especially across southern and eastern areas, however overall, chances will be lower than during the day.  Temperatures are unseasonably mild with high temperatures in the low 70’s.  Overnight lows will be in the low to mid 50’s with mid 40’s across northern areas.  It is definitely humid out there with dew points in the 60’s as well, feeling very sticky.

Water conditions are hazardous today with Gale Warnings for all marine waters from Sandy Hook east to Long Island and south to Delaware, including all bays and the Delaware River.  This Gale Warning will remain until this afternoon and when finally cancelled will likely become a Small Craft Advisory.  In general winds will be southwest 20-30 knots with gusts to 40 knots or higher and seas 6-9 feet.  Raritan Bay will have southwest winds 15-20 knots with gusts to 40 knots and seas 2-3 feet.  By late afternoon and overnight winds will decrease to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots and then northwest 5-10 knots with seas 1-2 feet then 1 foot or less.  Barnegat Bay will have southwest winds 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots decreasing in the late afternoon and tonight eventually to northwest at 5-10 knots.  Seas will be around 2 feet decreasing to 1 foot or less.  Delaware Bay will have south winds 20-25 knots with gusts to 40 knots becoming southwest 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots in the afternoon and then 5-10 knots by tonight changing to the northwest.  Seas will be 3-5 feet becoming 2-3 feet tonight with limited visibility to 1-3 nm.  Inshore ocean waters will have southwest winds 25-30 knots with gusts to 40 knots diminishing some late today to 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots gradually diminishing into tonight before becoming northwest 5-10 knots.  Seas will be 7-10 feet becoming 5-8 feet tonight at 8-9 seconds with limited visibility to 1-3 nm.  Midshore to Offshore waters will have south to southwest winds 25-35 knots with gusts to 40+ knots gradually diminishing to northwest winds 10-20 knots tonight.  Seas will be 7-12 feet diminishing to 6-11 feet tonight at 9 seconds.

Surf and beach conditions will be hazardous with Gale Warnings along the coast.  Southwest winds 20-30 knots with gusts to 40+ knots are possible.  Surf is rough with wave heights 2-6 feet with a 4-7 foot southeast swell at 8 seconds, however waves are stacked up at near 2-3 seconds.  Conditions will diminish gradually throughout the day with winds decreasing overnight becoming northwest at 5-10 knots and wave heights 1-3 feet.  Surf temperatures are in the mid to upper 50’s.  UV Index is Low at 1-2/15.

Have a good Friday!

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH

[Pfishingruven]

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for most of the state as a large squall line of Severe Thunderstorms move east quickly, at 35 mph.  These storms are capable of damaging winds in excess of 60mph.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS