So, as we move into the last week of November and Thanksgiving Week, the weather will be unsettled and a decent storm is expected, but overall the weather will not be bad. Water conditions will not be th best until the end of the week into the weekend, but Monday and Tuesday may be ok. The weather will start off cold and dry on Monday and early Tuesday Day followed by a low pressure system that will affect the area Tuesday Afternoon through early Thursday. The track of the storm will really influence the effects, but right now the area is looking at rain with some warmer temperatures for most of the state, except northern and western parts of NJ. By late Wednesday Night into early Thursday, colder air will move in and the low will clear out for Thanksgiving leaving sunny and dry conditions for Thanksgiving Weekend! High temperatures will start out in the 30’s on Monday followed by upper 30’s to upper 50’s for Tuesday and Wednesday right now and then back into the 30’s and 40’s for Thanksgiving, Black Friday and the weekend. Overnight lows will start off in the 20’s and 30’s and then range from the 30’s to the 50’s Tuesday before dropping again into the 20’s and 30’s for Wednesday and the end of the week. Midweek temperatures could certainly change depending on the track and position of the low pressure system. Winds will settle down for Monday and then increase Tuesday through Thursday before diminishing again for the end of the week. Water conditions will vary all week by day and location, in general starting off cautious and improving some late on Monday and maybe parts of Tuesday before deteriorating on Tuesday and becoming cautious to hazardous late on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday. Friday will see conditions improving through the weekend. Surf and beach conditions will be good through late Tuesday and then will be cautious to hazardous through Friday. Water temperatures are steady with rivers and bays in the mid to upper 40’s, inland ocean waters are in the low 50’s with midshore to offshore waters are in the mid to upper 50’s. UV Index will be Low at 1-2/15.
A strong Canadian High Pressure system continues to move through the region and offshore on Monday. A Gulf of Mexico low pressure system will develop and track northeast and intensify passing over or just east of the area on Wednesday. Another Canadian High Pressure system will start building east on Thanksgiving Day and reach the Eastern Seaboard on the weekend.
The weekend looks dry and colder with good water and surf conditions.
Have a great week! From my family to everyone at NJSWF and their families, I wish you a Happy Thanksgiving!! Be safe and careful if you are traveling, especially with this impending weather on Wednesday.
MondaySky: Sunny to mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High: Mid to upper 30’s
Low: Upper 20’s inland, Low 30’s coastal, low 20’s across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index: 2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 6:52am
Sunset: 4:34pm
Last Qtr: 2:29pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather - Poor
Weather2Hunt - 37/50
TuesdaySky: Cloudy
Precipitation: 40% chance of rain/sleet or snow northern/western areas, 100% chance of rain at night
Temperatures
High: Mid 40’s to low 50’s
Low: Mid 40’s to low 50’s inland, low to upper 50’s coastal, upper 30’s across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index: 2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 6:53am
Sunset: 4:34pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Good
Weather2Hunt - 37/50
WednesdaySky: Cloudy becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 80%-90% chance of rain during the day, 40% chance of rain/snow at night clearing out late
Temperatures
High: Low to upper 50’s, low 40’s across northern areas and higher elevations
Low: Mid 20’s inland, upper 20’s to low 30’s coastal, low 20’s across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index: 2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 6:54am
Sunset: 4:33pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt - 27/50
Thursday ~THANKSGIVING~Sky: Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation: 0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High: Mid to upper 30’s, low 30’s across northern areas and higher elevations
Low: Low 20’s inland, upper 20’s coastal, mid teens across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index: 2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 6:55am
Sunset: 4:33pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt - 33/50
"BLACK" FridaySky: Sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation: 0% to slight chance
Temperatures
High: Upper 30’s, low 30’s across northern areas and higher elevation
Low: Low to mid 20’s inland, upper 20’s low 30’s coastal, mid teens across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index: 2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 6:56am
Sunset: 4:33pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Fair
Weather2Hunt - 37/50
Monday Surface AnalysisTuesday Surface AnalysisWednesday Surface AnalysisThursday Surface AnalysisFriday SurfaceTotal Precipitation Monday - FridayTotal Precipitation Sunday - Sunday**For information on possible Coastal Storm/Nor’Easter this week
NJSWF Thanksgiving Week Storm ThreadCoastal Waters (out to 20nm) ForecastsRaritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy HookWater Temperature: 43°F
MondayWind: W 10-15 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Monday NightWind: SW 10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
TuesdayWind: SW winds 5-10 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: E 10-15 knots becoming SE 15-20 knots after midnight
Seas: 2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: S 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas: 2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 3-6 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 3-7 feetThursdayWind: NW 10-15 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 3-7 feet
Thursday NightWind: NW 10-15 knots becoming 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 2-5 feet
FridayWind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Friday NightWind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Sandy Hook Tides (Bay) Sandy Hook Tides Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat InletWater Temperature: 53°F
Monday MorningWinds: WNW 13 to 17 knots
Seas: NW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Monday AfternoonWinds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 11 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday MorningWinds: WSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday AfternoonWinds: SW 5 to 7 knots
Seas: S 1 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 19 to 26 knots
Seas: SE 7 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 3-7 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: SE 7 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 4-8 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 28 knots
Seas: SE 5 feet at 12 seconds
Surf: 3-7 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 18 to 25 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 11 seconds
Surf: 2-5 feetFriday MorningWinds: NNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday AfternoonWinds: NNE 4 to 6 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Manasquan Inlet Tides Manasquan Inlet TidesBarnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)Water Temperature: 36°F
MondayWind: WNW 8-13 knots becoming WSW in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Monday NightWind: SW 11-13 knots
Seas: 1 feet
Surf: 0-1 feet
TuesdayWind: SW 8-11 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: SE 10-15 knots increasing to 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots after midnight
Seas: 2 feet building to 4 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: SSW 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots becoming WNW in the afternoon
Seas: 3-4 feet
Surf: 1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 20-25 knots decreasing 15-20 knots after midnight with gusts to 30 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas: 1-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feetThursday NightWind: NNW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
FridayWind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Friday NightWind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) TidesBarnegat Bay TidesBarnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)Water Temperature: 53°F
Monday MorningWinds: WNW 13 to 17 knots
Seas: NNW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Monday AfternoonWinds: W 6 to 8 knots
Seas: NE 1 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday MorningWinds: SW 13 to 17 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday AfternoonWinds: SSE 7 to 9 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 19 to 26 knots
Seas: SE 8 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 4-8 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: SE 7 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 4-8 feetThursday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 24 to 33 knots
Seas: SE 6 feet at 11 seconds
Surf: 3-7 feetThursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 18 to 25 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 3-7 feetFriday MorningWinds: N 10 to 14 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday AfternoonWinds: NNE 7 to 9 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Cape May (Ocean) Tides Cape May TidesDelaware BayWater Temperature: 45°F
MondayWind: W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming SW 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
Monday NightWind: SW 10-15 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1 foot
TuesdayWind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: S 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-2 feetWednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: W 15-20 knots increasing to 20-25 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 3-5 feet
Surf: 1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW 20-25 knots diminishing to 15-20 knots after midnight with gusts to 35 knots
Seas: 4-6 feet
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: NW 15-20 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-2 feetThursday NightWind: NW 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
FridayWind: N 5-10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday NightWind: N 5-10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) TidesDelaware Bay TidesOffshore WatersMidshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)Water Temperature: 57°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 19 to 26 knots
Seas: NW 5 feet at 5 secondsMonday AfternoonWinds: WNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas: NW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 15 to 21 knots
Seas: WSW 4 feet at 5 secondsTuesday AfternoonWinds: SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: SW 3 feet at 5 seconds
Wednesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 28 to 38 knots
Seas: SSE 13 feet at 9 secondsWednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 19 to 22 knots
Seas: SSE 11 feet at 10 secondsThursday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 30 to 41 knots
Seas: SSE 12 feet at 12 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 24 to 32 knots
Seas: SSE 9 feet at 11 secondsFriday MorningWinds: N 12 to 17 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Friday AfternoonWinds: NNE 8 to 11 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Sea Surface TemperaturesSurface20 Meters (≈65 feet)NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day LoopNWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day LoopOcean CurrentsSurface20 Meters (≈65 feet) Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution! *****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)