This week will be a rollercoaster ride of a week with temperatures, precipitation and water conditions. Monday will start off cold, sunny, windy and dry. On Monday Night through Tuesday Night chances of snow will move into the area as a clipper system moves into the Mid Atlantic and Northeast. The track of the system depends what areas get snow and how much since the cold air will already be in place. Any snow on Tuesday will eventually change to rain for Central and Southern areas. Right now, Central and Northern NJ are in the direct path with 1-4 inches possible. Other areas south could see flurries to a an inch, but nothing substantial in accumulations. This will all move out by Wednesday when sunny, dry and windy conditions will return through Friday before another system moves in for Friday Night into the weekend. This system will be rain for most, except the possibility of snow showers or a mix across northwestern NJ. Temperatures will start off cold moderating to average and then above average by the end of the week. High temperatures will vary greatly. They will range from upper 20’s to mid 50’s, as warmer air moves into the area at the end of the week. Overnight lows will vary too, ranging from low teens to mid 40’s. Winds will be moderate to gusty most of the week. Water conditions will be back and forth with each approaching and exiting system. Conditions will vary by day and location. In general water conditions will be cautious to hazardous all week with a few lulls in winds and seas. Monday will be cautious to hazardous improving some for Monday Night before deteriorating again for Tuesday into Wednesday, then improving some on Wednesday Night and then deteriorating again for Thursday and Friday. Southern and Midshore to Offshore waters will have the worst conditions, but all areas will experience gusty winds and seas. Surf and beach conditions will be good some days, ok to cautious on others. Winds will be gusty on the beach and wave heights could reach 2-5 feet again during the week. These conditions look to mimic the water conditions above. Water temperatures are steady in the low to mid 40’s with the exception of offshore waters in the mid 50’s. UV Index will be Low all week at 1/15.
Weak high pressure will briefly affect the area Monday into Monday Night. A clipper system will move across the Northeast Monday Night into Tuesday Night. High pressure will then build across the Southeast Wednesday into Thursday, then off the Southeast Coast by Thursday. A cold front will approach the area from the northwest Friday Night into Saturday and stall near the area over the weekend with several waves of low pressure developing along the front.
The weekend will have chances of precipitation possible both days as a system moves through the area. Originally, this looked like a coastal storm, but has moved quite inland. It could go back off the coast, but that is a very low chance right now. As it stands, Saturday and Sunday will have rains across the majority of the state as above average temperatures move in on Friday and stick around through Sunday. Northwestern areas could see snow or a mix with colder temperatures in place there. Highs will range from the low 40’s to mid 50’s. Along the coast could even push upper 50’s to 60’s. Overnight lows will be in the upper 20’s to mid 40’s. Water conditions do not look favorable this weekend with high winds and elevated seas again. Surf and beach conditions will be ok to cautious with the same gusty winds and some higher surf.
Lots going on again this week, with very active Winter Weather Patterns. Updates to come!
Have a great week and be safe!
MondaySky: Mostly sunny increasing clouds becoming cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance during the day, 20%-60% chance of snow (chances increase from southeast to northwest)
Temperatures
High: Upper 20’s to mid 30’s with mid 20’s across northern areas
Low: Low 20’s inland, mid to upper 20’s along the coast, low teens across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index: 1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:11am
Sunset: 4:32pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather - Poor
Weather2Hunt - 37/50
TuesdaySky: Cloudy clearing to mostly to partly cloudy
Precipitation: 20%-70% chance of snow, changing to rain for the southern half of the state (chances increase southeast to northwest)
Temperatures
High: Upper 30’s to low 40’s inland, low to upper 40’s along the coast, low 30’s across northern areas
Low: Mid 20’s inland, upper 20’s to low 30’s along the coast, upper teens across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index: 1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:12am
Sunset: 4:33pm
Full Moon: 4:29am
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt - 50/50
WednesdaySky: Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Upper 30’s to low 40’s with low 30’s across northern areas
Low: Low to mid 20’s inland, mid to upper 20’s to low 30’s along the coast, mid teens across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index: 1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:13am
Sunset: 4:33pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt - 40/50
ThursdaySky: Mostly to partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Mid to upper 40’s with upper 30’s across northern areas
Low: Low to mid 30’s inland, upper 30’s along the coast, upper 20’s across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index: 1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:13am
Sunset: 4:33pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt - 43/50
FridaySky: Mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-40% chance of rain and snow showers (snow for northwestern areas)
Temperatures
High: Mid 50’s (maybe upper 50’s possible) with mid 40’s across northern areas
Low: Low to mid 40’s inland, mid 40’s along the coast, low 30’s across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index: 1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:14am
Sunset: 4:34pm
Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt - 43/50
Monday Surface AnalysisTuesday Surface AnalysisWednesday Surface AnalysisThursday Surface AnalysisFriday SurfaceTotal Precipitation Monday - FridayTotal Precipitation Sunday - SundaySnowfall Totals Monday & Tuesday[/URL
[URL=http://s524.photobucket.com/user/mrt031079/media/NJSWF%201/StormTotalSnowFcst_zps99f60dd0.png.html]Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) ForecastsRaritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy HookWater Temperature: 40°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: W winds 15 to 20 kt...diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 kt
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feetMonday NightWind: W winds 5 to 10 kt.
Seas: 1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
TuesdayWind: S winds around 5 kt...becoming W in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Tuesday NightWind: W winds 5 to 10 kt
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
WednesdayWind: W winds 10 to 15 kt
Seas: 2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Wednesday NightWind: W winds 5 to 10 kt
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
ThursdayWind: SW winds 5 to 10 kt
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
Thursday NightWind: SW winds 5 to 10 kt
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-2 feet
FridayWind: SW winds 10 to 15 kt
Seas: 2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Friday NightWind: SW winds 10 to 15 kt becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight
Seas: 2 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Sandy Hook Tides (Bay) Sandy Hook TidesSandy Hook (Ocean) to Fire Island Inlet, NYWater Temperature: 49°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 20 to 27 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 14 to 20 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feetTuesday MorningWinds: SE 9 to 12 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 19 to 26 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 15 to 21 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feetThursday MorningWinds: WSW 11 to 14 knots
Seas: SE 1 feet at 11 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feetConey Island, NY Tides Coney Island TidesSandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat InletWater Temperature: 49°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 14 to 18 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSE 14 to 19 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 19 to 25 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 12 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feetThursday MorningWinds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 12 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 16 to 21 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feetManasquan Inlet Tides Manasquan Inlet TidesBarnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)Water Temperature: 37°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: WNW wind 16 to 19 kt decreasing to 11 to 14 kt in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 26 kt
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feetMonday NightWind: W wind 5 to 8 kt becoming variable and less than 5 kt
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
TuesdayWind: SE wind 11 to 15 kt becoming WNW in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday NightWind: W wind 7 to 10 kt becoming W 12 to 15 kt after midnight
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 foot
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: WNW wind 15 to 18 kt, with gusts as high as 25 kt
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 footWednesday NightWind: W wind 9 to 12 kt decreasing to 6 to 9 kt after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 foot
Thursday Wind: Variable winds less than 5 kt becoming SW 6 to 11 kt in the morning
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday NightWind: SW wind 10 to 12 kt
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
FridayWind: SW winds 10 to 15 kt
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feet
Friday NightWind: SW winds 10 to 15 kt becoming W 5 to 10 kt
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feet
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) TidesBarnegat Bay TidesBarnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)Water Temperature: 49°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 20 to 27 knots
Seas: SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 2-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feetTuesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 24 to 33 knots
Seas: S 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feetTuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 26 knots
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feetWednesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 23 to 31 knots
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feetWednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feetThursday MorningWinds: SW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 12 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 18 to 25 knots
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 19 to 26 knots
Seas: S 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 19 to 26 knots
Seas: S 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feetCape May (Ocean) Tides Cape May TidesDelaware BayWater Temperature: 42°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt...diminishing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-2 feetMonday NightWind: NW winds 5 to 10 kt early in the evening...becoming light and variable...then becoming SE around 5 kt after midnight...increasing to 5 to 10 kt
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt... Becoming W with gusts up to 20 kt in the late morning and afternoon
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: W winds 10 to 15 kt...increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt... Diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feetThursday Wind: S winds 5 to 10 kt
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday NightWind: SW 10 to 15 kt
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
FridayWind: SW winds 10 to 15 kt
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday NightWind: SW winds 10 to 15 kt
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) TidesDelaware Bay Tides]
Offshore WatersMidshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)Water Temperature: 54°F
Monday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 23 to 31 knots
Seas: SSE 8 feet at 10 secondsMonday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas: SSE 6 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 16 to 21 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 9 secondsTuesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 26 to 36 knots
Seas: WSW 9 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 22 to 30 knots
Seas: WSW 7 feet at 6 secondsWednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 26 knots
Seas: WNW 6 feet at 5 secondsThursday MorningWinds: WSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 12 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 21 to 29 knots
Seas: SW 5 feet at 5 secondsFriday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 22 to 30 knots
Seas: SW 8 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 22 to 30 knots
Seas: SW 8 feet at 7 seconds Sea Surface TemperaturesSurface20 Meters (≈65 feet)NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day LoopNWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day LoopOcean CurrentsSurface20 Meters (≈65 feet) Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution! *****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)