NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Christmas Week

[Pfishingruven]

A very unsettled week again, however weather and water conditions will moderate to normal by midweek and be mostly uneventful.  Christmas Eve and Christmas Day will be dry, mostly sunny and clear with average temperatures.  Rain is likely Monday and then showers Monday Night with possible snow showers (little accumulation) Tuesday Morning scattered across the state and more likely across northwestern areas.  Tuesday any lingering precipitation will move out returning dry conditions for the rest of the week.  The warm temperatures will depart Monday.  Sunday’s overnight lows will be Monday’s highs and temperatures will drop from there into the overnight lows.  Highs will be seasonable for the rest of the week with 20’s to 40’s for highs and teens to 30’s for lows.  Winds will be breezy much of this week, with moving fronts and pressure systems.  Water conditions will be cautious through Wednesday with Small Craft Advisories before conditions improve on Wednesday for the rest of the week.   Surf and beach conditions will be cautious through Wednesday before improving on Wednesday.  Water temperatures are mostly unchanged from the weekend with 40’s except for offshore waters in the low 50’s.  UV Index is Low 0-2/15.

**NWS & BW forecasts do not agree

A strong cold front extends from the Eastern Great Lakes to the Lower Mississippi River Valley Sunday Afternoon.  The boundary will move to the east and it will pass through the region on Monday Morning.  A secondary cold front is expected to arrive late on Tuesday.  High pressure is expected to follow for Wednesday and Thursday.  A cold front from the Northwest is anticipated for late Thursday with an area of high pressure forecast in its wake for Friday and Saturday.  Another cold front may approach from the Northwest on Sunday.

The weekend looks like a continuation of the end of the week with dry conditions, average temperatures and good water, surf and beach conditions.

Happy Holidays and a very Merry Christmas to everyone (and their family’s) here at NJSWF from me and my family!

Have a great week!

Monday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation:  40%-100% chance of rain and showers all day, greater chances during the day and from south to north
Temperatures
High:    Mid 50’s to low 60’s (overnight lows for Sunday Night will be Monday’s highs as temperatures will drop during the day Monday)
Low:     Mid 30’s inland and along the coast, upper 20’s across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index:  0-1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:15am
Sunset: 4:35pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather  - Poor
Weather2Hunt - 33/50

Tuesday – Christmas Eve
Sky:  Mostly sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance, 20% chance of snow showers for northwestern areas
Temperatures
High:   Upper 30’s to low 40’s inland and along the coast, mid 30’s across northern areas
Low:   Upper teens to low 20’s inland, low to mid 20’s along the coast, mid teens across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:16am
Sunset: 4:36pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Poor
Weather2Hunt - 43/50

Wednesday – Christmas Day
Sky:   Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 30’s to low 40’s with low 30’s across northern areas
Low:   Low to mid 30’s inland and along the coast, mid 20’s across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:16am
Sunset: 4:36pm
Last Qtr: 8:49am

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Fair
Weather2Hunt - 33/50

Thursday
Sky:  Mostly to partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 40’s with upper 30’s across northern areas
Low:   Upper 20’s inland, low to mid 30’s along the coast, mid 20’s across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:16am
Sunset: 4:37pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Fair
Weather2Hunt - 40/50

Friday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming mostly clear to partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 30’s to low 40’s with mid 30’s across northern areas
Low:   Upper 20’s inland, Low to mid 30’s along the coast, mid 20’s across northern areas and higher elevations
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:17am
Sunset: 4:38pm

Fishing Forecast
Accuweather – Fair
Weather2Hunt - 43/50

Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  43°F
Monday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1- feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  N 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
Wind: NW 5-10 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  S 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Thursday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots in the
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Friday
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                             



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  43°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: N 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: SW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  46°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 3 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: SW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  42°F
Monday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  3 feet subsiding to 1 foot
Surf:  1-2 feet subsiding to 0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  WNW 10-15 knots becoming NNW after midnight
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:  NNW 13 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 13-17 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:  NNW 10-15 knots becoming variable around 5 knot   
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:  Variable less than 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 kt becoming WSW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind: WNW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet 

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  48°F
Monday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 25 to 34 knots
Seas:  SSE 7 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: N 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: N 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: N 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: N 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WSW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NNW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  41°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-4 feet, Visibility 1 nm less increasing to 1-3 nm in the afternoon
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  N 15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:   NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots becoming N 20-25 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  N 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots becoming NW 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
Wind:  SW 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides



Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  52°F
Monday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  S 8 feet at 7 seconds
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  S 9 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  NNW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: SW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Pfishingruven]

It looks like the system stalled some and there will be some lingering precipitation on Tuesday with cold air moving in.  This will bring snow showers, mixed precip changing over to rain for most of the state then back to snow showers at night.  This could make for slippery surfaces and hazardous road conditions.  Northwester NJ will get some accumulation of less than an inch.  Other areas will just have a wintry mess on the ground.

Be safe tomorrow and Merry Christmas!!

[Pfishingruven]

Good afternoon and Merry Christmas Eve!  The cold has returned, but so has the sun.  It will be mostly sunny with a mix of some clouds and increasing clouds throughout the day.  There are chances of scattered and isolated snow showers today and tonight with some lingering precipitation from the front that moved through yesterday.  Northern parts of the state could see accumulation of less than an inch.  Temperatures are cold again, with highs only in the mid 30’s to low 40’s.  Overnight lows will be in the low to mid 20’s with mid teens across northern areas of the state.  Winds could be gustier at times form the northwest at 10-15 mph.

Water conditions are cautious with Small Craft Advisories from Raritan Bay east to Montauk and south up the Delaware River.  Winds today will gust from the northwest at 20 knots increasing to 30 knots tonight with inshore seas 4-6 feet and offshore 5-9 feet.  Conditions will begin to improve on Wednesday.

Surf and beach conditions are good to ok.  Northwest winds can be gusty at 10-15 knots with some gusts to 20 knots increasing to 25-30 knots tonight.  Surf is rough with wave heights 2-5 feet with a 3-5 foot southeast swell at 7 seconds.  Surf temperatures are in the low 40’s.  UV Index is Low at 2/15.

Have a great Christmas Eve and be safe!

[Pfishingruven]

Merry Christmas Morning!  Sunny and cold with some clouds mixed in.  Sunny with increasing clouds for the rest of the day becoming partly to mostly cloudy.  Dry today, with a chance of rain and snow showers tomorrow.  Highs will be in the low to mid 30’s with mid 20’s across northern areas.  Overnight lows will be in the mid to upper 20’s with low 20’s across northern areas.  Winds will be light out of the northwest at 5-10 mph.

Water conditions have improved with only Small Craft Advisories for Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet.  Winds could be gusty this morning from the northwest at 15-20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots by this afternoon with seas 3-6 feet subsiding to 2-4 feet this afternoon.

Surf and beach conditions are good today.  Winds will be gusty this morning from the northwest at 15-20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots by this afternoon.  Surf is a little rougher this morning becoming normal this afternoon.  Wave heights are 2-4 feet diminishing to 1-3 this afternoon with a 2-3 foot east-southeast swells at 10 seconds.  Surf temperatures are in the low 40’s.  UV Index is Low at 1-2/15.

Have a great day and Merry Christmas!

[Pfishingruven]

Good afternoon!  Sorry, this is late, but I had some internet issues this morning.  Cloudy right now with some snow showers moving through the state.  There is a chance of snow showers the remainder of the day, but it looks like clouds will be thinning out and some sunshine is even possible.  Tonight, clouds will clear out, leaving mostly clear skies.  High temperatures will be in the low 40’s with low 30’s across northern areas.  Overnight lows will be in the 20’s with mid teens across the north.  With clear skies and calm winds tonight, temperatures could definitely drop lower than forecast due to radiational cooling.  Winds will be light to calm inland out of the west around 5 mph with coastal winds 10-15 mph.

Water conditions are good to cautious with Small Craft Advisories for ocean waters from Cape May north through Montauk.  SCA areas have winds gusting to 25 knots and seas building 2-3/2-4 feet.  Raritan Bay will have west winds 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots later today with seas 1 foot or less increasing to 1-2 feet by later today.  Barnegat Bay will have west winds 10-12 knots becoming west-northwest tonight with seas around 1 foot.  Delaware Bay will have west winds around 10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots tonight with seas 2-3 feet.  Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet will have west winds 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots increasing 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots later today through tonight before becoming northwest and diminishing to 10-15 knots after midnight with seas 2-4 feet.  Inshore ocean waters will have southwest winds 10-15 knots becoming northwest with gusts to 25 knots later this afternoon with seas 2-3 feet building to 2-4 feet tonight at 12 seconds.  Visibility could be limited to 1-3 nm.  Midshore to Offshore waters will have west becoming west to northwest winds 15-25 knots becoming north to northwest and diminishing to 10-20 knots after midnight with seas 2-4 feet increasing to 4-7 feet at 12 seconds.

 Surf and beach conditions are good with some gustier winds.  Winds are west to southwest to northwest around 10-20 knots.  Surf is normal with wave heights 1-3 feet with a 2 foot east-southeast swell at 10 seconds.  Winds and surf could increase additionally later this evening into tonight.  Surf temperatures are in the low 40’s.  UV Index is Low at 1/15.

Have a great rest of the day!

[Pfishingruven]

Good afternoon!  A nice day out there today with sunny skies and some clouds mixed in.  More cloudy in the northern half of the state right now.  It will continue to be sunny and dry with clear skies and some continued cloudiness across the north.  High temperatures will be in the low to mid 40’s with upper 30’s across the north.  Overnight lows will be cold with mid to upper 20’s inland, low 30’s along the coast and low 20’s across northern areas.  Winds are light out of the west at 10-15 mph.  Tomorrow looks be a warmer repeat of today!

Water conditions and surf and beach conditions are good today, except Midshore to Offshore will be borderline cautious with some gustier winds to 20 knots and seas to 5 feet.  All other waters, winds will gustier 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots with seas improving to 2-3 feet.  Surf is normal even calm with wave heights 1-2 feet.

Have a great Friday!!