Despite an unsettled and changing weather pattern this weekend, the weather won’t be that bad, but water and surf conditions could be affected. With only 12 days until Spring Equinox and already the start of Daylight Savings Time, it will feel more like Spring than it has the last week. There will be a mix of sun and clouds, with more clouds than sun both days. There is a chance of rain/snow showers Saturday Night and Sunday Day, although these chances are very low and Sunday will be isolated across the south. Any showers will be isolated or scattered at best. Temperatures will be above average on Saturday and average on Sunday, but cooler than Saturday as a cold front moves through Saturday Night. Saturday will see 40’s and 50’s with 20’s and 30’s overnight and Sunday will see 30’s and 40’s with 20’s and 30’s overnight. Both days will have some gustier winds. Water conditions will depend on location and time. Overall, winds will be gustier early Saturday and then late Saturday and into Sunday. Small Craft Advisories are likely due to elevated seas. Sunday will see SCA’s dropped. Offshore waters will be hazardous to cautious all weekend as the coastal low tracks out to sea. Seas could top 10 feet offshore this weekend. Surf and beach conditions will be cautious all weekend due to rough, high surf and gusty winds. Surf on Saturday will be 4-9 feet subsiding to 2-4 on Sunday! Water temperatures are unchanged in the mid to upper 30’s inland with mid to upper 40’s offshore. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 2-4/15.
A low pressure system along the Southeastern Coast will slowly move northeast off the Carolina Coast and then rapidly out to sea late Friday Night into early Saturday. Meanwhile, a cold front will approach from the West and cross the region late Saturday. High pressure will then build to our south into early next week A weak disturbance or frontal boundary may pass through the area around Tuesday, followed by the potential for a low pressure system to the south and pass over the region Wednesday into Thursday.
Next week will start off dry with precipitation moving in Tuesday Night with chances through Friday. Monday will continue average to above average temperatures before Tuesday ushers in cold air again! So, any precipitation that falls during the week could be rain to mix to snow! Water conditions will be mixed, but could be cautious Tuesday Night through Friday, especially offshore. Unsettled patterns and moving boundaries and lows will increase winds and seas. Surf and beach conditions look ok through Thursday when surf will increase for Thursday and Friday.
Have a great weekend!
SaturdaySky: Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance during the day, 20% chance of rain/snow showers at night
Temperatures
High: Mid 40’s to low 50’s
Low: Low 30’s inland, mid 30’s along the coast, low to mid 20’s across the north
UV Index: 3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:20am
Sunset: 5:55pm
First Qtr: 8:28am
SundaySky: Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-20% chance of rain during the day mainly across the south, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High: Upper 30’s to mid 40’s
Low: Low 30’s inland, mid 30’s along the coast, low to mid 20’s across the north
UV Index: 3/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:18am
Sunset: 6:56pm
Friday Night Surface AnalysisSaturday Surface AnalysisSunday Surface AnalysisFriday – Monday Precipitation Total Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) ForecastsRaritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy HookWater Temperature: 37°F
SaturdayWind: NW 5-10 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet in the afternoon
Surf (Ocean): 3-6 feet
Saturday NightWind: NW 10 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet in the evening, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 3-6 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feetSunday NightWind: W 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Sandy Hook (Bay) TidesSandy Hook TidesSandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NYWater Temperature: 37°F
Saturday Morning Winds: NNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 10 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 3-6 feet
Saturday AfternoonWinds: WNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 10 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 3-6 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 14 to 19 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 14 to 18 knots
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feetConey Island, NY TidesConey Island TidesSandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat InletWater Temperature: 36°F
Saturday MorningWinds: NNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 11 seconds
Surf: 3-7 feet
Saturday AfternoonWinds: WNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 11 seconds
Surf: 3-7 feet
Sunday MorningWinds: NW 13 to 17 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 14 to 18 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feetManasquan Inlet TidesManasquan Inlet TidesBarnegat Bay at Island Beach State ParkWater Temperature: 32°F
SaturdayWind: NNW 10 knots becoming WNW in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Saturday NightWind: WNW 9 knots
Seas: 1 foot
Surf: 0-1 feet
SundayWind: NW 11-13 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Sunday NightWind: WNW 5-9 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides Barnegat Bay TidesBarnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)Water Temperature: 38°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: ESE 7 feet at 11 seconds
Surf: 4-9 feetSaturday AfternoonWinds: WNW 14 to 18 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 4-9 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 14 to 20 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: E 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feetCape May (Ocean) TidesCape May TidesDelaware BayWater Temperature: 34°F-38°F
SaturdayWind: NW 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Saturday NightWind: NW 5-10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: NW 10-15 knots becoming W 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feetDelaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) TidesDelaware Bay TidesOffshore WatersMidshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)Water Temperature: 45°F
Saturday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: N 17 to 23 knots
Seas: ESE 10 feet at 11 secondsSaturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 12 to 17 knots
Seas: ESE 8 feet at 10 seconds
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 18 to 25 knots
Seas: ESE 6 feet at 10 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: ESE 5 feet at 10 secondsSea Surface TemperaturesSurface20 Meters (≈65 feet)NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day LoopNWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day LoopOcean CurrentsSurface20 Meters (≈65 feet)Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution! *****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)