NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: May 12-16, 2014

[Pfishingruven]

A wet week with thunderstorms from unsettled weather patterns, but water conditions look good most of the week. There will be rain chances all week with the possibility of thunderstorms through Wednesday and I wouldn’t discredit the possibility of an isolated thunderstorm all week. Monday day will see a mix of sun and clouds with clouds increasing into the night. Monday Night will see showers and thunderstorm possibilities continuing through Friday. The rest of the week will see a mix of sun and clouds with more clouds than sun and rain chances the greatest on Thursday and Friday. The earlier part of the week will have scattered to widely scattered showers throughout the days. Rain accumulations will be in the 1-3 inch range this week, so all flooding type conditions are possible and need to be monitored. High temperatures will peak on Monday in the mid to even upper 80’s inland with mid to upper 70’s along the coast. The rest of the week highs will be in the 60’s and 70’s. Overnight lows will be in the 50’s and 60’s all week. With a highs and lows closing in on each other, humidity will increase and be noticeable most of the week, with higher humidity through Monday Night becoming moderate to lower the remainder of the week. Water conditions look good through Wednesday or early Thursday, albeit, gustier winds are possible earlier in the week bringing conditions bordering on SCA criteria. Thursday and Friday will see Cautious to even Hazardous conditions with winds over 25 knots and seas 5-6 feet with Small Craft Advisories. Surf and beach conditions will be good through Wednesday, then deteriorate on Thursday becoming Cautious on Friday with gusty winds, rough surf and wave heights 2-8 feet possible with the higher surf along Southern beaches. Water temperatures are steady along ocean waters in the mid to upper 50’s with low 50’s offshore. Rivers and bays are in the mid 50’s to mid 60’s in places with shallower waters. UV Index will be Moderate to Very High.

High pressure will remain centered east of the Carolinas into Monday.  A cold front is forecast to approach from the north and northeast Monday Night, then the boundary will push through the region during Tuesday as strong high pressure builds southward from Canada. The boundary will likely dissipate to the west and southwest as the high moves over the Western North Atlantic. A strong cold front is anticipated to approach from the west Thursday, then it should move through the region Friday. The boundary is forecast to move slowly out to sea over the weekend.
   
The weekend looks like a repeat of the week, with rain chances both days right now. Scattered showersa and thunderstorms are possible, with low to moderate chances right not. Temperatures will continue to be average in the 60’s & 70’s with 40’s to 50’s overnight. Water, surf and beach conditions inshore are modeled to recover for the weekend, however offshore could still see Cautious Conditions, definitely Saturday and likely Sunday.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-30% chance of thunderstorms during the day (mainly west and north), 20%-50% chance of thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 80’s inland, mid to upper 70’s along the coast
Low:   Upper 50’s to mid 60’s
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:45am
Sunset: 8:01pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy becoming cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-40% chance of showers and thunderstorms
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 70’s inland, upper 60’s along the coast
Low:   low to upper 50’s
UV Index:  4-8/15 (Moderate-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:44am
Sunset: 8:02pm


Wednesday
Sky:   Cloudy with patchy fog at night
Precipitation:  30%-50% chance of showers
Temperatures
High:   Mid 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Mid 40’s to low 50’s 
UV Index:  3-8/15 (Moderate- Very High)
Sunrise: 5:43am
Sunset: 8:03pm
Full Moon: 3:17pm


Thursday
Sky:  Cloudy
Precipitation:  40%-80% chance of showers all day (lower chances during the day)
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s to mid 70’s
Low:   Mid to upper 50’s
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:42am
Sunset: 8:04pm


Friday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation:  60% chance of showers during the day, 0%-40%
Temperatures
High:   Mid 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Low to mid 50’s
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:41am
Sunset: 8:05pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  55°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:   SW 5 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:    1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots diminishing to 5 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm with patchy fog
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  E 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less building to 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  E 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm with patchy fog
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Thursday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm with patchy fog in the morning
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 5 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Friday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 5 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  55°F
Monday Morning
Winds: W 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  S 1 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 1 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: E 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: ENE 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: E 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: S 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  57°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  S 1 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 1 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: W 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: ENE 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: E 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ENE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: SSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  SE 6 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  68°F
Monday
Wind:  SSW 7-12 knots or less   
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  SW 6-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  N 5-8 knots becoming ENE 8-11 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  E 10-12 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  E 7-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SSE 9 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, patchy fog
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  S 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  S 8-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  S 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  S 5 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  59°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  S 1 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: E 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ENE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: SSW 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 21 to 29 knots
Seas:  SE 7 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-7 feet
Friday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 23 to 31 knots
Seas:  SE 8 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-7 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  60°F-65°F
Monday
Wind:   SW 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:   1-2 feet
Surf:   1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:  S 10 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming NE late in the morning, then E in the afternoon increasing to 10-15 knots late
Seas:  1 foot or less building to 1-2 feet late morning, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:   1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:  E 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  E 10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SE 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1 nm with patchy fog
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday
Wind:  SE 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1 nm with patchy fog, increasing to 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
SW winds around 5 kt...becoming NW after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Showers with a chance of tstms in the morning...then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Friday
Wind:  SW 5 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  50°F
Monday Morning
Winds: W 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: W 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSW 3 feet at 5 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSW 2 feet at 5 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: ESE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 5 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 6 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  SSE 6 feet at 6 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  SSE 7 feet at 7 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface




20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
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*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)