Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Memorial Day Weekend  (Read 1975 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Memorial Day Weekend
« on: May 23, 2014, 11:47:35 AM »
While this Memorial Day Weekend will not be perfect, it won’t be a wash either. Late Spring/Early Summer weather patterns are becoming evident the last week or so. Friday into Friday Night will continue with scattered chances of showers and even a thunderstorm possible. By Saturday many areas will see clouds beginning to break and a mix of sun entering. Saturday will have isolated to scattered chances of showers and thunderstorms all day into Saturday Night. These chances will be low, statewide, but I would expect to see some rain and thunderstorms pop-up throughout the day. Some of these storms could be stronger and of course, over water will bring much higher winds and seas than in the marine forecasts. The bulk of the threat of rain and storms will move out by Sunday. All areas could see isolated or scattered showers and thunderstorms early Sunday, but these chances are even lower than for Saturday. The remainder of Sunday and Monday look to be dry with a mix of sun and clouds, with more sun than clouds. Temperatures will be in the 70’s to 80’s inland with 60’s to 70’s along the coast and on the water. Overnight lows will only be in the 50’s and 60’s making humidity moderate and noticeable. Water conditions could be Cautious early on Saturday with borderline SCA winds around 15 knots and gusts possible to 20 knots. Winds should settle by afternoon to late day on Saturday and remain good for the rest of the weekend. Offshore waters could see Cautious conditions return on Monday again, with borderline SCA winds. Overall, water conditions don’t look bad and even offshore will have borderline conditions with 4 foot seas at peak. However remember to keep an eye on any storms on Friday Night through Sunday Morning. Surf and beach conditions will be good with some gusty winds possible early on Saturday. Water temperatures are warming into the upper 50’s and into the 60’s for rivers and bays, with surf in the upper 50’s, inshore ocean waters in the mid to upper 50’s, even some 60’s and offshore waters in the mid 50’s. Warmer currents are slowly moving into offshore waters as seen this week on satellite. UV Index will be Moderate to High bordering on Very High this weekend.
 
A few upper level disturbances will pass over the area on Friday and Saturday. High pressure will then move in for Sunday and Monday. A cold front will then move in later on Tuesday and into Wednesday.

Next week will start with some rain and thunderstorm chances on Tuesday, clearing out for the rest of the week. The end of the week could bring some rain chances again. Temperatures will remain in the 70’s and 80’s with 50’s and 60’s overnight. Humidity will be moderate to high this week; very much Summer-like weather. Water, surf and beach conditions look good on Tuesday, Cautious to Hazardous on Wednesday, then improving into Thursday and Friday.

Have a great Memorial Day Weekend and let’s not forget the real reason for the holiday! Thanks for reading. Be safe!!

Saturday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-40% chance of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms, decreasing chances overnight
Temperatures
High:     Low to mid 70’s inland, mid to upper 60’s along the coast
Low:     Upper 40’s to mid 50’s
UV Index:  4-7/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 5:34am
Sunset: 8:12pm


Sunday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-20% chance of isolated showers during the day (mostly across the north), 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:     Upper 70’s inland, low to mid 70’s along the coast
Low:     Low to mid 50’s inland, upper 50’s to low 60’s along the coast
UV Index:  7/15 (High)
Sunrise: 5:34am
Sunset: 8:13pm


Monday~Memorial Day
Sky:  Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low 80’s inland, mid 70’s along the coast
Low:   Upper 50’s to low 60’s
UV Index:  7/15 (High)
Sunrise: 5:33am
Sunset: 8:14pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Monday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



5 Day Precipitation



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  60°F
Saturday
Wind:  N 10 knots becoming E in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  S 5 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Sunday
Wind:  NW 5 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Monday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides





Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  60°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: N 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 3 to 3 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: WNW 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: W 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-2 feet
Monday Morning
Winds: W 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides





Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  58°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: NNW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 6 to 7 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Morning
Winds: W 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides





Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  64°F
Saturday
Wind:  N 8-11 knots becoming NE in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  S 6 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind:  WNW 6 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  SSW 6 knots becoming WSW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday
Wind:  W 6-11 knots or less becoming SW in the afternoon  
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  SW 8-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides





Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  59°F
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: WNW 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  ENE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: W 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ENE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Morning
Winds: W 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides





Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  65°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  N 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming NE 5-10 late
Seas:  2-3 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf:  1-3 feet, the 0-1 feet

Saturday Night
Wind:  SE 5 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind:  W 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming SW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less building to 1-2 feet in the evening
Surf:  0-1 feet building to 1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides





Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  54°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  NNW 4 feet at 4 seconds

Saturday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ENE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Sunday Morning
Winds: WSW 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: W 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Monday Morning
Winds: W 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 7 seconds
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 7 seconds


Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



 20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)








Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!



*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
« Last Edit: May 23, 2014, 11:50:21 AM by Pfishingruven »


Offline fluke - u

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Memorial Day Weekend
« Reply #1 on: May 23, 2014, 01:03:12 PM »
 t^...Have a good Memorial Day Matt, Thanks for all your hard work and dedication to bringing us the weather reports everyday.... slt
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Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Memorial Day Weekend
« Reply #2 on: May 23, 2014, 08:21:14 PM »
t^...Have a good Memorial Day Matt, Thanks for all your hard work and dedication to bringing us the weather reports everyday.... slt

YW slt! Have a good weekend, even though I saw you said you are working fcp.

 

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