Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Jun 23-27, 2014  (Read 1344 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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Into the first week of Summer with very typical weather conditions with a mix of sun and rain this week, but water conditions will be border line, much of the week.  Monday will start the week off dry with rain and/or thunderstorms moving in later on Tuesday and continue into Wednesday. 1-2 inches of rain could fall over much of the state during these two days. Rain will clear out for Thursday and Friday remaining dry for both of these days. Temperatures will be in the 70’s and 80’s with cooler temperatures along the coast. Overnight lows will be in the upper 50’s to low 70’s with cooler temperatures across the north and warmest lows along the coast. Humidity will be moderate to high, increasing towards midweek. Water conditions will be mixed from good on certain days and then border line to Cautious other days and this will vary by location. For the most part, Monday will be good, but a southerly/southeasterly flow at 10-15 knots will begin to setup with seas still around 2 feet. Tuesday will be good until afternoon when winds could increase up to 20 knots with seas increasing to 3 feet, but still below SCA criteria. Tuesday could have fog during the morning hours. Tuesday Night through Thursday winds will continue up to 20 knots with seas increasing to 4 feet and conditions just below SCA criteria. Tuesday and Wednesday will have possible thunderstorms and conditions in and around storms will be greater than forecast. Thursday and Friday winds will continue up to 20 knots with seas building to 5 feet triggering possible Small Craft Advisories. Conditions do look to improve into the weekend. Water temperatures are steady. Surf conditions will be OK to Good this week, echoing water conditions. Winds will possible up to 20 knots with potential rougher surf and wave heights 2-4 feet for most of the week. Rip Current Risk will be Low to Moderate. Rivers and bays are in the upper 60’s to mid to upper 70’s. Surf temperatures are in the upper 60’s to low 70’s. Ocean waters are in the low to mid 60’s. Offshore waters are in the upper 60’s now.   UV Index will be Moderate to Very High.

The area of high pressure will continue to move east off the coast into Monday. A low pressure system will lift northeast from the Southern High Plains into the Ohio Valley by midweek. A cold front should move through the region Wednesday or early Thursday.  A high pressure system over the Great Lakes on Thursday will slowly move east for the rest of the week as the cold front stalls just south of the area.

The Atlantic is quiet. There is an area in the E. Pacific being watched.

The weekend looks like a continuation of the end of the week with dry and sunny conditions. High temperatures will continue in the 80’s inland and mid to upper 70’s along the coast. Overnight lows will be in the 60’s and 70’s as humidity will continue to be moderate to high.  Water, surf and beach conditions will be OK to Good. Winds could be gusty on Saturday and then subsiding for Sunday. Saturday will be border line right now at this point.

Today starts the NWS Lightning Safety Awareness Week. This is something everyone should be aware of, however statistically, male fishermen have the greatest risk of being killed by lightning! I will have a full post with links tomorrow. Have a great week, be safe and thanks for reading!!

Monday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to mid 80’s
Low:   Upper 50’s to mid 60’s
UV Index:  8-9/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:28am
Sunset: 8:29pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly clear
Precipitation:  30% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to mid 80’s
Low:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s
UV Index:  4-9/15 (Moderate-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:28am
Sunset: 8:29pm


Wednesday
Sky:   Mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-60% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to mid 80’s
Low:   mid 60’s to low 70’s 
UV Index:  4-9/15 (Moderate-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:29am
Sunset: 8:29pm


Thursday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to mid 80’s
Low:   Low 60’s to low 70’s
UV Index:  5-9/15 (Moderate-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:29am
Sunset: 8:29pm


Friday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 80’s
Low:   Low 60’s to low 70’s
UV Index:  7-9/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:29am
Sunset: 8:29pm
New Moon: 4:10am


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  73°F
Monday
Wind:   SE 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:    1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less building 1-2 feet in the afternoon
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet then 2-4 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet then 1-3 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet then 2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming W 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet then 1-3 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  NE 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NE 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  73°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WSW 2 to 2 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: S 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: S 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Wednesday Morning
Winds: SSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: S 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Thursday Morning
Winds: S 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNE 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  65°F
Monday Morning
Winds: SE 2 to 2 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet then 2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: S 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: S 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: S 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  SSW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: S 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Thursday Afternoon
Winds: S 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NE 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  NE 5 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ENE 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet


Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  78°F
Monday
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less becoming SSE 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  S 8 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  S 8-11 knots increasing to 11-14 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  S 11-13 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  SSW 10-12 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SSW 6-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NW 6 knots becoming ENE in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less becoming N around 6 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
NE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Friday
Wind:  NE 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  NE 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  72°F
Monday Morning
Winds: ESE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: S 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: S 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SSW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Thursday Morning
Winds: W 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  ENE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NE 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  ENE 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet


Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  75°F-77°F
Monday
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:  S 10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  S 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  S 10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  67°F
Monday Morning
Winds: E 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: S 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: S 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: S 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SSW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  SSW 5 feet at 5 seconds

Thursday Morning
Winds: SW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: N 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  ENE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 6 seconds


Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 





Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Strong to Severe Thunderstorms Wednesday Evening
« Reply #1 on: June 25, 2014, 05:55:29 PM »
There is a possibility of strong to severe thunderstorms between now and tonight. Some cells have already moved into Central and Northern NJ with others moving in from PA. Central and Northern NJ will have storms capable of heavy rains, dangerous lightning, and damaging winds.

These storms in PA are currently Severe Warned Thunderstorms. Keep an eye out tonight!!

Be safe!


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Moderate Rip Current Risks Today/Friday
« Reply #2 on: June 27, 2014, 02:40:59 PM »
Rip Current Risks are Moderate today with some rougher surf and wave heights 3 foot at 5 seconds. Be careful on the beach and in the water. There have been several water rescues today!

The Moderate Risk is likely to continue this weekend as well...

 

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