NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: July 14-18, 2014

[Pfishingruven]

A wet start to the week and borderline to Cautious water conditions, however conditions improve near mid to the end of the week. Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday will have chances of rain and thunderstorms. Monday and Tuesday will have the greatest chance of rain, with showers possible early Wednesday clearing out for the remainder of the day. Rain this week will range from 1-4+ inches locally across the state with Northern NJ in the bullseye. Monday will also bring the greatest chances of thunderstorms with strong to severe storms possible capable of heavy rains, dangerous lightning, damaging winds, hail and even tornadoes. Tuesday will also have a risk of severe weather and maybe into Wednesday. Severe Weather Outlooks will be updated daily as needed. By Wednesday Night conditions will be dry through the weekend with a mix of sun and clouds. High temperatures will start off in the 80’s and 90’s this week, dropping to 70’s and 80’s by midweek after a cold front moves through. This front and air mass does not appear to be as strong as thought last week, limiting severe weather and cooling down. Humidity will be moderate to high to start the week with overnight lows in the 70’s. However, by midweek overnight lows will be in the 50’s and 60’s with drier air moving in and low to moderate humidity for a few days, at least. Water conditions will be borderline to Cautious Monday and Tuesday, possibly into Wednesday, especially midshore to offshore. Winds will be steady around 15 knots with gusts to 20 knots and seas 2-4 feet inshore and 3-6 offshore. Wednesday will mark improving conditions with seas beginning to subside through the weekend. Inshore will still see 2-3 feet and offshore 4 feet. All locations will have short period waves from 5-7 seconds. Surf and beach conditions will be OK to good with gusty winds on Monday and Tuesday, rougher, higher surf stacked up and possibly moderate to higher risks of rip currents. Waves could reach 2-4 feet with an average of 1-3 feet. Conditions will improve on Wednesday through the end of the week with waves 1-3 feet and low to moderate risk of rip currents. Water temperatures have improved, however the southerly flow will return tonight into Monday and remain through Tuesday Night or Wednesday. This will bring cooler water temperatures, enhanced conditions for algae blooms, sea breezes and thick, sudden fog. Reports of a thick bank of fog last week quickly rolling into Raritan Bay/New York Harbor trapped several recreational boaters in the shipping channels. By Wednesday temperatures will begin to balance out again. Currently, rivers and bays are in the 70’s and 80’s. Surf temperatures are in the upper 60’s to low 70’s. Inshore ocean waters are in the upper 60’s to low 70’s and offshore waters are also in the low 70’s. UV Index will be mostly Very High with a few days of Moderate to High times/days.

High pressure will remain stationary offshore while a cold front approaches from the west Sunday Night and Monday. The front will gradually move through the region on Monday Night through Tuesday Night before moving offshore on Wednesday Morning. High pressure then builds into the area later Wednesday through Thursday. The high will eventually move off the coast by the beginning of next weekend.

The Tropics are quiet.

Saturday will be a continuation of the end of the week and Sunday will be identical, just add in a chance of showers and/or thunderstorms. Water, surf and beach conditions look good, but winds around 15 knots, seas 2-4 feet, surf 2-4 feet with Low to Moderate Rip Current Risks.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:  Cloudy
Precipitation:  40%-80% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 80’s to low 90’s with upper 70’s across southern coastal and low 80’s across northern areas
Low:   Low to mid 70’s
UV Index:  8-9/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:39am
Sunset: 8:25pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  40%-70% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 80’s
Low:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s inland and along the coast, low 60’s across the north
UV Index:  8-9/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:40am
Sunset: 8:25pm


Wednesday
Sky:   Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-50% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms during the day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:   Low 80’s inland, low to mid 70’s along the coast and across the north
Low:   Low to mid 60’s inland and along the coast, upper 50’s across the north 
UV Index:  5-7/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 5:41am
Sunset: 8:24pm


Thursday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low 80’s inland, mid to upper 70’s along the coast and across the north
Low:   Low to mid 60’s inland and along the coast, upper 50’s across the north
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:42am
Sunset: 8:23pm


Friday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low 80’s inland, mid 70’s along the coast
Low:   Mid to upper 60’s inland and along the coast, low 60’s across the north
UV Index:  8-9/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:42am
Sunset: 8:23pm
Last Qtr: 10:09pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Severe Weather Outlooks







Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  79°F
Monday
Wind:   S 5-10 knots
Seas:    1 foot or less increasing to 1-2 feet in the afternoon, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  2 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NW 5 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots becoming NW after midight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  NE 5 knots becoming SSE in the afternoon and evening
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  SSE 5 knots becoming E after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  79°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: N 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NE 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NNE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: N 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  67°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: N 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NNE 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: E 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  80°F
Monday
Wind:  S 9-12 knots increasing to 12-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  SSW 14-16 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  SSW 13 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SSW 11 knots becoming WSW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  WNW 6 knots becoming NE in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  Variable 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  N 6 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  NE 5 knots becoming SSE in the afternoon and evening
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  SSE 5 knots becoming E after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  72°F
Monday Morning
Winds: SW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: N 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: ENE 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  74°F-79°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  S 10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm decreasing to 1 nm or less in the afternoon
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  S 10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1 nm or less increasing to 1-3 nm after midnight
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm in the morning
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming NW aftermidnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
Wind:  N 5-10 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots becoming SE after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  72°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SSW 5 feet at 6 seconds
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SSW 5 feet at 6 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  S 6 feet at 6 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  S 6 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: NNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: N 3 to 5 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: NNW 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NE 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 7 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface




20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Pfishingruven]

The SPC Convective Weather Outlook is unchanged from yesterday. With hot and humid conditions, instability and the threat for strong to severe thunderstorms exists. However, cloud cover is limiting further instability right now. Storms will move in from the west/southwest today moving northeast. Storms should be multicellular  squall lines, although conditions do support supercells as well. Pop-up storms ahead of any lines are possible throughout the day also. Storms will begin later afternoon throughout the overnight. Rains will be heavy at times. Winds are the biggest threat, and with supercells the possibility of hail and isolated, brief tornadoes.

A Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watch is likely this afternoon. Be alert to changing weather conditions and any warnings issued.

Be safe!

[Pfishingruven]

The SPC has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 8 PM for ALL of NJ, including adjacent marine waters.

A Watch means conditions are favorable for severe weather. Be alert to changing conditions!



Severe Thunderstorm Watch #418

[Pfishingruven]

Severe Thunderstorm Watch canceled/allowed to expire at 8 PM for 7 Counties. Still in effect for 14 Counties until 9 PM, including: Hunterdon, Middlesex, Morris, Somerset, Mercer, Monmouth, Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester, Ocean & Salem Counties. Flood Advisories, Watches and Warnings have also been issued for various areas statewide!

NJ Advisories, Watches & Warnings

[Pfishingruven]

The severe weather potential for today has increased due to several conditions today including high temperatures and high dew points (very high humidity). The threat looks to be greater than yesterday! Yesterday saw widespread thunderstorms, many severe warned and even a tornado warning, as well as flash flooding. Today’s biggest threat is for heavy rains causing flash flooding and flooding conditions, dangerous lightning, damaging winds and even hail and tornadoes possible. Storms will be in squalls and clusters primarily with some other cells possible ahead of the line. This line will start in Central PA and move into the area from the west/southwest. Some areas of Northern NJ will see rain and thunderstorms early afternoon, however the main event won’t begin until late afternoon around 4 PM or 5 PM around the I95 Corridor and last into the overnight moving east. Coastal NJ may not see storms until evening hours, around 7 PM.

The NWS Philadelphia has issued a Special Weather Statement about this severe weather potential. Flash Flood Watches have been issued statewide. Severe Thunderstorm Watch(es) are probable this afternoon.

Have a plan! Either make it home before the storms or shelter in place where you are when they begin. With the strong possibility of roadway flooding and the inability to get through the waters, being in a vehicle during these storms will be very dangerous. Remember “Turn Around, Don’t Drown.” Straight line winds are known to peak well over a hundred miles per hour. This is equal to a moderate tornado (there is also a tornado threat still). Being in a vehicle in high winds is deadly; vehicles can be blown around, debris can strike a vehicle or objects could fall on a vehicle. Plan for power outages as well!

Be smart, be aware of changing conditions and have a way to receive Advisories, Watches and Warnings.

In addition to Severe Weather, water conditions will be Cautious late afternoon/evening with Small Craft Advisories and possibility for dense fog.

Facebook Message from NWS PHI

High impact damaging wind and or flash flood producing thunderstorms are likely to be more extensive than yesterday.

Have a safety plan in mind!

A special weather statement was issued at 930 am.
Timing wise (approximate)... the primary high impact line segments and clusters will occur in the Reading Pa area near 3 PM, the interstate 95 corridor (NJ/DE) around 5 or 7 PM and then coastal NJ and De around 7-9 PM.

Please be prepared to relay specific information regarding damaging wind/flash flooding/any hail size, rain amounts over 1 inch and eventual daily storm totals, time of, location and county to our FB page here.

There may be an isolated cluster or two of severe thunderstorms prior to what is outlined above .
Confidence for higher impact storms is above average!

This outlook is based on weather models we use, including the HRRR....the SPC WRF well and internal NWS collaboration.

Safety first on all your observations and plan for power outages this evening.

Thank you for planning ahead, for what might become a rather dangerous short fused situation for parts of our area.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
930 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

DEZ001-002-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012-015-PAZ054-
055-060>062-070-071-101>106-151530-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-
WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-CARBON-MONROE-
BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...ELKTON...
CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON...NEWTON...
WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING...
ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...
OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...KENNETT SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...
POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...
MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
930 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

...SWATHS OF HIGH IMPACT DAMAGING THUNDERSTORMS WITH FLASH FLOODING
EXPECTED LATER TODAY OR THIS EVENING...

THE PRIMARY LINES OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP IN NEAR
90 DEGREE HEAT OVER EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA BETWEEN 1 PM AND 3 PM AND
THEN MOVE INTO THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR BETWEEN 4 PM AND 8 PM.

THESE STORMS ARE LIKELY TO BE STRONGER THAN YESTERDAY WITH POTENTIAL
FOR MORE EXTENSIVE AND GREATER DAMAGE.

RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITHIN ONE HOUR WOULD PROMOTE POCKETS OF
RENEWED FLASH FLOODING IN URBANIZED AREAS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL
FOR MORE EXTENSIVE SMALL STREAM FLOODING THAN WHAT OCCURRED
YESTERDAY...ESPECIALLY IF STORMS REPEATEDLY ROLL THROUGH AN AREA
FOR 2 HOURS AND PRODUCE 4 TO 5 INCH AMOUNTS.

THOSE LIVING IN OR TRAVELING THROUGH EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND THE
INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR FROM NEW BRUNSWICK TO TRENTON...PHILADELPHIA
AND WILMINGTON INTO NORTHEAST MARYLAND SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR DANGEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS LATE TODAY. THESE STORMS WILL FORCE TRAVEL DELAYS IN
SOME AREAS AND POTENTIALLY CAUSE ROAD CLOSURES.

POWER OUTAGES CAUSED BY LIGHTNING AND TREE DAMAGE COULD BE EXTENSIVE.

THE RISK FOR STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH AFTER 10 PM.

HAVE YOUR SAFETY PLAN IN MIND WHEN WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.


$$

DEZ003-004-NJZ013-014-016>027-151530-
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...
CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...
HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST
930 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

...DAMAGING THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEW
JERSEY AND SOUTHERN DELAWARE...

AFTER A RATHER HOT DAY...A COLD FRONT WILL SEND THE PRIMARY LINES
OF POTENTIALLY SEVERE OR FLASH FLOOD PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS INTO
COASTAL NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN DELAWARE BETWEEN 5 PM AND 10 PM.

THESE STORMS ARE LIKELY TO BE STRONGER THAN YESTERDAY WITH POTENTIAL
FOR MORE EXTENSIVE AND GREATER DAMAGE.

BE PREPARED FOR SLOWER OR ALTERED TRAVEL DUE TO EXCESSIVE RAIN...DAMAGING
WIND AND LIGHTNING STRIKES.

MONMOUTH COUNTY AND FAR NORTHEAST OCEAN COUNTY NEW JERSEY ARE PARTICULARLY
VULNERABLE TO FLASH FLOODING WHERE MORE THAN 3 INCHES OF RAIN FELL LATE
YESTERDAY.

POCKETS OF WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT.

HAVE YOUR SAFETY PLAN IN MIND WHEN WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

$$

DRAG

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
337 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

DEZ002>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ014-020>027-152100-
/O.EXB.KPHI.FF.A.0007.140715T1000Z-140716T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON...SANDY HOOK...
JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...
OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...LONG BEACH ISLAND...
WHARTON STATE FOREST
337 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
  MARYLAND AND NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN
  DELAWARE...DELAWARE BEACHES...INLAND SUSSEX AND KENT. IN
  NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CAROLINE...KENT MD...QUEEN ANNES AND
  TALBOT. IN NEW JERSEY...ATLANTIC...ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY...
   CAPE MAY...COASTAL ATLANTIC...COASTAL OCEAN...CUMBERLAND...
  EASTERN MONMOUTH...OCEAN AND SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON.

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN TO OUR
  REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE
  INCHES OR MORE MAY FALL IN A BRIEF PERIOD OF TIME RESULTING IN
  FLASH FLOODING. ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE.

* FLOODING OF ROADWAYS AND AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE IS POSSIBLE.
  QUICK RISES ON STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY RESULT FROM THE HEAVY
  RAIN. IF YOU LIVE IN A FLOOD PRONE AREA BE SURE TO PAY SPECIAL
  ATTENTION TO THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS VERY DANGEROUS.

BE SURE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE
ACTION IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR LOCATION.

&&

$$

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
337 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015>019-PAZ054-055-060>062-
070-071-101>106-152100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-140716T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...NEWTON...
WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...
CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...JIM THORPE...
STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON...MEDIA...
PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...
KENNETT SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...
LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
337 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...NEW
  JERSEY AND PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN
  NORTHERN DELAWARE...NEW CASTLE. IN NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CECIL.
  IN NEW JERSEY...CAMDEN...GLOUCESTER...HUNTERDON...MERCER...
  MIDDLESEX...MORRIS...NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON...SALEM...
  SOMERSET...SUSSEX...WARREN AND WESTERN MONMOUTH. IN
  PENNSYLVANIA...BERKS...CARBON...DELAWARE...EASTERN CHESTER...
  EASTERN MONTGOMERY...LEHIGH...LOWER BUCKS...MONROE...
  NORTHAMPTON...PHILADELPHIA...UPPER BUCKS...WESTERN CHESTER AND
  WESTERN MONTGOMERY.

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN TO OUR
  REGION AGAIN TODAY AND TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE
  INCHES MAY FALL IN A BRIEF PERIOD OF TIME RESULTING IN FLASH
  FLOODING. ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE.

* FLOODING OF ROADWAYS AND AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE IS POSSIBLE.
  QUICK RISES ON STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY RESULT FROM THE HEAVY
  RAIN. IF YOU LIVE IN A FLOOD PRONE AREA BE SURE TO PAY SPECIAL
  ATTENTION TO THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

* THE FLASH FLOOD RISK WILL DECREASE FROM WEST TO EAST AS TONIGHT
  PROGRESSES. THE CHANCES WILL LAST THE LONGEST IN DELAWARE AND NEW
  JERSEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS VERY DANGEROUS.

BE SURE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE
ACTION IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR LOCATION.

&&

$$

BE SAFE!!

[Pfishingruven]

Storms already firing ahead of the anticipated line. Some cells along Coastal Monmouth County and then Western Monmouth/Middlesex Counties and Somerset Counties. There are just strong storms right now...nothing severe, yet!

[Pfishingruven]

The SPC has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for ALL NJ Counties including adjacent marine waters until 9 PM.



Severe Thunderstorm Watch #423