Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Sept 6-7, 2014  (Read 1377 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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A not so great weekend all around, but not a washout either. Saturday will have more clouds than sun with chances of shower and thunderstorms. Some storms could be strong to severe with heavy rains, dangerous lightning, and damaging winds. Saturday will be hot and humid with highs in the upper 80’s maybe even low 90’s with high humidity and heat indices in the mid 90’s. Overnight lows on Saturday will be in the upper 60’s and 70’s. Sunday will have continued chances of showers and thunderstorms, however lower than Saturday with a mix of sun and clouds. Highs will be in the 70’s and low 80’s with drier and moderately humid air, less than Saturday. Overnight lows on Sunday will be in the 50’s and 60’s. Water conditions will be mainly borderline to cautious with some slots of good conditions, mainly early on Saturday and late on Sunday. Southwesterly flow on Saturday will switch to a northeasterly flow on Sunday. Winds in general will be gusty to borderline SCA on Saturday Night and Sunday Morning, with seas building, more so, midshore to offshore. Thunderstorms also need to be considered Saturday and even possibly on Sunday, which could increase poor water conditions. Surf and beach conditions are good to ok, with moderate to gusty winds, some rougher surf and wave heights averaging 1-3 feet. Rip Current Risk will be Low to Moderate. Take into consideration the possibility of thunderstorms as well and be aware of changing weather conditions. UV Index will still be High to Very High at 7-8/15.

A cold front located over the Great Lakes will move through the region on Saturday Evening, stalling offshore through midweek. High pressure builds in from the Northwest during the midweek. Low pressure may develop offshore along the stalled front on Tuesday and Wednesday and move northeast. Another cold front may move through the region on Friday.

Next week looks wet with chances of rain and thunderstorms all week. Chances are low right now, but the possibility of rain is there. High temperatures will only be in the 70’s to 80’s with lows in the 60’s. Water conditions will be mixed next week based on day and location. Southern and Midshore to Offshore waters will have predominantly borderline to cautious conditions all week, while rivers, bays and Central and Northern Inshore Ocean waters will have good to some borderline conditions. Surf and beach conditions look good for North and Central beaches look good, while Southern beaches could have gustier winds and rougher surf.

Invest 90L near the Cape Verde Islands is being watched. Models bring it north of the Antilles up near the East Coast. It is too early to make any forecasts on this.
September is National Disaster Preparedness and Awareness Month. It is just basically a reminder to double check your plans and supplies for any possible natural disasters that could affect you. Time Magazine also released the Top Most Dangerous Counties in the US, with Ocean County #1 for most dangerous for natural disasters.

Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!

Saturday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  60%-70% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:  Mid to upper 80’s, even low 90’s (humid)
Low:  Mid 60’s inland, mid to upper 60’s along the coast, upper 50’s across the north
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 6:28am
Sunset: 7:21pm


Sunday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-40% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:  Mid to upper 70’s
Low:  Upper 50’s to low 60’s inland, mid to upper 60’s along the coast
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 6:29am
Sunset: 7:20pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



Saturday Severe Weather




Atlantic Tropics





Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  76°F
Saturday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming N 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  76°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: NNE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  70°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:   S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: NNE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  81°F
Saturday
Wind:  SW 6-9 knots increasing to 9-12 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  WSW 10 knots becoming NNW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind:  NNE 9-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  E 7-9 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  78°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: WSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Sunday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  79°F-83°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the morning
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-3 feet

Sunday
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  75°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  SSW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNE 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SSW 4 feet at 6 seconds

Sunday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SSW 3 feet at 5 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperatures 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)








Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!



*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


Offline Hotrod

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Sept 6-7, 2014
« Reply #1 on: September 05, 2014, 06:57:56 PM »
Great Job Matt!!




 

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