Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Feb 2-6, 2015  (Read 2782 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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As Monday is winding down with a wintry precipitation mess across the state, some areas saw upwards of a foot of snow and others only rain. Precipitation has widely ended and skies should begin to clear. Temperatures have dropped from the 50’s in places to the teens and 20’s. This is causing icing of surfaces. Temperatures will not get above freezing for most tomorrow, so roads and surfaces could be ice covered in the morning and for much of the day. Winds have also increased, with Wind Advisories with gusts to 45 knots. By Tuesday Morning, this system will have cleared and there will be a mix of sun and clouds, however cold with highs only to the upper 20’s at most. Overnight lows will be in the teens and 20’s. Wednesday will bring some chances of snow showers and lower accumulations. Highs will be in the 30’s and 40’s with overnight lows in the teens and 20’s. Thursday will also bring chances of snow showers with highs in the 20’s and 30’s and lows very cold in the negatives to teens at best. Friday will have a mix of sun and clouds with highs in the 20’s and 30’s and lows in the single digits to teens. Water conditions are hazardous tonight with Gale Warnings. Tuesday will start out cautious with Small Craft Advisories improving to borderline. Wednesday and Thursday look to be cautious again with Small Craft Advisories and Friday borderline to good. Surf and beach conditions will range from hazardous to cautious and then ok to good by the end of the week. Water temperatures are steady in the 30’s and 40’s. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 0-3/15.

Intensifying low pressure south of Nantucket will move off quickly to Nova Scotia late Monday Night. High pressure will then build just south of the area from Tuesday into Wednesday. Low pressure over the Eastern Great Lakes on Wednesday will advance to northern New England late Wednesday Night, sending a strong cold front across the area. High pressure will influence the region for the end of the week, followed by the next cold front settling south through the area Sunday. The next area of large low pressure to monitor should be forming along the Mid-Atlantic Coast next Sunday Night and Monday.

The weekend looks 50%-50% again. Saturday looks clear, highs in the 30’s and lows in the teens and 20’s. Sunday looks like chances of some snow from a potential coastal low. Highs will also be in the 30’s with lows in the teens and 20’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will look cautious to hazardous again with Small Craft Advisories.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:  Cloudy
Precipitation:  Snow/Mix/Rain/Ice
Temperatures
High:    
Low:   Low to mid teens inland, mid to upper teens to low 30’s along the coast, mid single digits northern areas
UV Index:  0-1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:04am
Sunset: 5:15pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low 20’s to low 30’s
Low:   Low 20’s inland, mid 20’s along the coast, low teens northern areas
UV Index:  2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:03am
Sunset: 5:17pm
Full Moon: 6:10pm


Wednesday
Sky:   Mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-30% chance of snow showers all day
Temperatures
High:    Mid 30’s to mid 40’s
Low:   Mid 20’s inland, upper 20’s to low 30’salong the coast, upper teens northern areas
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:02am
Sunset: 5:18pm


Thursday
Sky:   Partly sunny to cloudy
Precipitation:  30% chance of snow showers during the day, 0%-slight at night
Temperatures
High:   mid 20’s to mid 30’s
Low:   mid single digits to low teens inland, mid to upper teens along the coast, upper negatives northern areas
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:01am
Sunset: 5:19pm


Friday
Sky:   Mostly sunny  becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper teens to upper 20’s
Low:   Low to mid teens inland, low to mid 20’s along the coast, mid single digits northern areas
UV Index:  2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:00am
Sunset: 5:20pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  35°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  4-10 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 20-25 knots diminishing to 15-20 knots after midnight with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm, Freezing Spray
Surf (Ocean):  4-9 feet

Tuesday
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  4-10 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming SW 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  4-10 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Wednesday Night
Wind:  SW 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots increasing to 15-20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots becoming N 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Friday
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                          



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  35°F
Monday Night
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
Winds: NW 15-20 knots increasing to 25-30 knots with gusts to 35 knots, then diminishing to 20-25 knots
Seas:  4-7 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm, Freezing spray
Surf:  4-6 feet

Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: W 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet

Wednesday Morning
Winds: SW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Friday Morning
Winds: NNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  40°F
Monday Night
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
Winds: NW 25-30 knots diminishing to 20-25 knots late with gusts to 45 knots
Seas:  SE 5-8 feet at 11 seconds, Freezing spray
Surf:  4-6 feet

Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet

Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  N 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Friday Morning
Winds: NW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  NE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  32°F
Monday Night
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
Wind:  NW 23-26 knots decreasing to 19-22 knots after midnight with gusts to 40 knots
Seas:  3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Tuesday
Wind:  NW 10-13 knots becoming W in the afternoon with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:  W 6-8 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SSW 9-12 knots increasing to 13-16 knots with gusts to 22 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Wednesday Night
Wind:  SSW 9-12 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NNW 12-15 knots increasing to 17-20 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 28 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NNW 14-19 knots with gusts to 27 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Friday
Wind:  NNW 10-14 knots becoming WNW in the afternoon with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 9 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  39°F
Monday Night
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
Winds: NW 25-30 knots with gusts to 45 knots diminishing to 20-25 knots with gusts to 35 knots late
Seas:  S 5-8 feet at 11 seconds, Freezing spray
Surf:  4-7 feet

Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 17 to 22 knots
Seas:  NNW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet

Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SSW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  SSW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  NW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  N 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Friday Morning
Winds: NNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: W 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ENE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-5 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  34°F-36°F
Monday Night
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
Wind:  NW 25-30 knots with gusts to 45 knots diminishing to 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  4-6 feet, subsiding to 2-4 feet after midnight, Freezing spray
Surf:  3-5 feet

Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots becoming W 5-10 knots late
Seas:  2-3 feet, Light freezing spray
Surf:  1-2 feet

Tuesday Night
Wind:  S 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Light freezing spray
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:   2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds:  NW 15-20 knots increasing t 20-25 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-4 feet, Visibility 1 nm or less increasing to 1-3 nm in the afternoon
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  N 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet, Light freezing spray
Surf:  1-3 feet

Friday
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots becoming W 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Light freezing spray
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Light freezing spray
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  44°F
Monday Night
HAZARDOUS
GALE WARNING
Winds: NW 35-45 knots becoming N to NE 40-55 knots
Seas:  7-13 feet building to 10-17 feet, Light freezing spray

Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  S 7 feet at 10 seconds

Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 10 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SSW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 23 to 31 knots
Seas:  SW 6 feet at 5 seconds

Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  SSW 5 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 20 to 28 knots
Seas:  NNW 6 feet at 5 seconds

Friday Morning
Winds: NNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  NNE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  NE 3 feet at 5 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 





Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
« Last Edit: February 02, 2015, 09:43:32 PM by Pfishingruven »


Offline Hunter 2

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Feb 2-6, 2015
« Reply #1 on: February 03, 2015, 08:33:23 AM »
 t^
Eddie "Hunter 2"
36' Topaz "Hallie Loren"    Charter boat sailing from Wagners Marina, Keyport NJ


 Life is short, Fish Hard.


Offline IrishAyes

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Feb 2-6, 2015
« Reply #2 on: February 03, 2015, 05:25:34 PM »
I'm still waiting for a 'weather will be good' post.  rgmn rgmn rgmn ;D
Captain Joe of the Irish Ayes

May the holes in your net be no larger than the fish in it.  ~Irish Blessing

Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Feb 2-6, 2015
« Reply #3 on: February 03, 2015, 05:26:33 PM »
I'm still waiting for a 'weather will be good' post.  rgmn rgmn rgmn ;D

Me too ;D


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: More Snow Wednesday Night - Thursday
« Reply #4 on: February 04, 2015, 10:17:03 AM »
Some more nuisance snow is expected Wednesday Night into Thursday. Anywhere from just showers with no accumulation (even mix or rain) for Southern NJ to 1-2 inches of accumulation for Northern/Northwestern NJ are possible. Most areas will see accumulations of less than an inch. This will affect the morning commute, so roads could be slick and messy in the morning.

Still watching the potential for a more substantial snow Sunday through Tuesday? More to come...

Be safe!









 

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