Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: May 11-15, 2015  (Read 2069 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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A good week for weather, with some summer-like temperatures and humidity, but a rough first half of the week for water conditions. Monday and Tuesday will have more clouds than sun with fog in the evenings and mornings. Chances of showers and/or thunderstorms are possible on Monday, Monday Night and Tuesday Day before clearing up on Tuesday. Wednesday, Thursday and Friday Day will be clear with more sun than clouds before chances of showers move in for Friday Night. Highs for Monday and Tuesday will be in the 70’s and 80’s, with upper 80’s on Tuesday and higher humidities, making it feel warmer and stickier than to date. Monday and Tuesday will also see overnight lows only in the 50’s and 60’s. By Wednesday highs will be in the 60’s and 70’s with overnight lows in the 40’s and 50’s again. Tuesday will be the warmest day and Thursday the coolest. Fog will continue through Tuesday. Water conditions will be cautious for Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday, borderline to good on Thursday, and good on Friday. Monday and Tuesday will be mainly due to dense fog becoming patchy before clearing in the mornings and evenings. Visibilities will be limited to less than 1 nm at times, however in between fog conditions will be borderline with winds pushing the 20-25 knots at times in some locations. Wednesday will be cautious due to gustier winds and high seas from the tropical system moving out to sea. Thursday will be good to borderline, as seas recover from the system moving away and by Friday all waters should be back to normal and good. Surf conditions will echo water conditions with fog in the mornings and evenings on Monday and Tuesday. Surf could be rough and higher at times anywhere to 3-5 feet or so, through Wednesday. Conditions will be cautious with fog, but overall ok to good. Keep in mind rougher surf with rip currents are possible. Thursday and Friday will have some leftover 2-4 foot wave heights becoming 1-3 feet with good surf conditions. Water temperatures are steadily increasing in the 50’s and 60’s now. Inshore waters have jumped up to the upper 50’s to mid 60’s in some places. UV Index will be Moderate to Very High at 4-9/15.

High pressure located over the Western Atlantic will gradually lose its influence over the area on Sunday Night and Monday. The remnants of Ana will track off the coast on Monday Night into Tuesday. A cold front will approach from the Northwest on Tuesday and move through the area Tuesday Evening. Canadian High pressure then builds into the region for the end of the week. The center of the high will shift offshore for the weekend.
Tropical Storm Ana made landfall on the Carolinas over the weekend after transitioning from a subtropical system to a tropical system and has been downgraded to a tropical depression. The tropical depression will pass off the coast Monday Night into Tuesday morning and will leave some gustier winds and high seas through Wednesday. Water conditions will be the only effects and these will be minor, except for midshore to offshore, which could see some high seas to 12 feet or so. Otherwise, a stray band of rain/thunderstorms is possible, but nothing that will be noticeable and identifiable as a tropical weather system.

Next weekend will have chances of showers on Saturday clearing out for Saturday Night and Sunday. Highs will be in the lower 70’s with overnight lows in the 50’s. Water, surf and beach conditions look to start off good on Saturday, then winds could increase to borderline or cautious conditions in the afternoon and then back to borderline to good for Sunday.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Cloudy, Fog early
Precipitation:  30%-50% showers and/or thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:    Upper 70’s to low 80’s inland, low 70’s at the shore/on the water
Low:   Low to mid 60’s
UV Index:  9/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:46am
Sunset: 8:00pm
Last Qtr: 6:37am


Tuesday
Sky:  Cloudy with decreasing clouds becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-20% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms during the day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 80’s inland, low 80’s at the shore/on the water
Low:   Upper 50’s to low 60’s with low 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  8-9/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:45am
Sunset: 8:01pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Partly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear, Windy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s with low 40’s across northern areas
UV Index:  4-7/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 5:44am
Sunset: 8:02pm


Thursday
Sky:   Sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s inland, low 60’s at the shore/on the water
Low:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s with low 40’s across northern areas
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:43am
Sunset: 8:03pm


Friday
Sky:   Mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance during the day, 30% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Low to mid 50’s
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:42am
Sunset: 8:03pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday

7

Sunday, Monday & Tuesday Severe Weather Risks





Tropical Depression Ana




Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  60°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Fog
Low Visibility
Wind:  S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet in the afternoon, Fog, Visibility 1 nm or less increasing to 1-3 nm in the afternoon
Surf (Ocean):   2-4 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Fog
Low Visibility
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet in the evening, then 1 foot or less, Fog, Visibility 1-3 nm decreasing to 1 nm or less after midnight
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Fog
Low Visibility
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots becoming W 15-20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet, Fog, Visibility 1 nm or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 15-20 knots becoming NW 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet subsiding to 1-2 feet after midnight
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet subsiding to 1-2 feet after midnight
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet

Thursday
Wind:  N 10 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  W 10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:   NW 5 knots becoming SW
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                          



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  60°F
Monday Morning
Winds: SSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: S 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Thursday Morning
Winds: NNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: WSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  56°F
Monday Morning
Winds: SSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: S 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Thursday Morning
Winds: NNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  NNE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 2 to 2 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  57°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Fog
Wind:  S 8-11 knots increasing to 11-14 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Fog
Surf:  1 foot
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Fog
Wind:  SSW 10-13 knots decreasing to 5-8 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less, Fog
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 6-9 knots increasing to 10-13 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 15 knots becoming WNW after midnight with gusts to 23 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  WNW 15 knots with gusts to 24 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NNW 11-13 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Thursday
Wind:  N 5-10 knots becoming NE in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  NW 5 knots becoming SW
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  62°F
Monday Morning
Winds: S 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  WNW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  WNW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Thursday Morning
Winds: N 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  NE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 2 to 2 knots
Seas:  NE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: WSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: S 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  60°F-66°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Fog
Low Visibility
Wind:  SE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Fog, Visibility 1 nm or less
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Fog
Low Visibility
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming SW 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet, Fog, Visibility 1-3 nm decreasing to 1 nm or less
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Fog
Low Visibility
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet, Fog , Visibility 1 nm or less increasing to 1-3 nm in the afternoon
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 10-15 knots becoming NW 15-20 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet

Thursday
Winds: N 10-15 knots becoming NE 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Winds: NE 5-10 knots becoming S
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot or less
Friday Night
Wind:  WSW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot or less

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  52°F
Monday Morning
Winds: SSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 8 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WSW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  S 7 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 7 seconds

Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  NNW 4 feet at 5 seconds

Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  N 2 feet at 4 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: W 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 





Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
« Last Edit: May 10, 2015, 10:15:55 PM by Pfishingruven »


Offline fluke - u

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