Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: May 18-22, 2015  (Read 1275 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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A chance of showers and thunderstorms to start the week before clearing out and mostly good water conditions, all but a couple of days for most waters. Monday and Tuesday will have chances of scattered to widely scattered showers and/or thunderstorms. Tuesday’s storms could be severe for some places and more to follow on Tuesday for these specifics. Wednesday, Thursday and Friday look to be dry with a mic of sun and clouds. Highs will be in the 60’s and 70’s with overnight lows in the 40’s, 50’s and 60’s. Humidity will be low to moderate, lower than this weekend, with more Spring-like weather. Water conditions will be a mix this week, however mostly good conditions for inshore waters. Monday will start off cautious due to fog early in the morning, then progress to borderline to good conditions for the rest of the day before becoming cautious again due to fog by evening/night hours. Tuesday all inshore waters look good with the exception of showers and thunderstorms. Midshore to offshore waters will be borderline during the day and cautious at night. Wednesday will be a borderline to cautious for all waters except intercoastal waterways/bays. Thursday and Friday will see a return of good water conditions for all inshore waters. Midshore to offshore waters will be mainly cautious both days. Surf and beach conditions will be good most of the week. Monday early and late will see patchy fog and some wave heights 2-4 feet. Wednesday could see gusty winds as well. The rest of the week will be good, with 1-3 foot and some 2-4 foot wave heights. Water temperatures are rising slowly with waters in the 50’s and 60’s. UV Index will be Moderate to Very High at 3-8/15.

Next weekend looks dry with a mix of sun and clouds. Highs will be in the 70’s inland and 60’s at the shore with overnight lows in the 50’s. Water, surf and beach conditions on Saturday will be borderline to cautious with winds 20+ knots and seas to 6 feet. By Saturday Night, winds will diminish and seas settle for Sunday with good to borderline conditions.

Have a great week and thanks for reading! This week is Boating Safety Week from the National Weather Service Philadelphia. No reminders needed here, but anyone interested in their daily posts, check out this year’s boating safety thread and scroll down to the newest posts NJWSF Boating Safety Week Thread.

Monday
Sky:   Mostly cloudy to cloudy, Patchy fog early
Precipitation:  20%-50% showers and/or thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:    Upper 60’s to mid 70’s inland, low to mid 60’s at the shore/on the water
Low:   Upper 50’s to low 60’s
UV Index:  3-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 5:39am
Sunset: 8:06pm
New Moon: 12:14am


Tuesday
Sky:  Cloudy with decreasing clouds becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-70% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms all day (some storms could be severe)
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s to mid 70’s
Low:   Upper 50’s to low 60’s with low 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  3-5/15 (Moderate-HIgh)
Sunrise: 5:38am
Sunset: 8:07pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid 60’s to mid 70’s
Low:   Low to mid 50’s with mid 40’s across northern areas
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:37am
Sunset: 8:08pm


Thursday
Sky:   Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Low to mid 50’s with mid 40’s across northern areas
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:37am
Sunset: 8:09pm


Friday
Sky:   Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 70’s inland, mid to upper 60’s at the shore/on the water
Low:   Low to mid 50’s with mid 40’s across northern areas
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:36am
Sunset: 8:10pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Sunday, Monday & Tuesday Severe Weather Risks






Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  62°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Fog
Wind:  E 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Patchy fog, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):   2-4 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Fog
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Patchy fog, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Tuesday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SW 10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Thursday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  62°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Fog
Winds: E 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Fog
Winds: E 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Tuesday Morning
Winds: S 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 14 to 20 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  W 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: SW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  63°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Fog
Winds: ESE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Fog
Winds: E 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Tuesday Morning
Winds: SSE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: W 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  E 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: WSW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  E 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: W 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  E 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  63°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Fog
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming E 7-12 knots in the morning
Seas:  1 foot or less, Patchy fog
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Fog
Wind:  ESE 6-9 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Patchy fog
Surf:  0-1 feet

Tuesday
Wind:  SSE 6-11 knots becoming SSW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SSW 8-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  WNW 8-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  N 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NNW 5-7 knots becoming SSW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  SSW 5-7 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  60°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Fog
Winds: ENE 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Fog
Winds: E 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Tuesday Morning
Winds: SSE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: N 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: WNW 6 to 7 knots
Seas:  E 1 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: W 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  E 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  64°F-66°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Fog
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming N late in the morning, then E in the afternoon
Seas:  2-3 feet, Patchy fog
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Fog
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Patchy fog
Surf:  1-2 feet

Tuesday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  N 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Thursday
Winds: N 5-10 knots becoming W
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday Night
Winds: W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots becoming W in the afternoon and evening
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot or less
Friday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot or less

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  56°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Fog
Winds: E 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 9 seconds
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Fog
Winds: ENE 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SSE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 8 seconds

Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 8 seconds

Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: W 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: SSW 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 10 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 10 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 





Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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