NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: June 1-5, 2015

[Pfishingruven]

A very mixed week for weather and higher winds causing higher seas on the water. Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday and Friday Night will have chances of rain, showers and/or thunderstorms. Monday, Wednesday and Friday Night are more scattered in nature, however storms could be strong to even severe. Tuesday will be a more widely scattered to widespread rain and thunderstorm event. Thursday looks dry right now. Highs will start in the 70’s and 80’s before dropping back into the 60’s and 70’s. Humidity will be moderate to high, decreasing to more moderate at times later in the week. Overnight lows will range from the 50’s to the 60’s. Heavy rains from storms, could cause localized flooding and flash flooding, as has been seen in several areas last week and this weekend. Water conditions are all over the place and will vary by day, time and location. Overall, winds will be gusty 20-25 knots at times with seas 3-5 feet. There will be pockets of good conditions with less winds and lower seas and areas that may not see the gusts, but rather a steady 10-15 knots instead. However, the possibility of higher seas is possible most of the week. This is definitely a week to check conditions daily, from several sources and try and look at real time conditions via webcams, buoys, and/or live reports. As well, these conditions will not affect all boats and captains alike, so following up individually will make sense as well. Surf conditions will be ok to good. Gusty winds and rougher and higher surf are possible all week up to 3-5 feet. A Moderate Risk of Rip Currents is likely becoming Low as well. Conditions will not be unifishable, just not ideal and being aware of higher waves and rip currents will be important for safety. Water temperatures have warmed some into the upper 50’s and 60’s…some low 70’s in shallower waters. UV Index will range from Low to Very High this week.

A cold front has settled south across Northern Pennsylvania and Northern NJ late Sunday with areas of low pressure in Southern Pennsylvania and Eastern Ohio. This cold front and areas of low pressure will slowly move southeastward through the remainder of the forecast area Monday and Tuesday. High pressure will build southeastward behind for the middle and end of next week. This high will be followed by another cold front moving southeast into the region for next weekend.

Saturday and Sunday will have chances of showers and thunderstorms with temperatures and humidity increasing. Highs will be in the 70’s and 80’s with overnight lows in the 60’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be cautious late Saturday into Sunday with conditions deteriorating throughout Saturday. Right now, winds could gust to 30 knots with seas to 10 feet.

Atlantic Tropical Weather, AKA Hurricane Season 2015 begins Monday and runs through the end of November. Everyone, regardless of location, should be aware of tropical weather risks and have a plan to put into action if needed. Right now, there is nothing in the Atlantic, but that can change at any time. Remember, it only takes 1!

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Cloudy
Precipitation:  50%-80% rain, showers and/or thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:    Upper 60’s to mid 70’s
Low:   Upper 50’s to upper 60’s
UV Index:  1-7/15 (Low-High)
Sunrise: 5:30am
Sunset: 8:18pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Cloudy becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  60%-80% chance rain, showers and/or thunderstorms during the day, 0%-60% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Upper 50’s to low 60’s
UV Index:  4-7/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 5:30am
Sunset: 8:19pm
Full Moon: 12:20pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-20% chance of showers during the day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:   Mid 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Low 50’s to low 60’s
UV Index:  4-8/15 (Moderate-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:29am
Sunset: 8:19pm


Thursday
Sky:   Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid 60’s to low 70’s
Low:   Low 50’s to low 60’s
UV Index:  3-6/15 (Moderate-High)
Sunrise: 5:29am
Sunset: 8:20pm


Friday
Sky:   Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance during the day, 30% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 70’s inland, mid 60’s to low 70’s at the shore/on the water
Low:   Upper 50’s to mid 60’s
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:29am
Sunset: 8:21pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Monday & Tuesday Severe Weather Risks





Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  67°F
Monday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots becoming NE 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):   3-5 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  NE 10 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots diminishing to 5 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:   E 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  S 5 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  67°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: E 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:   3-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ESE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WNW 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: ENE 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: E 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: ENE 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  62°F
Monday Morning
Winds: ESE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: W 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: ENE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: E 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: E 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: E 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: N 2 to 2 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: S 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  65°F
Monday
Wind:  S 10-12 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  SSE 5-9 knots becoming S after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  SW 6-10 knots becoming NNE in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  NE 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  NE 12 knots becoming E in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  ENE 5-7 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  E 8-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  ESE 5-7 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  E 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  S 5 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  66°F
Monday Morning
Winds: SSW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: S 14 to 20 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: E 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: E 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: SW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: S 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  67°F-77°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots in the late evening/night
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  S 5 knots becoming N early in the afternoon, then becoming NE 10-15 knots late
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 15-20 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 10-15 knots
Seas:   2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday
Winds: E 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Winds: E 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots diminishing to 5 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  62°F
Monday Morning
Winds: SE 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SE 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: N 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: ENE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: E 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: E 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: SW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface




20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[fellinger]

Thanks. I wish you had better news! Get it all cleared up before the Warriors for Warriors mako tournament on the 13th.