A chance of showers and thunderstorms to start and end the week with the return of warmer temperatures with water conditions that echo the cautious start to the week. Monday and Tuesday will have chance of rain, showers and thunderstorms with the bulk of storms coming on Monday Night. During the day on Monday and Tuesday, storms will be more scattered to widely scattered. Monday Night will have more widespread and organized activity. Both days could see strong to severe storms capable of heavy, flooding rains, dangerous lightning, damaging winds, even hail and tornadoes. Daily updates will follow for these threats. By Wednesday and for Thursday, conditions should be dry. Friday Day could see some scattered showers and thunderstorms again, carrying over into the weekend. Warmer and moist air returns for the week with highs in the 70’s and 80’s with overnight lows back into the 60’s with maybe some upper 50’s across northern areas. Humidity will be moderate to high. Water conditions will be cautious on Monday and Tuesday with gusty winds and high seas. Some back bays and rivers will be good for Tuesday and the Raritan will be borderline on Tuesday, otherwise, winds could reach 25 knots and seas to 5+ feet. By Wednesday conditions will improve for all locations except midshore to offshore. Thursday could see good to borderline conditions for seas and even some wind and Friday will see an improvement in conditions, again. Midshore to offshore will be cautious to borderline all week. Surf and beach conditions will be ok to good, minus some gusty winds on Monday and Tuesday. Surf could be rougher and higher around 3-5 feet at times with Moderate Risks of Rip Currents. Otherwise, with a mostly predominant westerly wind, it should keep the surf in check compared to seas. Water temperatures are steady in the 50’s to 70’s. UV Index will be Moderate to Very High at 4-8/15.
High pressure will move offshore through Monday. A cold front will move through the region on Tuesday. A high pressure system will move across to the south of the area on Wednesday through Thursday. A weak cold front will approach the area on Friday and slowly push southward through the area into Sunday. High pressure returns for the start of next week.
Saturday and Sunday will have chances of showers and thunderstorms again due to higher temperatures and higher humidity. Currently, these looked to be scattered chances both days. Highs will continue in the 70’s and 80’s with overnight lows in the 60’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be good to start Saturday, however they look to deteriorate throughout the day becoming borderline by later in the day and then cautious on Sunday with winds over 20 knots and seas up over 4 feet again.
Atlantic Tropics are uneventful.
Have a great week and thanks for reading!
MondaySky: Partly to mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-60% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms during the day, 50%-70% chance of rain and thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High: Upper 70’s to mid 80’s
Low: Mid to upper 60’s
UV Index: 8/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:28am
Sunset: 8:23pm
TuesdaySky: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 30%-50% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High: Upper 70’s to mid 80’s
Low: Upper 50’s to mid 60’s
UV Index: 4-8/15 (Moderate-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:28am
Sunset: 8:23pm
Last Qtr: 11:43am
WednesdaySky: Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Low to mid 80’s inland, mid to upper 70’s at the shore/on the water
Low: Low to upper 60’s
UV Index: 6-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:27am
Sunset: 8:24pm
ThursdaySky: Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High: Upper 70’s to upper 80’s
Low: Low to upper 60’s
UV Index: 8/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:27am
Sunset: 8:24pm
FridaySky: Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly cloudy
Precipitation: 0%-30% chance of showers and/or thunderstorms during the day (mainly northern areas)
Temperatures
High: Upper 80’s inland, upper 70’s to low 80’s at the shore/on the water
Low: Mid to upper 60’s
UV Index: 7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:27am
Sunset: 8:25pm
Monday Surface Analysis
Tuesday Surface Analysis
Wednesday Surface Analysis
Thursday Surface Analysis
Friday Surface
Total Precipitation Monday - Friday
Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday
Monday & Tuesday Severe Weather Risks
Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) ForecastsRaritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy HookWater Temperature: 64°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: S 10-15 knots increasing to 15-20 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1-2 feet building to 2-3 feet in the afternoon
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: S 15-20 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feetTuesdayWind: SW 10-15 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
Tuesday NightWind: SW 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas: 1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less in the evening
Surf (Ocean): 2-4 feet
WednesdayWind: W 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Wednesday NightWind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
ThursdayWind: SW 5-10 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Thursday NightWind: SW 5-10 knots diminishing to 5 knots after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
FridayWind: W 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon, then increasing to 5-10 knots in the evening
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Friday NightWind: S 5-10 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Sandy Hook Tides (Bay) Sandy Hook Tides 
Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NYWater Temperature: 64°F
Monday MorningWinds: SSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 18 to 24 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: S 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 15 to 21 knots
Seas: S 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feetWednesday MorningWinds: WNW 8 to 10 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: SSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday MorningWinds: SW 11 to 14 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday AfternoonWinds: SSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday MorningWinds: NE 5 to 6 knots
Seas: S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday AfternoonWinds: S 6 to 8 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Coney Island, NY Tides Coney Island Tides
Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat InletWater Temperature: 59°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 19 to 25 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 17 to 23 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 16 to 22 knots
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feetWednesday MorningWinds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: SSW 8 to 10 knots
Seas: SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday MorningWinds: SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday AfternoonWinds: SW 12 to 17 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday MorningWinds: ENE 8 to 10 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday AfternoonWinds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Manasquan Inlet Tides Manasquan Inlet TidesBarnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)Water Temperature: 58°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: SSW 12-17 knots with gusts to 23 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind: SSW 16 knots with gusts to 22 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feetTuesdayWind: SSW 11-13 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Tuesday NightWind: SW 5-9 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
WednesdayWind: Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming S 5-7 knots in the afternoon
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Wednesday NightWind: SSW 6-9 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
ThursdayWind: SSW 7-12 knots
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Thursday NightWind: SSW 5-9 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
FridayWind: W 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon, then increasing to 5-10 knots in the evening
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Friday NightWind: S 5-10 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas: 1 foot or less
Surf: 0-1 feet
Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) TidesBarnegat Bay Tides
Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)Water Temperature: 63°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISCORY
Winds: SSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISCORY
Winds: SSW 19 to 25 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISCORY
Winds: SW 17 to 24 knots
Seas: S 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISCORY
Winds: SW 15 to 20 knots
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 2-4 feetWednesday MorningWinds: NNW 7 to 10 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: WSW 2 to 3 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday MorningWinds: SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Thursday AfternoonWinds: SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday MorningWinds: NE 11 to 14 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Friday AfternoonWinds: ENE 8 to 11 knots
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf: 1-3 feet
Cape May (Ocean) Tides Cape May Tides
Delaware BayWater Temperature: 63°F-75°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: S 10-15 knots increasing to 15-20 knots late
Seas: 2-4 feet
Surf: 1-3 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind: S 15-20 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas: 3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 1-2 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind: SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots late
Seas: 2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 1-2 feetTuesday NightWind: SW 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas: 1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf: 1 foot
WednesdayWind: NW 5 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Wednesday NightWind: S 5-10 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
ThursdayWinds: S 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots in the evening
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Thursday NightWinds: S 10-15 knots diminishing to SW 5-10 after midnight
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
FridayWind: SW 5 knots becoming S
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Friday NightWind: S 5 knots
Seas: 2-3 feet
Surf: 1-2 feet
Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) TidesDelaware River Tides
Offshore WatersMidshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)Water Temperature: 59°F
Monday MorningWinds: S 13 to 17 knots
Seas: ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 17 to 24 knots
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 5 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 18 to 25 knots
Seas: SSW 7 feet at 7 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 17 to 22 knots
Seas: SSW 7 feet at 7 secondsWednesday MorningWinds: NNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday AfternoonWinds: WSW 5 to 6 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday MorningWinds: SSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 14 to 19 knots
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 5 secondsFriday MorningWinds: ENE 11 to 15 knots
Seas: S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Friday AfternoonWinds: ENE 4 to 6 knots
Seas: S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Sea Surface TemperaturesSurface
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day LoopNWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day LoopOcean CurrentsSurface
20 Meters (≈65 feet)
Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution! 
*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations. Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only. Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling. Every boat and captain has different operating values. You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]
*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)
