Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: June 20-21, 2015  (Read 1291 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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This weekend will be a mix with weather and mostly cautious conditions on the water. As the heat and humidity continues, Saturday Day will have chances of showers and thunderstorms with more organized and widespread rain and thunderstorms moving in for Saturday Night. Rain and thunderstorms will continue into Sunday Day. Some of the storms could be strong to severe and the moisture moving in with the remnants of Tropical Depression Bill could bring some flooding conditions. Showers and thunderstorms will become more scattered into Sunday Night. Highs will continue in the upper 70’s and 80’s with overnight lows in the 70’s. Humidity will be high this weekend. Water conditions will be borderline to cautious, mainly for seas, as winds will remain mostly 20 knots or less. Seas could be to 5 feet inshore and 8 feet midshore to offshore. Rivers and bays will be the best bet, however, even the Raritan and Delaware Bays could see seas 2-4 feet. Surf conditions will be good. Surf could be rougher and higher at 2-4 feet at times with a Low to Moderate Risk of Rip Currents. Be careful if swimming or venturing into the surf this weekend. Water temperatures are steady in the 60’s and 70’s. UV Index will be High to Very High at 7-9/15.

A cold front will cross the forecast area today and then stall just to the south. High pressure will build in tonight and then move east Saturday. The front to the south will then move back north as a warm front later on Saturday. The remnants of Tropical Depression Bill will move through the region on Sunday with another series of front early to mid next week.


Next week will continue with the heat and humidity through Tuesday with highs in the 80’s with overnight lows in the 60’s and 70’s. By Wednesday, Thursday and Friday temperatures will be back in the 70’s and low 80’s with 60’s and even some 50’s. Humidity will be high and then moderate to high. It looks mostly dry, however that early half of the week could see thunderstorms due to the heat and humidity. Tuesday Night could see more organized rain and thunderstorms, as a cold front passes through. Water, surf and beach conditions look good except for Monday, Thursday and Friday could be borderline to cautious. Tuesday could see some gustier winds if the front pushes through.

Tropical Storm Bill is now Tropical Depression Bill and will move through the region this weekend bringing additional rains Saturday Night and Sunday Day. Keep an eye on this for any flooding or flash flooding conditions.

Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!

Saturday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-20% chance of showers and thunderstorms during the day, 50%-60% chance of rain and thunderstorms during the night
Temperatures
High:     Upper 70’s to low 80’s
Low:     Mid 60’s to low 70’s
UV Index:  8-9/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:28am
Sunset: 8:28pm


Sunday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  50%-70% chance of rain and thunderstorms during the day, 0%-70% chance of rain, showers and thunderstorms during the night
Temperatures
High:     Low to upper 80’s inland, upper 70’s to low 80’s at the shore/on the water
Low:     Mid 60’s to low 70’s
UV Index:  7-9/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:28am
Sunset: 8:28pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



Severe Weather Risks for Saturday







Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts
Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  69°F
Saturday
Wind:  E 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots becoming SE after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):   2-4 feet
[b]Sunday[/b]
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Sunday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  69°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: ESE 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: WSW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SE 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet


Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  66°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: ESE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: WSW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: S 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet


Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  64°F
Saturday
Wind:  E 12 knots becoming ESE in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  S 11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday
Wind:  S 10-12 knots becoming SSW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  W 8 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  72°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: ENE 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: S 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  72°F-82°F
Saturday
Wind:  E 10 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Saturday Night
Wind:  S 10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet


Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  66°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: ESE 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Sunday Morning
Winds: WSW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 5 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)




Ocean Currents

Surface




20 Meters (≈65 feet)









Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!



*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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