Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Jun 29-Jul 3 2015  (Read 3401 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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A mixed week for both weather and water conditions. Monday will start off dry, with Tuesday through Friday having scattered chances of showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will heat up into midweek as a warm front lifts north again with high humidity as well. Monday and Tuesday will have highs in the 70’s and 80’s with 80’s pushing 90’s on Wednesday and then back into the 70’s and 80’s for Thursday and Friday before temperatures increase into the weekend. Humidity will be moderate to high. Some thunderstorms throughout the week could be strong to severe. Right now, Tuesday is highlighted with some chances inland. Water conditions will vary from good to cautious, with much of the week borderline for winds to 20 knots and seas pushing 5 feet at times. The beginning of the week will have the highest winds and seas, but midweek through Friday could have periods of seas to 4 or 5 feet. Midshore to offshore waters will be mainly cautious for seas to 7 feet at times. Surf and beach conditions will be good to ok with wave heights starting at 3-5 feet and subsiding back to 2-4 feet with a Moderate Risk of Rip Currents, improving to possibly Low at some point this week. Water temperatures are steady in the 60’s and 70’s. UV Index will vary from Moderate to Very High at 4-9/15.

An area of low pressure will continue to track through New England and into the Canadian Maritimes through Monday. Weak high pressure will briefly influence the area on Monday.  A warm front will lift north of the region Tuesday, followed by a cold front tracking through later Wednesday. This front is forecast to stall south of the south Thursday and then lift back northward across the area at the end of the week.

4th of July Weekend looks like scattered chances of showers and thunderstorms on Saturday and then mainly dry on Sunday. Highs will be 80’s pushing 90’s for some places, cooler at the shore and overnight lows in the 60’s and 70’s with higher humidity. Water, surf and beach conditions look good overall. Winds and seas may approach borderline conditions on both days.

Atlantic Tropics are quiet.

Have a great week and thanks for reading! 4th of July Weekend Outlook will be out for Thursday with an update of any changes for Friday. Have a great holiday and be safe!!

Monday
Sky:   Partly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:    Upper 70’s to low 80’s
Low:   Mid 60’s to low 70’s with upper 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  4-9/15 (Moderate-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:30am
Sunset: 8:29pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-50% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to mid 80’s
Low:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s
UV Index:  8-9/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:31am
Sunset: 8:29pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Partly sunny to mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-40% chance of showers and thunderstorms during the day, 0%-slight chance at night
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 80’s
Low:   Mid 60’s to low 70’s with upper 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  7-8/15 (High-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:31am
Sunset: 8:29pm
Full Moon: 10:21pm


Thursday
Sky:   Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to mid 80’s
Low:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s with low 60’s across some northern areas
UV Index:  4-8/15 (Moderate-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:32am
Sunset: 8:29pm


Friday
Sky:   Partly sunny to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-50% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Upper 70’s to mid 80’s
Low:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s with low 60’s across some northern areas
UV Index:  4-8/15 (Moderate-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:32am
Sunset: 8:29pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Tuesday Severe Weather Risks




Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  67°F
Monday
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):   3-5 feet becoming 2-4 feet in the afternoon
Monday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
[b]Tuesday[/b]
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet in the afternoon
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Wednesday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NW 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  S 5 knots becoming light and variable after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Friday
Wind:  S 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  S 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  67°F
Monday Morning
Winds: W 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: S 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Wednesday Morning
Winds: WSW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WSW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SW 6 to 7 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NNE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  67°F
Monday Morning
Winds: W 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SSE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSE 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Wednesday Morning
Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NE 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: E 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  69°F
Monday
Wind:  W 9-13 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  SW 6-8 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SSE 9-12 knots increasing to 13-16 knots with gusts to 22 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Tuesday Night
Wind:  S 10-13 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  SW 9-13 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  WSW 5-8 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  S 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  S 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  72°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SSE 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSE 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Wednesday Morning
Winds: WSW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NE 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: E 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  72°F-82°F
Monday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Tuesday Night
Wind:  S 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  SW 10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
Winds: N 5 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday Night
Winds: SE 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon[/siz
Water Temperature:  65°F
Monday Morning
Winds: W 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  S 6 feet at 8 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SSE 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: SSW 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: ENE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 7 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 





Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


Offline Hotrod

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Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Severe Weather Possible for Tuesday
« Reply #2 on: June 30, 2015, 01:52:28 PM »
As forecast, showers and thunderstorms will develop this afternoon, evening and tonight moving into the area. There are already some showers and some severe warned thunderstorms to the west in PA. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Camden, Cumberland, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer, Morris, Passaic, Salem, Somerset, Sussex, & Warren Counties and part of the Delaware Bay/River until 8PM. Parts of neighboring states of Maryland, Delaware, Pennsylvania and New York are also included in this watch.



Severe Thunderstorm Watch #372

Thunderstorms, some strong to severe will be possible and capable of heavy rains, dangerous lightning, damaging winds, hail and even tornadoes! Be aware of changing weather conditions and have a way of receiving weather alerts. Be safe!

Quote
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.





 

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