Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: July 20-24, 2015  (Read 2309 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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An unsettled start to the week becoming very nice by midweek and through the weekend. Water conditions will be mostly good as well. As high pressure across the Gulf Coast States pumped hot and humid air into the region this weekend, the high pressure will move off and several cold fronts will break up the heat to start the week. Monday and Tuesday will continue with heat and humidity with highs in the 90’s and only a few degrees cooler at the shore. Overnight lows will be in the upper 60’s and 70’s again with high humidity until Tuesday Night. By Tuesday Night some slightly cooler and drier air will move into the region and remain for the rest of the week. Monday and Tuesday will also have chances of scattered to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Precipitation accumulation will be less than 0.5 inches on average, however some of the thunderstorms could be strong to severe bringing heavy rains, locally heavier rainfall accumulation, dangerous lightning, and damaging winds. Hail and tornadoes could always be possible. By Wednesday seasonal averages will return with clear skies and some clouds mixed in for the rest of the week, highs will be back into the 80’s with overnight lows in the 60’s and low 70’s at the shore. Humidity will be moderate to high at times. Northern areas could even see overnight lows in the upper 50’s and then low 60’s. Overall, it will be more comfortable and nice! These conditions look to continue through the weekend. Water conditions will be mostly good. Monday will be good, Tuesday and Wednesday could see some borderline conditions and then good conditions again for Thursday and Friday. Even borderline conditions are only looking at the potential for some gusts to 20 knots and seas 2-4 feet with a shorter period of 6-7 seconds. Midshore to offshore waters will be borderline for most of the week, again only for winds to 20 knots and seas pushing 5 feet for a short period. Overall, the week looks good and if you are looking to get offshore, check those forecasts closely because it will be highly likely it will work. Remember to be aware of changing weather conditions on Monday and Tuesday as storms are likely to move over the water. Winds and seas will be much higher in and near thunderstorm conditions. Surf and beach conditions will be good as well with surf around 1-3 feet with a Low Risk for Rip Currents. Again, remember to check the rip current forecasts daily, follow local beach lifeguard warnings, and remember a low risk of rip currents does not mean NO risk. UV Index will be Moderate to Very High at 4-10/15.

High pressure that is anchored over the Gulf Coast States will pump hot and humid air into the region through Monday. A weak cold front will slowly progress through the Mid Atlantic States on Monday and Monday Night before a second cold front moves through Tuesday Evening. The front is expected to stall to the south, allowing high pressure to settle over the area on Wednesday through the weekend.

The weekend will continue to be dry and settled with high pressure controlling the area. Highs will be in the low to mid 80’s with overnight lows in the 60’s and 70’s. Humidity will not be as high as last (this) weekend, but could still be moderate to high at times. Water, surf and beach conditions will be good all across the board at this point.

Atlantic Tropics are quiet again!

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-30% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:    Low to mid 90’s inland, upper 80’s to low 90’s at the shore/on the water
Low:   Low to mid 70’s with low 60’s across northern areas
UV Index:  9-10/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:44am
Sunset: 8:22pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-40% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Mid 80’s to low 90’s
Low:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s with low 60’s across northern areas
UV Index:  8-9/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:45am
Sunset: 8:21pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 80’s
Low:   Mid 60’s to low 70’s with low 60’s across northern areas
UV Index:  4-8/15 (Moderate-Very High)
Sunrise: 5:45am
Sunset: 8:20pm


Thursday
Sky:   Sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 80’s
Low:   Mid 60’s to low 70’s with upper 50’s across northern areas
UV Index:  8-9/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:46am
Sunset: 8:19pm


Friday
Sky:   Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 80’s
Low:   Mid 60’s to low 70’s with low 60’s across northern areas
UV Index:  8-9/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:47am
Sunset: 8:19pm
First Qtr: 12:05am


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Monday & Tuesday Severe Weather Risks




Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  78°F
Monday
Wind:  W 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):   1-3 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  W 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  NW 5 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:   NW 5 knots becoming SW in the evening
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  78°F
Monday Morning
Winds: W 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: W 6 to 7 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: N 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  74°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NW 3 to 4 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: S 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NW 6 to 7 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: N 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SE 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 13 seconds
Surf:  1-3  feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  66°F
Monday
Wind:  W 6-9 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  WSW 5-8 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming SW 6 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  WSW 7-9 knots becoming NNW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  NNW 6-9 knots becoming WNW in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  W 7 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NW 6 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  W 6 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  NW 5 knots becoming SW in the evening
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  77°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: SW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WNW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  NNE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet   

Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: N 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: WNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 11 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  76°F-82°F
Monday
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming SW in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  NW 10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
Winds: NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday Night
Winds: SW 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday
Wind:  NW 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  71°F
Monday Morning
Winds: W 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSW 3 feet at 5 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: N 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: NW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: NNE 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 10 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)


 





Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Severe Weather Possible for Monday
« Reply #1 on: July 20, 2015, 03:40:48 PM »
There is a "Marginal" chance of severe weather this afternoon into the evening and overnight. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible with some of these being strong to severe. Thunderstorms could be capable of heavy rains, dangerous lightning and damaging winds. It's a hot one out there too, so make sure you take the proper precautions and keep an eye on the young, elderly, sick and pets. Be aware of changing weather and have a way of receiving weather alerts.

Stay cool and be safe!!






 

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