NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Oct 26-30, 2015

[Pfishingruven]

Another week of unsettled weather and fronts causing mainly cautious water conditions. Monday all day and Tuesday Day will be dry before rain chances move in for Tuesday Night, Wednesday, and Thursday Day. Tuesday Night will be scattered to widely scattered showers. Wednesday will be more widespread and organized rain and even thunderstorms, as a warm front lifts north. 1-2 inches of rain are possible statewide. Thursday showers will be scattered to widely scattered again, before clearing out for Thursday Afternoon/Evening. Dry conditions will return on Thursday Night and Friday. Highs will range from the 50’s and 60’s with overnight lows in the 30’s to 50’s. Midweek will be the warmest, with any rain and the start and end of the week the coldest. Winds will be gusty most of the week. Water conditions will be mainly cautious with some pockets of good, borderline, and even hazardous as winds gust to 30 knots and seas increase to 8+ feet. River and bays will have more days of good, while inshore waters will be a mix and offshore waters will push the hazardous range most of the week. Offshore seas could increase to 15 feet. Surf conditions will be ok to cautious with gusty winds, rough surf and wave heights pushing 9 feet at times. Water temperatures are steady in the upper 50’s to low 60’s. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 0-4/15.

In the wake of the cold front that pushed through the region on Sunday, a high pressure system will build over the Northeast on Monday and Tuesday before receding offshore. A warm front associated with a low pressure system emerging from the Western Gulf of Mexico will start lifting through the area on Wednesday. The low pressure systems’s associated cold front should move through on Thursday. Another high is expected to build over the Eastern Seaboard for next weekend.

The weekend looks to be dry as high pressure builds over the area for Halloween. Highs will be in the 50’s with overnight lows ranging from the 30’s to the north and the 40’s elsewhere.

The Atlantic Tropics are quiet.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:    Mid to upper 50’s
Low:   Upper 30’s to low 40’s inland, mid 40’s at the shore, low 30’s across northern areas
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:18am
Sunset: 6:03pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-60% chance of rain at night
Temperatures
High:   Mid 50’s to low 60’s
Low:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s inland, low to mid 50’s at the shore, low 40’s across northern areas
UV Index:  1-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:19am
Sunset: 6:02pm
Full Moon: 8:06am


Wednesday
Sky:  Cloudy
Precipitation:  90% chance of rain and thunderstorms
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 60’s
Low:   Mid 50’s to low 60’s
UV Index:  0-1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:20am
Sunset: 6:00pm


Thursday
Sky:   Partly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-60% chance of rain and showers during the day
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 60’s
Low:   Mid to upper 40’s with low 40’s across northern areas
UV Index:  2-4/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:21am
Sunset: 5:59pm


Friday
Sky:   Mostly sunny to sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid 50’s to low 60’s
Low:   Upper 30 to low  40’s inland, mid 40’s at the shore, low to mid 30’s across northern areas
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 7:22am
Sunset: 5:58pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  57°F
Monday
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  E 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  E 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  5-9 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  S 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  5-9 feet
Thursday
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, building 2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  4-8 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  4-8 feet
Friday
Wind:   W 10-15 knots becoming NW 15-20 knots in the afternoon and evening
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet
Friday Night
Wind:   NW 15-20 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet, then 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-5 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  57°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: NE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: ENE 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ESE 22 to 30 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  5-9 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SE 22 to 29 knots
Seas:  ESE 8 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  5-9 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  SE 7 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SE 6 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 20 to 26 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  61°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNE 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: NE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: E 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: E 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ESE 21 to 29 knots
Seas:  ESE 7 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  ESE 8 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-8 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5  feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  58°F
Monday
Wind:  NNE 10-12 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  E 7-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  E 12 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  ESE 15-18 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SSW 17 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  WSW 12-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  W 13 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 10-15 knots becoming NW 15-20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  63°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNE 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: NE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: ENE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ESE 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  4-7 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: S 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  ESE 7 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  4-7 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 6 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-7 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-7 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 24 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  61°F-63°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  NE 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  E 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  E 15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  SE 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  SE 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet
Thursday
Winds: SW 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Winds: W 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet
Friday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  61°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNE 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 8 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: NE 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 8 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: ENE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ESE 21 to 29 knots
Seas:  ESE 8 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 23 to 31 knots
Seas:  ESE 10 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SW 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  SE 10 feet at 9 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SE 8 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  ESE 7 feet at 9 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 20 to 26 knots
Seas:  W 6 feet at 6 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)




NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface





20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[Pfishingruven]

As low pressure over the Northern Great Lakes pushes on high pressure along the Northeast Coast, a warm front will lift forward bringing rains, gusty winds, and coastal flooding. Rains will range from less than an inch to more than 2.5 inches, upwards towards 3 inches over the next 2 days. In addition, gusty winds, prompting Small Craft Advisories and Gale Warnings will blow to 30+ knots. Seas will build 10 feet and tides will run 1-2 feet above normal, prompting Coastal Flood Advisories. Tides will push the High Astronomical Tide marks and Coastal Flood Advisories have been issued up the Delaware into Salem County, out into the Atlantic up through Monmouth County, and into the Raritan Bay into Middlesex County. In addition to any tidal flooding, rainfall could compound the problem and add additional water that is unable to drain. Clearing fallen leaves and debris from storm drains is helpful before any rain or flooding occurs. If you live in an area prone to minor tidal or heavy rain flooding, this event has the possibility for either of these to happen. Flash flooding is also possible, but less likely, as upwards of 3 inches for northwestern parts of the state are possible.

Be alert to changing weather conditions and have a way of receiving weather alerts through Thursday Night.

Be safe!!

Check NWS Philadelphia or NWS New York City's(depending where you live) webpages for updated Advisories, Watches, and Warnings!