Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Nov 14-15, 2015  (Read 1521 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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A dry weekend, but poor water conditions. Saturday and Sunday will both be dry with more sun than clouds during the day. Highs will only be in the 50’s with overnight lows in the 30’s to 40’s. Some areas will see freezing temperatures again, but this will only last for a few days before moderating and going back to being above average for this time of the year. Saturday will be very breezy statewide, with winds 20 mph and gusts to 40 mph. Water conditions will be poor, starting Thursday and lasting the entire weekend. Thursday Night, Friday, and Saturday will be the worst, however lingering winds and seas are possible into Sunday. Saturday will have hazardous to cautious water conditions with Small Craft Advisories. Winds will push 35 knots and seas to 6 feet inshore and 12 feet midshore to offshore. Sunday will have borderline to cautious conditions, except for bays and rivers which will see good to borderline conditions. Winds will gust to 20 knots with seas settling back into the 2-4 foot range. Sunday could definitely see favorable conditions. Surf and beach conditions will be cautious on Saturday and ok to good on Sunday. Winds will gust to 35 knots on Saturday and then only 20 knots on Sunday. Surf will be rough on Saturday, better on Sunday with wave heights to 6 feet on Saturday and back to 3 feet on Sunday. Water temperatures are steady in the upper 50’s to low 60’s. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 1-3/15.

A strong low pressure system will move across the Great Lakes Region and into Southeastern Canada on Thursday Night. An associated cold front will move across the area on Thursday Evening. The storm system will then slowly move into the Canadian Maritimes on Friday through Saturday. High pressure will gradually build in from the West Friday Night through Saturday, before shifting to the northeast and east early next week. A cold front is then forecast to approach on Thursday.

Next week will start off dry with rain chances moving in for Wednesday and Thursday. Temperatures will gradually warm from the 50’s into the 60’s by midweek. Overnight lows will also increase from the 30’s into the 50’s for many locations around midweek as well. Temperatures are certainly above average for this time of year! Water, surf and beach conditions look good through Wednesday then becoming borderline to cautious for Thursday and possibly Friday.

The Atlantic Tropics are quiet again as the invest area from the weekend became Hurricane Emily, but stayed well out to sea and has now dissipated. Official Atlantic Hurricane Season ends this month.

Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!

Saturday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear, Breezy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:     Upper 40’s to low 50’s
Low:     Mid 30’s inland, upper 30’s to low 40’s at the shore, low 30’s northern areas
UV Index:  1-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:39am
Sunset: 4:42pm


Sunday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to sunny, then mostly clear to clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:     Mid to upper 50’s
Low:     Upper 30’s inland, mid 40’s at the shore, mid 30’s northern areas
UV Index:  1-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:40am
Sunset: 4:41pm


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Friday – Monday Precipitation Total



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  57°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 20-25 knots diminishing to 15-20 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 35 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  2 feet
Surf (Ocean):   3-6 feet

Sunday
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-3 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  W 10-15 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-3 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  57°F
Saturday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 22 to 30 knots
Seas:  WNW 4 feet at 4 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet

Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  WNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  WNW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  WSW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-3 feet


Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  59°F
Saturday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 22 to 30 knots
Seas:  WNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  NW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet

Sunday Morning
Winds: WNW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  NW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  WSW 1 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet


Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  58°F
Saturday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  WNW 21 knots with gusts to 28 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 15-19 knots with gusts to 26 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Sunday
Wind:  WNW 12-15 knots becoming W in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  61°F
Saturday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 22 to 30 knots
Seas:  WNW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  WNW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet

Sunday Morning
Winds: NW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  NW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  WNW 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  61°F
Saturday
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  4-5 feet
Surf:  2-4 feet

Saturday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots diminishing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet

Sunday
Wind:  W 10-15 knots
Seas:  3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet


Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  60°F
Saturday Morning
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 25 to 34 knots
Seas:  WNW 8 feet at 7 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 22 to 29 knots
Seas:  WNW 7 feet at 6 seconds

Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 17 to 22 knots
Seas:  NW 5 feet at 5 seconds

Sunday Afternoon
Winds: W 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  WNW 3 feet at 4 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



Ocean Currents

Surface




20 Meters (≈65 feet)








Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!



*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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