Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Nov 16-20, 2015  (Read 1402 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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The week will be mixed and slightly unsettled with even more unsettled water conditions. The week will start off dry for Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday Day. Shower chances will move in on Wednesday Night and remain through Thursday Night, before clearing again for late Thursday Night and Friday. Showers could bring up to 1.5 inches of rain with some locally higher amounts. Showers will start as scattered on Wednesday Night becoming widely scattered to more widespread on Thursday and then again scattered for Thursday Night. Highs will range from the 50’s to the mid 60’s with overnight lows in the 30’s to 50’s. The cooler temperatures will be seen across northern areas and milder temperatures at the shore, as still warmer ocean waters influence them. Midweek could also see some higher humidity, as a warm front lifts northward. Water conditions will be mostly cautious for ocean waters for the week. Rivers and bays will have a mix of good to cautious. Monday will be a mixed day ranging from good in the back to borderline to cautious on the ocean. Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday will have cautious to hazardous conditions. Winds will gust 20-30 knots with seas building to 10 feet inshore and 15 feet midshore to offshore by Thursday. Winds will settle for Friday, but seas could push 8 feet on Friday slowly subsiding throughout the day, still making conditions cautious for seas. Small Craft Advisories will likely continue most of the week! Surf and beach conditions will be good to start the week, with winds and wave heights increasing for Tuesday and Wednesday, peaking for Thursday at 5-8 feet or so and then beginning to settle for Friday. Tuesday and Wednesday will be ok to cautious, Thursday cautious to hazardous and then cautious to ok for Friday. Water temperatures have cooled by a few degrees or so, with many waters ranging from the low 50’s to low 60’s now. UV Index will be Low to Moderate at 0-3/15.

High pressure will remain centered to the Southwest into Monday, before a weak cold front edges southward through the region Monday Night into early Tuesday. This boundary will then lift north as a warm front on Wednesday. Strengthening low pressure will also be tracking northeast from the Upper Midwest into Canada on Wednesday, with its associated cold front crossing the region on Thursday. High pressure will follow for Friday and into the start of the weekend.

The weekend looks dry right now, but it is not 100%, as high pressure may move at some point during the weekend. However, as it is right now, the weekend will be dry with a mix of sun and clouds. Highs will be in the mid to upper 50’s with overnight lows in the 30’s to 40’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be good on Saturday and good to borderline on Sunday.

The Atlantic Tropics are quiet.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Sunny then mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:    Upper 50’s to mid 60’s
Low:   Upper 30’s to low 40’s inland, mid 40’s at the shore, low 30’s northern areas
UV Index:  1-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:42am
Sunset: 4:40pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:    Low to upper 50’s
Low:   Low to mid 40’s inland, mid 40’s to low 50’s at the shore, low 30’s northern areas
UV Index:  2-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:43am
Sunset: 4:39pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  50% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:   Mid 50’s to low 60’s
Low:   Mid 50’s to upper 50’s with upper 40’s across northern areas
UV Index:  1-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:44am
Sunset: 4:39pm


Thursday
Sky:   Cloudy
Precipitation:  70%-80% chance of showers during the day, 50%-60% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 60’s
Low:   Upper 40’s inland, low 50’s at the shore, low to mid 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  0-1/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 6:45am
Sunset: 4:38pm
First Qtr: 1:29am


Friday
Sky:   Partly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Mid 50’s to low 60’s
Low:   Low 40’s inland, mid 40’s at the shore, mid to upper 30’s northern areas
UV Index:  1-3/15 (Low-Moderate)
Sunrise: 6:46am
Sunset: 4:37pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  52°F
Monday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  N 5-10 knots becoming NE 10-15 knots after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  E 5-10 knots becoming SE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  SE 15-20 knots becoming S 10-15 knots in the evening
Seas:  2-3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  5-8 feet

Thursday Night
Wind:  SE 10-15 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  5-8 feet
Friday
Wind:   N 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet
Friday Night
Wind:   N 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  3-6 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  52°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WNW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  W 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: ENE 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: E 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: ESE 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ESE 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SE 19 to 25 knots
Seas:  SE 6 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  5-8 feet

Thursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  5-8 feet

Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-6 feet


Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  59°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  WNW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 12 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ENE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: E 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: ESE 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ESE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SE 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  SE 6 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  5-8 feet
Thursday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  SE 8 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  5-8 feet
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  SSE 5 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  3-5  feet


Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  54°F
Monday
Wind:  WNW 8-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NNW 8-11 knots becoming NE 12-15 knots with gusts to 21 knots in the evening
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  ENE 11-14 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Tuesday Night
Wind:  E 11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SE 10-15 knots with gusts to 21 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SSE 14-16 knots with gusts to 22 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SSE 15-19 knots with gusts to 27 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet

Thursday Night
Wind:  S 11 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  N 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:  N 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  1 foot

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  60°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  WNW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 1 feet at 10 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ENE 17 to 24 knots
Seas:  ENE 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: E 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ENE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ESE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: ESE 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  ESE 5 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  3-5 feet
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  SE 7 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  5-8 feet

Thursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 23 to 31 knots
Seas:  SSE 8 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  5-8 feet

Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  SE 6 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  4-6 feet


Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  55°F-58°F
Monday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  N 5-10 knots becoming NE 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  E 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  E 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SE 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  SE 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  3-4 feet
Surf:  2-3 feet
Thursday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: S 15-20 knots
Seas:  3-5 feet
Surf:  2-4 feet

Thursday Night
Winds: SW 10-15 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday[/]
Wind:  N 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  N 10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  59°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  W 4 feet at 5 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  WNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ENE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ENE 4 feet at 6 seconds

Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ENE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: ESE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 5 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: ESE 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 4 seconds
Thursday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SE 19 to 26 knots
Seas:  SSE 7 feet at 7 seconds

Thursday Afternoon
HAZARDOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSE 23 to 32 knots
Seas:  SSE 9 feet at 8 seconds

Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  S 8 feet at 10 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: NNW 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  S 7 feet at 9 seconds


Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


 

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