Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: Dec 7-11, 2015  (Read 2209 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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A mostly settled week with good weather and mostly good water conditions. The area dodged the coastal storm that was forecast last week. What looked like a horrible week, has turned into another dry week with above average temperatures and mainly good water conditions. The forecast coastal low will develop further south of the area and pass well out to sea. The week looks dry, maybe very low chances of showers on Monday Night still, but these will be less than 20% chances and isolated, if any. There will be a mix of sun and clouds, with more clouds overnight. Highs will be in the upper 40’s and 50’s with overnight lows ranging from the 20’s to 40’s. There may be some fog Sunday Night into Monday early morning. Water conditions will be mixed and will vary from time to time and by location. Rivers and bays will have good conditions all week. Inshore ocean waters will have good to borderline and some cautious conditions possible as well. NWS and BuoyWeather forecasts, vary for the entire week. Even at worst, inshore ocean water sea heights max out at 4 feet and midshore to offshore at 5 feet. This is nowhere near the forecast of 55 knot winds and 25 foot seas from last week. Surf and beach conditions will be good all week with winds to 20 knots and wave heights 1-3 feet. Water temperatures are steady in the 50’s. UV Index will be Low at 1-2/15.

High pressure overhead tonight will shift off the coast on Monday. An upper level disturbance will pass through the area on Monday Night, while low pressure develops off the Mid Atlantic Coast and quickly moves out to sea through Tuesday. Another area of high pressure should influence the region midweek. Weak low pressure is anticipated to develop off the Virginia Capes late on Wednesday Night before moving out to sea on Thursday. High pressure builds into our region from the South on Friday and strengthens along the Eastern Seaboard this weekend.

The weekend looks to be a continuation of the week, with dry conditions and high pressure in control. Highs will be in the upper 50’s to low 60’s with overnight lows in the 40’s. Water, surf and beach conditions look good as well.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly cloudy, Fog in the early morning
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:    Low to mid 50’s
Low:   Mid to upper 30’s inland, low 40’s at the shore, upper 20’s northern areas
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:04am
Sunset: 4:31pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:    Mid 40’s to low 50’s
Low:   Mid 30’s inland, low 40’s at the shore, low 30’s northern areas
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:05am
Sunset: 4:31pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 40’s to mid 50’s
Low:   Low 40’s inland, mid 40’s at the shore, mid 30’s northern areas
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:06am
Sunset: 4:31pm


Thursday
Sky:   Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 50’s
Low:   Low 40’s inland, mid 40’s at the shore, mid 30’s northern areas
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:06am
Sunset: 4:31pm


Friday
Sky:   Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 50’s
Low:   Low 40’s inland, mid to upper 40’s at the shore, mid to upper 30’s northern areas
UV Index:  1-2/15 (Low)
Sunrise: 7:07am
Sunset: 4:31pm
New Moon: 5:30am


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Sunday - Sunday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  48°F
Monday
Wind:  W 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  S 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots becoming SE after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  SE 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:   SW 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  48°F
Monday Morning
Winds: WSW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: W 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: NNE 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: S 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: SSW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  51°F
Monday Morning
Winds: W 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: W 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: N 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: W 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: W 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: W 10 to 13 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3  feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  50°F
Monday
Wind:  W 7-9 knots
Seas:  1 foot
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  WNW 5-9 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  N 6-11 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming S 5-7 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  S 6 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  SE 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  SW 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  55°F
Monday Morning
Winds: W 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: N 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NNW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SSW 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet   
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: W 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: SW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  E 2 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  48°F-52°F
Monday
Wind:  NW 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:  N 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  N 5 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:  S 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday
Winds: NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Winds: W 5 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday[/]
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:  W 10-15 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  58°F
Monday Morning
Winds: W 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  ESE 2 feet at 9 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 10 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: N 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: SSW 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 11 to 14 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: WNW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: SW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: W 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 7 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface




20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Update to Outlook...Chances of Showers
« Reply #1 on: December 08, 2015, 10:38:28 PM »
Slight update to this week's outlook and the coming weekend. There is a slight chance of showers Wednesday Night and Thursday Night. Chances are low, but scattered to isolated showers are possible both nights. Fog is likely tonight into tomorrow morning also. The completely dry weekend will bring in some rain chances on Sunday Night and into the beginning of the week. Temperatures from Friday through the weekend will push the mid 60's in places.

Have a good rest of the week!
« Last Edit: December 08, 2015, 10:41:10 PM by Pfishingruven »


 

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