Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: May 2-6, 2016  (Read 3197 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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Another unsettled week with rain chances all week and cautious conditions due to elevated/high seas. A wet start to May. The week will be mostly cloudy to cloudy each day except for Wednesday. Wednesday will be partly sunny. Sun peaking through the clouds is possible at times all week, but clouds will dominate. Each day has scattered showers with Monday and Tuesday having the highest chances right now with more widely scattered showers likely. So not a washout, but definitely not a nice dry and warm start to the month. Highs will be in the 50’s and 60’s with 40’s and 50’s for overnight lows. Water conditions will be good for rivers and bays with some pockets of borderline conditions due to elevated or high seas. Ocean waters will be mostly borderline to cautious, again, due to elevated and high seas. Seas will average 3-5 feet inshore and up to 8 feet midshore to offshore. Winds will not be a big issue with max sustained winds to 10 knots all week. Small Craft Advisories are likely and there will be areas of patchy fog to start off the week. Water temperatures have warmed a few degrees with all, but offshore waters in the 50’s. Midshore to offshore waters are in the upper 40’s. UV Index will be Low to High at 2-6/15

Weak low pressure will affect the weather Sunday Night and Monday. A better defined low will pass through the area Tuesday and Tuesday Night. High pressure will affect the area on Wednesday. More low pressure strengthens and affect the weather from Thursday into the weekend.

The weekend will have rain chances both days right now with highs 60’s and overnight lows in the 40’s and 50’s. This forecast is very uncertain and the weekend could end up being completely dry with sun. Water, surf and beach conditions will be cautious for Saturday and improving for Sunday with borderline to cautious conditions.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Cloudy becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  20%-80% chance showers all day
Temperatures
High:    Upper 50’s to mid 60’s
Low:   Low 50’s inland, low to mid 50’s at the shore, upper 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  3-4/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 5:55am
Sunset: 7:51pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy to cloudy
Precipitation:  50%-70% chance of showers during the day, 30% chance of showers at night
Temperatures
High:    Upper 50’s to low 60’s
Low:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s inland and at the shore, mid 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  3-5/15 (Moderate)
Sunrise: 5:54am
Sunset: 7:52pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%- 50% chance of showers all day
Temperatures
High:   Low to upper 60’s
Low:   low 50’s inland and at the shore, mid 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  3-6/15 (Moderate - High)
Sunrise: 5:53am
Sunset: 7:53pm


Thursday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%- 50% chance of showers all day
Temperatures
High:   Mid 50’s to low 60’s
Low:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s inland and at the shore, mid 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  2-5/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 5:52am
Sunset: 7:54pm


Friday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-40% chance of showers all day
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 60’s
Low:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s inland and at the shore, mid 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  2-5/15 (Low - Moderate)
Sunrise: 5:50am
Sunset: 7:55pm
New Moon: 3:31pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Monday - Monday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  54°F
Monday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet, Patchy Fog, Visibility 1-3 nm in the morning
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  W 5-10 knots becoming NE after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less, Patchy fog, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Thursday
Wind:  NE 5 knots becoming E
Seas:  1-2 feet in the morning, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  E 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots becoming NE after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  54°F
Monday Morning
Winds: ENE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  ESE 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: ENE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: SSE 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: S 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NE 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: N 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  50°F
Monday Morning
Winds: ENE 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NE 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: WSW 1 to 1 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:   2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: S 6 to 9 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: S 10 to 14 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: W 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NE 11 to 16 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  ESE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  55°F
Mondgfoay
Wind:  ENE 6 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  2 feet, Patchy
Surf:  1 foot
Monday Night
Wind:  SW 5-7 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  NE 6-9 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  E 5-8 becoming NNE after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming ESE 5-7 knots in the morning
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  SE 6-8 knots becoming WSW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming S 5-7 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  S 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  E 5-10 knots becoming NE after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  51°F
Monday Morning
Winds: NE 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  E 4 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  E 3 feet at 9 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: SW 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: W 11 to 15 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 8 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: N 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NNE 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  SE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: N 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  ENE 4 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet


Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  57°F
Monday
Wind:  E 5-10 knots becoming SE late
Seas:  2-3 feet, Patchy fog, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:  1-2 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming NW late
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:  NE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:  NE 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:  S 5-10 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday
Winds: W 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday Night
Winds: NW 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Friday
Wind:  NW 5 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  48°F
Monday Morning
Winds: ENE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 9 seconds
Monday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 2 to 2 knots
Seas:  E 5 feet at 9 seconds
Tuesday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  SE 5 feet at 7 seconds

Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: W 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 8 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: SW 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  S 5 feet at 8 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: SSW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: S 7 to 9 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NE 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SSE 4 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: NNE 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  ENE 5 feet at 5 seconds


Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Thunderstorms, Flood Advisory & Coastal Flooding
« Reply #1 on: May 04, 2016, 03:17:37 PM »
There is a General Risk of thunderstorms today across most of the state. Some areas along the coast may have already encountered some. Storms will be capable of heavy rains and dangerous lightning. A Flood Advisory has been issued until 6 PM for Atlantic County. Coastal Flood Advisories have been issued for all Ocean Coastal Counties and Counties along the Delaware & Raritan Bays. Minor coastal flooding is possible during high tides.


Offline Down Deep Fleet

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: May 2-6, 2016
« Reply #2 on: May 04, 2016, 05:25:16 PM »
Thank you for the info. Tough spring weather not easy to track. Thanks again.  t^
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Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Coastal Flood Warning & Advisories
« Reply #3 on: May 05, 2016, 06:30:02 PM »
Coastal Flood Warnings and Coastal Flood Advisories have been issued for all Coastal Counties for New Jersey and much of the Mid Atlantic and East Coast through Saturday in places. Moderate coastal flooding is likely during high tides with tides running 1.5 feet above High Astronomical Tide (HAT). Small Craft Advisories for inshore waters and Gale Warnings for offshore waters are in effect. Inshore, Winds NE at 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots are likely with seas 5-8 feet. Offshore E-NE winds 25-35 knots with seas 7-10 feet.

Coastal Flood Advisories

Camden, Eastern Essex, Gloucester, Hudson, Northwestern Burlington, Salem & Eastern Union

Coastal Flood Warnings

Atlantic, Cape May, Cumberland, Southeastern Burlington, Western Middlesex, Monmouth & Ocean

Quote
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
245 PM EDT THU MAY 5 2016

...COASTAL FLOODING EXPECTED WITH HIGH TIDE CYCLES THROUGH FRIDAY...

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-060745-
/O.UPG.KPHI.CF.Y.0013.160505T2200Z-160506T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.W.0004.160505T2200Z-160507T0500Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
245 PM EDT THU MAY 5 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM
EDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM
EDT SATURDAY. THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATION...DELAWARE BEACHES...NEW JERSEY SHORE...DELAWARE
  BAY...AND THE SOUTHERN SHORE OF THE RARITAN BAY.

* COASTAL FLOODING...MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITH THE
  HIGH TIDES THURSDAY EVENING AND FRIDAY EVENING. MINOR COASTAL
  FLOODING IS EXPECTED WITH THE HIGH TIDE ON FRIDAY MORNING.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT OCCURS BETWEEN 7 AND 9 PM
  EDT THIS EVENING. FRIDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR ON THE
  OCEAN FRONT BETWEEN 7 AND 9 AM EDT. ON FRIDAY EVENING...HIGH
  TIDE IS EXPECTED ALONG THE OCEANFRONT BETWEEN 730 AND 930 PM
  EDT. HIGH TIDE ON THE BACK BAYS CAN OCCUR UP TO 5 HOURS LATER
  THAN HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEAN FRONT.

* SURGE...NEAR 1.5 FEET ABOVE THE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE.

* WAVES...WAVE HEIGHTS ON THE OCEAN WATERS OFF THE COAST WILL BE 5
  TO 8 FEET. WAVE HEIGHTS ON DELAWARE BAY WILL BE 2 TO 5 FEET.

* IMPACTS...WIDESPREAD ROADWAY FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS. THE WATER MAY BE
DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS. YOU WILL BE PUTTING YOURSELF IN
DANGER AND YOUR VEHICLE MAY BE DAMAGED...LEADING TO COSTLY
REPAIRS.

FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR
COUNTY PLEASE VISIT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/TIDES

&&

FORECAST               TIME OF         PREDICTED
LOCATION               HIGH TIDE       WATER LEVEL

SANDY HOOK             735 PM THU      7.5 TO 8.0 FEET MLLW
NEW JERSEY             803 AM FRI      7.0 TO 7.5 FEET MLLW
(SANDY HOOK BAY)       825 PM FRI      NEAR 8.0 FEET MLLW

SEASIDE HEIGHTS        705 PM THU      NEAR 7.0 FEET MLLW
NEW JERSEY             733 AM FRI      6.0 TO 6.5 FEET MLLW
(OCEANFRONT)           755 PM FRI      7.0 TO 7.5 FEET MLLW

ATLANTIC CITY          713 PM THU      NEAR 7.0 FEET MLLW
NEW JERSEY             740 AM FRI      6.0 TO 6.5 FEET MLLW
(OCEANFRONT)           804 PM FRI      7.0 TO 7.5 FEET MLLW

CAPE MAY               747 PM THU      7.5 TO 8.0 FEET MLLW
NEW JERSEY             814 AM FRI      7.0 TO 7.5 FEET MLLW
(OCEANFRONT)           838 PM FRI      NEAR 8.0 FEET MLLW

LEWES                  826 PM THU      NEAR 7.0 FEET MLLW
DELAWARE               855 AM FRI      6.0 TO 6.5 FEET MLLW
(DELAWARE BAY)         918 PM FRI      7.0 TO 7.5 FEET MLLW

REHOBOTH BEACH         729 PM THU      NEAR 7.0 FEET MLLW
DELAWARE               755 AM FRI      6.0 TO 6.5 FEET MLLW
(OCEANFRONT)           822 PM FRI      7.0 TO 7.5 FEET MLLW

HIGH TIDE ON THE BACK BAYS...ALONG THE DELAWARE BAY...AND ALONG
THE RARITAN BAY OCCURS LATER THAN THE HIGH TIDE ON THE
OCEANFRONT.

&&

$$

Northeast Tide Forecasts

Sandy Hook

Snady Hook Tide Forecasts



Atlantic City

[size=16t]Atlantic City Tide Forecasts[/size]



Cape May

Cape May Tide Forecasts



Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: May 2-6, 2016
« Reply #4 on: May 05, 2016, 06:30:51 PM »
Thank you for the info. Tough spring weather not easy to track. Thanks again.  t^

Thanks! The weather sucks lately thd!!

 

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