NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: May 16-20, 2016

[Pfishingruven]

A more settled week, but not without rain and cautious water conditions. Monday will be dry with patchy frost in the morning as overnight lows from Sunday to Monday could be record lows. Tuesday and Wednesday will bring rain chances. Tuesday Day will have scattered showers with more widespread rain moving in for the overnight. Wednesday will be more scattered to widely scattered showers. Thursday and Friday will be dry again with more settled conditions as high pressure influences the area. Highs will range from the 60’s to 70’s with still cooler temperatures at the shore. Overnight lows will be in the 40’s and 50’s with the coolest overnight lows across northern areas. Water conditions will start off cautious on Monday with gusty winds to 30 knots and seas to 5 feet inshore and 10 feet offshore. Conditions will begin to improve Monday Night and then good for almost all locations for the rest of the week. Delaware Bay and Midshore to Offshore areas will be borderline to cautious on Tuesday and Wednesday before improving for Thursday and Friday. Surf and beach conditions will be ok on Monday and Tuesday with gusty winds on Monday and elevated surf at 2-4 feet on Monday and Tuesday. The rest of the week will have good conditions. Water temperatures are steady in the 50’s. UV Index will be Low to Very High at 1-8/15.

Low pressure will continue to strengthen slowly northeast from northern Maine reaching the Maritimes tomorrow as high pressure in the Carolinas moves out to sea. Low pressure is expected to pass northeast off the Mid Atlantic coast Tuesday night into Wednesday. Midwest high pressure builds over the region Thursday and into Saturday. Then, another southern states low pressure system may be heading northeast toward our area later in the weekend.

The weekend will have shower chances for Saturday Night and Sunday. Highs will be in the 70’s inland and 70’s at the shore. Overnight lows will be in the 50’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be good for Saturday Day, then winds and seas pickup for Saturday Night and Sunday becoming borderline to cautious.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Monday
Sky:   Mostly sunny to sunny becoming partly cloudy, Breezy
Precipitation:  0%-Slight chance, Patchy frost
Temperatures
High:    Low to mid 60’s
Low:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s inland and at the shore, low 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  4-7/15 (Moderate - High)
Sunrise: 5:40am
Sunset: 8:05pm


Tuesday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy then cloudy
Precipitation:  20%80% chance of showers during the day, 70%-90% chance of rain at night
Temperatures
High:    Low to upper 60’s
Low:   Upper 40’s inland, low 50’s at the shore, mid 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  1-6/15 (Low - High)
Sunrise: 5:39am
Sunset: 8:06pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Mostly cloudy to cloudy becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-50% chance of showers during the day
Temperatures
High:   Low 60’s
Low:   Mid to upper 40’s inland and at the shore, low 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  5-8/15 (Moderate – Very High)
Sunrise: 5:39am
Sunset: 8:07pm


Thursday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s inland, low to mid 60’s at the shore
Low:   Upper 40’s to low 50’s inland and at the shore, low 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  7-8/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:38am
Sunset: 8:08pm


Friday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0%-Slight chance
Temperatures
High:   Low to mid 70’s inland, low to mid 60’s at the shore
Low:   Low to mid 50’s inland and at the shore, upper 40’s northern areas
UV Index:  7-9/15 (High – Very High)
Sunrise: 5:37am
Sunset: 8:09pm


Monday Surface Analysis



Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Monday - Friday



Total Precipitation Monday - Monday



Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  °F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  NE 5 knots becoming E in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  N 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday
Wind:  N 5 knots becoming S in the evening
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  S 5 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon and evening
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  S 5 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)

Sandy Hook Tides
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  °F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  W 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 20 to 27 knots
Seas:  W 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 12 to 17 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: N 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  NNE 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: W 3 to 5 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NNE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: SSE 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: ENE 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: S 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  52°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 24 knots
Seas:  WNW 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 17 to 23 knots
Seas:  W 2 feet at 3 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNE 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  NE 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: N 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NNE 9 to 12 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: E 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: NE 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: SE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides
Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  53°F-60°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 17-19 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Monday Night
Wind:  WSW 9-12 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  WSW 5-8 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:  N 7-9 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming N around 6 knots after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:  N 5-7 knots becoming ENE in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:  Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon and evening
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:  S 5 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides

Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  53°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 22 knots
Seas:  WNW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Monday Afternoon
Winds: WNW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  WNW 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 1 to 1 knots
Seas:  S 1 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Morning
Winds: N 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: NNE 8 to 10 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Morning
Winds: NNE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: ENE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SE 1 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Morning
Winds: ENE 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Friday Afternoon
Winds: E 7 to 10 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   
Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  63°F
Monday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-4 feet
Surf:  1-3 feet
Monday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots diminishing to 5-10 knots in the late evening and overnight
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Tuesday
Wind:  W 5 knots becoming NE late
Seas:  1-2 feet, then 1 foot or less
Surf:  1 foot, then 0-1 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:  NE 5 knots becoming N after midnight
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Wednesday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  N 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Wednesday Night
Wind:  N 10-15 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Thursday
Winds: N 10-15 knots diminishing to around 5 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Thursday Night
Winds: S 5 knots becoming SW after midnight
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday
Wind:  N 5 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:  SE 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware River Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  50°F
Monday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 21 to 28 knots
Seas:  WNW 6 feet at 6 seconds
Monday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 20 to 28 knots
Seas:  W 5 feet at 6 seconds
Tuesday Morning
Winds: WSW 13 to 17 knots
Seas:  SW 4 feet at 5 seconds
Tuesday Afternoon
Winds: WSW 9 to 13 knots
Seas:  SW 3 feet at 5 seconds
Wednesday Morning
Winds: NNE 11 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Wednesday Afternoon
Winds: N 5 to 6 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 7 seconds
Thursday Morning
Winds: NNE 8 to 11 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 6 seconds
Thursday Afternoon
Winds: NE 4 to 6 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 6 seconds
Friday Morning
Winds: ENE 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds
Friday Afternoon
Winds: ESE 2 to 3 knots
Seas:  SE 2 feet at 7 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)

[fluke - u]

  .. Thanks Matt  ...