NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekend Edition: Jun 11-12, 2016

[Pfishingruven]

 
               
A mixed weekend for weather,  but mostly cautious water conditions. Saturday will have scattered chances of showers and thunderstorms. Skies will start of partly sunny with clouds increasing. Showers and thunderstorms are possible, with some of the storms being strong to severe. The Storm Prediction Center has placed most of the state in a Slight Risk while extreme southern parts of the state are in a Marginal Risk. A developing lines of storms, as well as supercells are possible on Saturday with thunderstorms capable of heavy rains, dangerous lightning, damaging winds and hail. Right now, tornadic activity is not indicated, but ALL severe thunderstorms are capable of spawning tornadoes. Sunday will have isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms on Sunday during the day. Storms this weekend will not be the norm, but will pop up or move into areas. Be aware of changing weather conditions and have a way of receiving weather alerts. High temperatures will be in the 70’s and 80’s on Saturday and upper 70’s to upper 80’s on Sunday. Sunday will be the warmest of the two days. Overnight lows will be in the 60’s to low 70’s on Saturday Night and then 50’s and 60’s on Sunday. Humidity will be moderate to high, especially on Saturday Night and Sunday. Sunday will be breezy to even windy. Water conditions will be mostly cautious all weekend. Early Saturday may be good, but will deteriorate by late morning to afternoon with winds to 25 knots. Rivers and bays will be good on Saturday, then cautious on Sunday. Sunday will see wind gusts to 30 knots. Seas will build to 5 feet. Small Craft Advisories are likely possibly on Saturday and definitely on Sunday. Surf and beach conditions will be ok to cautious. Winds will be the worst part at 20-30 knot gusts. Surf heights will only push to 2-4 feet on average with some 5-6 footers possible. Rip Current Risks will be Low on Saturday possibly becoming Moderate later on Saturday and then on Sunday. Water temperatures have cooled some, but still remain in the 60’s and 70’s, except for offshore waters which have dropped into the upper 50’s in spots. UV Index will be Very High at 8-10/15.

High pressure to our west will weaken and push southward tonight into Friday night, while low pressure will remain across the Canadian Maritimes. This will keep a northwest flow across the area, with a surface trough crossing the area Friday. An area of low pressure will drift across southern Canada Saturday night into Sunday. A warm front will lift across the area Saturday, then a cold front will move across the area overnight Saturday. This cold front will stall to our south into early next week. High pressure will then build to our northwest, while low pressure strengthens across
New England.

Next week looks more settled right now and mostly dry. Chances of showers and thunderstorms are possible on Wednesday, Thursday, and maybe Friday. High temperatures will be in the 70’s and 80’s with overnight lows in the 50’s and 60’s. Water, surf and beach conditions will be cautious on Monday and Tuesday and early Wednesday before improving for the rest of the week.

Tropics are quiet.

Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!

Saturday
Sky:  Partly sunny with increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  30%-40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms all day, some could be severe
Temperatures
High:     Mid 70’s to low 80’s
Low:     Upper 60’s to low 70’s, with low 60’s northern areas
UV Index:  8-10/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:27am
Sunset: 8:25pm


Sunday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy, Breezy
Precipitation:  0%-30% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms during the day
Temperatures
High:     Mid to upper 80’s inland, low 80’s at the shore, upper 70’s northern areas
Low:     Mid 50’s to low 60’s
UV Index:  8-10/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:27am
Sunset: 8:25pm
First Qtr: 4:11am


Friday Night Surface Analysis



Saturday Surface Analysis



Sunday Surface Analysis



Precipitation Totals



Saturday & Sunday Severe Weather





Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  66°F
Saturday
Winds: W 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:  1 foot or less, then 1-2 feet in the afternoon
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Saturday Night
Winds: SW 10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 10-15 knots increasing to 15-20 knots in the afternoon
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Sandy Hook (Bay) Tides

Sandy Hook Tides




Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  66°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SSW 4 to 5 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Morning
Winds: WNW 14 to 18 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 18 to 25 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf (Ocean):  2-4 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides

Coney Island Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  60°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SW 6 to 8 knots
Seas:  SSE 1 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: SSW 14 to 19 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
Winds: W 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
Winds: WNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SSE 3 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay at Island Beach State Park
Water Temperature:  65°F
Saturdayg7
Wind:  Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming S 5-10 knots in the morning
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Saturday Night
Wind:  SW 10 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  W 12-17 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
Wind:  NW 17 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  1 foot or less
Surf:  0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides
   
Barnegat Bay Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  66°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: SSW 12 to 16 knots
Seas:  SSE 2 feet at 5 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Saturday Afternoon
Winds: SSW 13 to 18 knots
Seas:  S 3 feet at 4 seconds
Surf:  1-3 feet
Sunday Morning
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  S 4 feet at 7 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 15 to 20 knots
Seas:  SSW 3 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:  2-4 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides

Cape May Tides




Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  70°F
Saturday
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  1-2 feet
Surf:  1 foot
Saturday Night
Wind:  SW 5-10 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  W 10-15 knots with gusts to 25 knots
Seas:  2-3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet
Sunday Night
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Wind:  NW 15-20 knots with gusts to 30 knots
Seas:  3 feet
Surf:  1-2 feet

Delaware Bay (Ship John Shoal) Tides

Delaware Bay Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Water Temperature:  56°F -60°F
Saturday Morning
Winds: W 5 to 7 knots
Seas:  S 2 feet at 7 seconds
Saturday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: SSW 15 to 21 knots
Seas:  SW 3 feet at 4 seconds
Sunday Morning   
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: W 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  SSW 5 feet at 7 seconds
Sunday Afternoon
CAUTIOUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
Winds: WNW 16 to 21 knots
Seas:  SSW 5 feet at 7 seconds

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)



Ocean Currents

Surface



20 Meters (≈65 feet)

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!

*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm. Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out!

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)