Author Topic: NJ Fishing & Boating Weather Outlook Weekly Edition: July 5-8, 2016  (Read 1943 times)

Offline Pfishingruven

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Another unsettled remainder of the week with mostly good water conditions, though. Monday Evening/Night will give way to rain and thunderstorms, some possibly heavy rain at times causing flash flooding. Flood Watches are in effect for most of the state. Tuesday will have showers and thunderstorms continuing from the overnight, eventually tapering off. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible for the remainder of the day. There is a Marginal Risk for Severe Weather, so some of these storms could be strong to severe. Wednesday will see a generalized risk of thunderstorms, mainly due to high temperatures and dew points and a passing front. Thursday and Friday will also have chances of scattered showers and thunderstorms, also. Highs will be in the 80’s and 90’s with overnight lows in the 60’s and 70’s. Humidity will be Moderate to High as that warm front lift norths and brings that warm and moist air from the South! The heat of Summer is upon us and doesn’t look to break until next week. Water conditions will be good for rivers and bays and borderline to cautious for Ocean Waters on Tuesday. By Wednesday all waters will be good for the remainder of the week, except midshore to offshore waters which will be borderline at times. Surf and beach conditions will be ok on Monday with surf to 4 feet and a Moderate Risk of Rip Currents. By Wednesday surf heights will be back to 1-3 feet with a Low to Moderate Risk of Rip Currents. Water temperatures are steady in the 70’s. UV Index will be Moderate to Extreme at 4-11/15.

A warm front extending from the Ohio River Valley to near the North Carolina and Virginia border this afternoon will lift northward into the area tonight. A wave of low pressure tracking along the front will move through the region overnight before exiting off the coast early Tuesday morning. The front will dissipate over the area during the middle of the week. A series of fast-moving disturbances may pass through the area Thursday and Friday. A cold front is expected to move through Saturday. High pressure builds in late in the weekend.

The weekend will start off with chances of showers and thunderstorms on Saturday, clearing out by Saturday Night. Sunday looks to be dry. Highs will be in the 80’s and 90’s with overnight lows in the 60’s and 70’s. Water, surf and beach conditions look to be borderline to cautious with seas to 4 feet.

Atlantic Tropics are quiet.

Have a great week and thanks for reading!

Tuesday
Sky:  Cloudy then partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  50% - 60%  30% chance of showers/thunderstorms during the day
Temperatures
High:   Mid to upper 80’s inland, low to mid 80’s at the shore
Low:   Low 70’s with mid 60’s northern areas
UV Index:  4-9/15 (Moderate - Very High)
Sunrise: 5:34am
Sunset: 8:28pm


Wednesday
Sky:  Sunny becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear
Precipitation:  Slight Chance
Temperatures
High:   Low 90’s inland, mid to upper 80’s at the shore
Low:   Low to mid 70’s with upper 60’s northern areas
UV Index:  9-11/15 (Very High - Extreme)
Sunrise: 5:34am
Sunset: 8:28pm


Thursday
Sky:  Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms all day
Temperatures
High:   Low 90’s inland, mid 80’s at the shore
Low:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s
UV Index:  9-11/15 (Very High - Extreme)
Sunrise: 5:35am
Sunset: 8:28pm


Friday
Sky:  Partly to mostly sunny becoming partly to mostly cloudy
Precipitation:  0% - 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms at night
Temperatures
High:   Low 90’s inland, mid 80’s at the shore
Low:   Upper 60’s to low 70’s
UV Index:  8-10/15 (Very High)
Sunrise: 5:35am
Sunset: 8:27pm


Tuesday Surface Analysis



Wednesday Surface Analysis



Thursday Surface Analysis



Friday Surface



Total Precipitation Tuesday - Friday



Severe Weather Threats for Tuesday & Wednesday




Coastal Waters (out to 20nm) Forecasts

Raritan Bay/New York Harbor to Sandy Hook
Water Temperature:  75°F
Tuesday
Wind:     W 5 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:     SW 5 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:   1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Wednesday
Wind:     W 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean): 1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday
Wind:    SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots becoming NW after midnight
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday
Wind:     N 5 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet
Friday Night
Wind:   N 5 knots becoming SE
Seas:   1 foot or less
Surf (Ocean):  1-3 feet

Sandy Hook Tides (Bay)
                         



Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet, NY
Water Temperature:  75°F
Tuesday
Winds:   SW 5-10 knots
Seas:    3 feet, Visibility 1-3 nm
Surf:    1-3 feet
Tuesday Night
Winds:   SW 5 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:    2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday
Winds:    W 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Winds:   SW 5-10 knots
Seas:   2-3 feet
Surf:    1-3 feet
Thursday
Winds:    SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Winds:    SW 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday
Winds:    N 5 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Night
Winds:    N 5-10 knots becoming SE
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet

Coney Island, NY Tides




Sandy Hook (Ocean) to Barnegat Inlet
Water Temperature:  70°F
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Winds:   SW 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots becoming W 5-10 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     S 3-4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet

Tuesday Night
Winds:    W 5-10 knots
Seas:     S 2-4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday
Winds:    W 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:   1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Winds:    SW 10-15 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday
Winds:    SW 5-10 knots becoming S 10-15 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Winds:    SW 5-10 knots becoming W after midnight
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday
Winds:    NW 5 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Night
Winds:    S 5-10 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet

Manasquan Inlet Tides




Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park)
Water Temperature:  70°F
Tuesday
Wind:     W 5-7 knots
Seas:     1-2 foot
Surf:     1 foot
Tuesday Night
Wind:     Variable winds 5 knots or less
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Wednesday
Wind:     Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming S 5-8 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:     SSW 6-9 knots
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Thursday
Wind:     S 6-9 knots increasing to 10-13 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Thursday Night
Wind:     SSW 5-8 knots becoming variable and less than 5 knots after midnight
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Friday
Wind:     Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming ESE 6 knots in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet
Friday Night
Wind:     ESE 6 knots
Seas:     1 foot
Surf:     0-1 feet

Barnegat Bay (Island Beach State Park) Tides




Barnegat Inlet to Cape May (Ocean)
Water Temperature:  71°F
Tuesday
Winds:    SW 10-15 knots
Seas:    S 3-4 feet at 6 seconds
Surf:     2-4 feet
Tuesday Night
Winds:    W 5-10 knots
Seas:    2-4 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday
Winds:    W 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:    2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Wednesday Night
Winds:    S 10 knots
Seas:    2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday
Winds:    S 5-10 knots
Seas:    2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Thursday Night
Winds:    S 5-10 knots
Seas:    2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday
Winds:    W 5-10 knots becoming SE in the afternoon
Seas:    2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet
Friday Night
Winds:    S 5-10 knots
Seas:    2-3 feet
Surf:     1-3 feet

Cape May (Ocean) Tides
   



Delaware Bay
Water Temperature:  72°F - 76°F
Tuesday
Wind:     W 10-15 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Surf:     1-2 feet
Tuesday Night
Wind:     W 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Wednesday
Wind:     W 5 knots becoming S in the afternoon
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Wednesday Night
Wind:   S 5-10 knots
Seas:     1 foot or less
Surf:     0-1 feet
Thursday
Winds:   S 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Thursday Night
Winds:   SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Friday
Wind:     W 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot
Friday Night
Wind:     SW 5-10 knots
Seas:     1-2 feet
Surf:     1 foot

Delaware River (Ship John Shoal) Tides




Offshore Waters

Midshore to Offshore (20nm-50nm)
Chicken Canyon
Water Temperature:  70°F
Tuesday
CAUTIOUS
Winds:    W 5-15 knots
Seas:     3-5 feet
Tuesday Night
CAUTIOUS
Winds:   W-NW 5-15 knots
Seas:     3-5 feet

Wednesday
Winds:    Variable winds less than 5 knots becoming S-SE
Seas:     2-4 feet
Wednesday Night
Winds:    S 5-15 knots, then 5-10 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Thursday
Winds:    S less than 10 knots, increasing to 5-15 knots
Seas:     2-3 feet
Thursday Night
Winds:    S-SW 5-15 knots becoming W-SW
Seas:     1-3 feet
Friday
Winds:    W-SW 5-10 knots becoming S-SW
Seas:     1-3 feet
Friday Night
Winds:    W-SW 5-15 knots diminishing to less than 10 knots
Seas:     1-3 feet

Sea Surface Temperatures

Surface



NWS OPC Sea Surface Temperature 3 Day Loop

NWS OPC Gulf Stream Currents 3 Day Loop

Weather Outlook Sponsored by Buoy Weather
The Global Marine Forecasting Solution!




*****These forecasts are a general extended outlook for weather and water conditions over a large area, covering all of NJ and adjacent coastal waters to 50nm.  Weather and water conditions can and do change frequently and can also be different for specific locations.  Water conditions ratings are general guidelines only.  Make sure to check the specific seas and winds for the area you will be traveling.  Every boat and captain has different operating values.  You should always check the most updated weather and water condition forecasts at NWS/NOAA and/or Buoy Weather or your trusted weather source before venturing out![/i]

*****Forecasts obtained from Buoy Weather & the National Weather Service (NOAA)


Offline Pfishingruven

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Re: Thunderstorms, Possible Severe Weather Friday
« Reply #1 on: July 08, 2016, 02:36:53 PM »
Showers and thunderstorms are likely this afternoon, evening, and into the overnight. Some of these storms could be strong to severe. Storms will be capable of heavy rains, dangerous lightning, damaging winds, and hail. Flash flooding could be a problem as well within any of these heavy rains. Some showers and thunderstorms have moved into the area already and there is a line of storms to the west and southwest moving east/northeast.

Be aware of changing weather conditions and have a way of receiving weather alerts!










 

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